FC Lugano vs Servette FC Prediction

FC Lugano
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Servette FC
AIL Arena, Lugano 03/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalHIGHModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+2.6%
Value Analysis
55%Trust
1X2
Home Win
2.01
SignalNEUTRALModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+8.5%
FC Lugano Rest
4 days
Servette FC Rest
5 days

FC Lugano vs Servette FC: the result in context

FC Lugano beat Servette FC 1-0 in the Super League on 3 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Servette FC have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%2.01
X
26%3.65
2
21%3.30
Double Chance
1X
79%1.30
X2
47%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.52
No
44%2.36
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.91 + 0.99 = 2.90
Over 1.5
83%1.18
Over 2.5
59%1.62
Over 3.5
33%2.50
Under 1.5
17%4.47
Under 2.5
41%2.25
Under 3.5
67%1.49
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.4 = 10.2
Over 8.5
64%1.41
Over 9.5
53%1.76
Over 10.5
41%2.16
Under 8.5
36%2.56
Under 9.5
47%1.95
Under 10.5
59%1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2 = 3.5
Over 3.5
46%-
Over 4.5
27%-
Under 3.5
54%-
Under 4.5
73%-

Match Events

17'Penalty confirmedTiemoko Ouattara
19'Ahmed KendouciFoul
20'Samuel Mráz(Penalty missed)
28'Dereck MoncadaFoul
38'PedrinhoTime wasting
45'Ahmed Kendouci INAnto Grgic out
58'Timothé CognatFoul
60'Samuel Mráz INKingstone Mutandwa out
67'Behruzjon Karimov INMattia Zanotti out
67'Dereck Moncada INAlbian Ajeti out
69'Tiemoko Ouattara INThomas Lopes out
70'Pedrinho INDavid Douline out
74'Daniel Dos Santos Correia INElias Pihlstrom out
80'Lilian Njoh INDavid Datro Fofana out
80'Quentin Maceiras INHouboulang Mendes out
90+2'Yanis Cimignani INBeckham Castro out
90+4'Albian AjetiAssist: Beckham Castro

Lineups

FC Lugano
3-1-4-2Coach: M. Croci-Torti
Servette FC
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Gourvennec
Avg rating7.10
Avg rating6.56
D. von Ballmoos7.316D. von Ballmoos
A. Papadopoulos7.26A. Papadopoulos
D. Kelvin7.64D. Kelvin
H. Delcroix8.03H. Delcroix
U. Bislimi7.425U. Bislimi
B. Karimov7.22B. Karimov
A. Kendouci6.914A. Kendouci
Daniel Dos Santos7.027D. Dos Santos
Y. Cimignani7.121Y. Cimignani
R. Steffen6.711R. Steffen
D. Moncada6.330D. Moncada
E. Gertmonas6.21E. Gertmonas
Q. Maceiras7.123Q. Maceiras
S. Rouiller7.64S. Rouiller
M. Burch6.615M. Burch
B. Mazikou7.218B. Mazikou
T. Cognat6.78T. Cognat
Pedro Naressi6.66P. Naressi
T. Ouattara6.477T. Ouattara
M. Stevanović6.29M. Stevanović
L. Njoh5.814L. Njoh
S. Mráz6.190S. Mráz

FC Lugano Substitutes

46M. Zanotti67'for Behruzjon Karimov6.7
24E. Pihlström74'for Daniel Dos Santos Correia6.5
17L. Mai
8A. Grgić45'for Ahmed Kendouci6.8
28F. Gebhardt
22B. Castro90+2'for Yanis Cimignani
18J. Bichsel
23G. Ajdin
9A. Ajeti67'for Dereck Moncada90+4'7.8

Servette FC Substitutes

20Jarell Njike Simo
34T. Allix
37Sylvain Claude Djoho Filho
28D. Douline70'for Pedrinho6.5
27David Datro Fofana80'replaced by Lilian Njoh
36Thomas Lopes69'for Tiemoko Ouattara6.4
17Houboulang Mendes80'for Quentin Maceiras6.9
7K. Mutandwa60'for Samuel Mráz6.5
44Louis Rieder

Match Stats

FC LuganoServette FC
66%Ball Possession34%
11Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards2
21Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal2
11Shots off Goal6
14Shots Inside Box6
7Shots Outside Box4
7Blocked Shots2
13Fouls9
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
613Total Passes326
566Passes Accurate265
9Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

FC LuganoFC Lugano
Servette FCServette FC
1870Elo Rating 1672
4.07Attack 2.93
2.07Defense 1.95
100%Hit Rate 83%
16.0Shots per Game 17.6
6.1Shots on Target 6.8
4.8Corners per Game 5.6
3.4Cards per Game 3.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+198 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.9 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC LuganoFC Lugano
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
Servette FCServette FC
  • Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 1.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC LuganoFC Lugano2Wins · 20%
Draws220%
Servette FCServette FC6Wins · 60%
3.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Super League11/02/2026
FC LuganoServette FC
11
Super League14/12/2025
FC LuganoServette FC
42
Super League26/10/2025
Servette FCFC Lugano
21
Super League15/05/2025
Servette FCFC Lugano
41
Super League29/03/2025
FC LuganoServette FC
02
Super League01/12/2024
Servette FCFC Lugano
30
Super League03/08/2024
FC LuganoServette FC
31
Schweizer Cup02/06/2024
Servette FCFC Lugano
9080
Super League25/05/2024
FC LuganoServette FC
02
Super League18/02/2024
Servette FCFC Lugano
21

Recent Form

Servette FCServette FC
4W2D4L
29/08/2026
Servette FCFC Luzern
11
D
15/08/2026
BavoisServette FC
07
W
08/08/2026
Servette FCGrasshoppers
21
W
01/08/2026
FC ZurichServette FC
21
L
25/07/2026
Servette FCFC Basel 1893
01
L
18/07/2026
Servette FCSaint Etienne
10
W
15/07/2026
LyonServette FC
21
L
11/07/2026
Servette FCÉtoile Carouge
12
L
08/07/2026
Servette FCStade Lausanne-Ouchy
20
W
04/07/2026
Servette FCStade Nyonnais
11
D

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC LuganoFC Lugano11101034:9+2531WWWWD
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1174035:18+1725WWWDD
3FC SionFC Sion1171324:17+722WLDWW
4FC ZurichFC Zurich1152420:23-317WWDWD
5Servette FCServette FC1151516:14+216WWLWW
6FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1151517:21-416LWWLL
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931142517:20-314DLLWL
8FC LuzernFC Luzern1133518:24-612LLWLD
9FC ThunFC Thun1131719:30-1110LLWLL
10FC VaduzFC Vaduz1130822:23-19LWLLW
11GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1123613:26-139DLLLW
12LausanneLausanne111377:17-106LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC LuganoFC Lugano1134:931
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1135:1825
3FC SionFC Sion1124:1722
4FC ZurichFC Zurich1120:2317
5Servette FCServette FC1116:1416
6FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1117:2116
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931117:2014
8FC LuzernFC Luzern1118:2412
9FC ThunFC Thun1119:3010
10FC VaduzFC Vaduz1122:239
11GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1113:269
12LausanneLausanne117:176
Relegation

About the FC Lugano vs Servette FC forecast

The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Lugano and Servette FC in the Super League table

In the Super League table, FC Lugano are 1st and Servette FC 5th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Lugano 34-9, Servette FC 16-14. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Lugano have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Servette FC have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.