BSC Young Boys vs FC Luzern Prediction
Switzerland · Regular Season - 7
Stadion Wankdorf, Bern 05/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
52%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
2.03
SignalNEUTRALModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+7.2%
BSC Young Boys Rest
3 days
FC Luzern Rest
2 days
BSC Young Boys vs FC Luzern: the result in context
BSC Young Boys and FC Luzern drew 3-3 in the Super League on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
BSC Young Boys have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.6 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
163%1.48
X21%4.83
216%5.28
Double Chance
1X84%1.14
X236%2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes59%1.34
No41%2.99
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.87 + 1.12 = 2.99
Over 1.583%1.06
Over 2.561%1.25
Over 3.537%1.65
Under 1.517%8.00
Under 2.539%3.80
Under 3.563%2.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.2 = 9.8
Over 8.565%1.41
Over 9.554%1.72
Over 10.543%2.10
Under 8.535%2.56
Under 9.546%1.96
Under 10.557%1.65
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2 = 3.6
Over 3.548%-
Over 4.529%-
Under 3.552%-
Under 4.571%-
Match Events
14'Samuel EssendeAssist: Alvyn Sanches
29'Mio ZimmermannFoul
32'Isaac SchmidtFoul
39'Edimilson FernandesFoul
45'Nando Toggenburger INBongeli Faveurdi Beenga out
47'Andrejs CigaņiksAssist: Daniel Mikołajewski
49'Andrejs CigaņiksAssist: Daniel Mikołajewski
52'Samuel EssendeAssist: Alvyn Sanches
57'Alan Virginius INEdin Etoski out
57'Edimilson Fernandes INDominik Pech out
57'Isaac Schmidt INstefan bukinac out
62'Samuel EssendeFoul
63'Dominik PechFoul
65'Matteo Di Giusto(Penalty)
68'Christian Fassnacht INMamadou Kaly·Sene out
73'Bung Hua FreimannFoul
78'Bongeli Faveurdi BeengaFoul
81'Bung Hua Freimann INLoïc Lüthi out
82'Mio Zimmermann INLucas Manuel Silva Ferreira out
82'Tyron Owusu INSandro Wyss out
85'Armin Gigovic INBahereba Guirassy out
88'Mamadou Kaly·SeneAssist: Bahereba Guirassy
90'Bung Meng FreimannFoul
90+2'Daniel Mikołajewski INLars Villiger out
90+6'Matteo Di GiustoFoul
Lineups
BSC Young BoysFC Luzern
4-4-2Coach: J. PortmannAvg ratingAvg rating
1M. Keller
27L. Blum
30S. Lauper
23L. Benito
22I. Schmidt
16C. Fassnacht
8A. Gigović
6E. Fernandes
7A. Virginius
10A. Sanches
99S. Essende
30K. Letica
22R. Fernandes
13B. Freimann46B. Freimann
14A. Cigaņiks
24T. Owusu
80M. Zimmermann
6L. Bertone
11M. Di Giusto
19D. Mikołajewski
15N. ToggenburgerBSC Young Boys Substitutes
12Bahereba Guirassy85'for Armin Gigovic
34E. Etoski57'for Alan Virginius
33S. Bukinac57'for Isaac Schmidt
17S. Janko
18J. Mall
13D. Pech57'for Edimilson Fernandes63'
9K. Sène68'for Christian Fassnacht88'
52N. Tschanz
54Chiagozie Silas Ubaka
FC Luzern Substitutes
21L. Lüthi81'for Bung Hua Freimann
7A. Oehlers
10Lucas Ferreira82'for Mio Zimmermann
1S. Simoni
27L. Villiger90+2'for Daniel Mikołajewski
29Levin Winkler
5S. Knežević
18Bongeli Faveurdi Beenga45'replaced by Nando Toggenburger78'
17Sandro Wyss82'for Tyron Owusu
Match Stats
BSC Young BoysFC Luzern 54%Ball Possession46%
8Corner Kicks2
4Yellow Cards5
28Total Shots17
10Shots on Goal7
10Shots off Goal8
18Shots Inside Box9
10Shots Outside Box8
8Blocked Shots2
12Fouls14
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves7
413Total Passes360
349Passes Accurate284
13Free Kicks12
Team Comparison
BSC Young BoysFC Luzern1770Elo Rating 1596
2.85Attack 1.61
2.39Defense 0.95
86%Hit Rate 39%
18.9Shots per Game 22.0
4.7Shots on Target 6.0
6.9Corners per Game 7.1
2.3Cards per Game 1.5
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+174 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.99 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
BSC Young Boys- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1.3 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
FC Luzern- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
BSC Young Boys7Wins · 70%Draws220%
FC Luzern1Wins · 10%
1Wins · 10%3.6Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10
Previous meetings
04/03/2026FC LuzernBSC Young Boys12
14/12/2025BSC Young BoysFC Luzern20
14/09/2025FC LuzernBSC Young Boys12
15/05/2025BSC Young BoysFC Luzern21
13/04/2025FC LuzernBSC Young Boys50
23/11/2024FC LuzernBSC Young Boys11
19/10/2024BSC Young BoysFC Luzern21
14/04/2024BSC Young BoysFC Luzern42
11/11/2023BSC Young BoysFC Luzern61
13/08/2023FC LuzernBSC Young Boys11
Recent Form
BSC Young Boys7W3D0L
01/09/2026
FC ZurichBSC Young Boys
LausanneBSC Young Boys
FC ThunBSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys
FC Sion
FC ZurichBSC Young Boys24
W29/08/2026BSC Young Boys
FC Basel 1893
BSC Young BoysFC Basel 189333
D23/08/2026BSC Young Boys
FC Vaduz
BSC Young BoysFC Vaduz42
W15/08/2026
LiestalBSC Young Boys
08/08/2026LiestalBSC Young Boys04
WLausanneBSC Young Boys22
D01/08/2026FC ThunBSC Young Boys06
W26/07/2026BSC Young BoysFC Sion42
W18/07/2026BSC Young Boys
Étoile Carouge
BSC Young BoysÉtoile Carouge50
D10/07/2026
PlzenBSC Young Boys
PlzenBSC Young Boys35
W05/07/2026
Metalist 1925 KharkivBSC Young Boys
Metalist 1925 KharkivBSC Young Boys02
WFC Luzern5W2D3L
02/09/2026FC LuzernFC VaduzFC LuzernLausanne
FC ST. GallenFC LuzernFC SionFC LuzernFC LuzernFC Thun
FC LuzernFC Vaduz21
W29/08/2026
Servette FCFC Luzern
22/08/2026Servette FCFC Luzern11
DFC LuzernLausanne10
W16/08/2026
BuochsFC Luzern
09/08/2026BuochsFC Luzern03
WFC ST. GallenFC Luzern22
D02/08/2026FC SionFC Luzern30
L25/07/2026FC LuzernFC Thun13
L18/07/2026FC Luzern
St. Truiden
FC LuzernSt. Truiden12
L10/07/2026
FC WIL 1900FC Luzern
FC WIL 1900FC Luzern02
W04/07/2026FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
FC LuzernFC Winterthur32
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Lugano | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 36:10 | +26 | 34 | WWWWW |
| 2 | BSC Young Boys | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 38:23 | +15 | 25 | LWWWD |
| 3 | FC Sion | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25:18 | +7 | 23 | DWLDW |
| 4 | FC Zurich | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25:26 | -1 | 20 | WWWDW |
| 5 | FC ST. Gallen | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 19 | WLWWL |
| 6 | Servette FC | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | +1 | 16 | LWWLW |
| 7 | FC Basel 1893 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 | LDLLW |
| 8 | FC Luzern | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 19:25 | -6 | 13 | DLLWL |
| 9 | FC Thun | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 24:34 | -10 | 13 | WLLWL |
| 10 | FC Vaduz | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 24:25 | -1 | 10 | DLWLL |
| 11 |  Grasshoppers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15:28 | -13 | 10 | DDLLL |
| 12 | Lausanne | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11:22 | -11 | 6 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lugano | 12 | 36:10 | 34 |
| 2 | BSC Young Boys | 12 | 38:23 | 25 |
| 3 | FC Sion | 12 | 25:18 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Zurich | 12 | 25:26 | 20 |
| 5 | FC ST. Gallen | 12 | 19:22 | 19 |
| 6 | Servette FC | 12 | 17:16 | 16 |
| 7 | FC Basel 1893 | 12 | 18:22 | 14 |
| 8 | FC Luzern | 12 | 19:25 | 13 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 12 | 24:34 | 13 |
| 10 | FC Vaduz | 12 | 24:25 | 10 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 12 | 15:28 | 10 |
| 12 | Lausanne | 12 | 11:22 | 6 |
Relegation
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About the BSC Young Boys vs FC Luzern forecast
The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
BSC Young Boys and FC Luzern in the Super League table
In the Super League table, BSC Young Boys are 2nd and FC Luzern 8th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: BSC Young Boys 38-23, FC Luzern 19-25. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.