Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş Prediction

Fenerbahçe
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Beşiktaş
Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul·H. U. Meler 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
6.1 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-2.8%
Fenerbahçe Rest
5 days
Beşiktaş Rest
4 days

Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş: result, form and history

Beşiktaş beat Fenerbahçe 2-1 in the Süper Lig on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.81
X
26%3.75
2
21%4.00
Double Chance
1X
78%1.22
X2
47%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.64
No
45%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.66 + 1.14 = 2.80
Over 1.5
82%1.21
Over 2.5
59%1.70
Over 3.5
34%2.73
Under 1.5
18%4.15
Under 2.5
41%2.13
Under 3.5
66%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.6 = 9.2
Over 8.5
53%1.41
Over 9.5
40%1.69
Over 10.5
31%2.08
Under 8.5
47%2.69
Under 9.5
60%2.04
Under 10.5
69%1.69
Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

26'Milan Škriniar
38'Ridvan YilmazAssist: Leandro Trossard
45'Emirhan TopçuFoul
45'Ridvan Yilmaz INKassoum Ouattara out
45'İrfan Can Kahveci INKerem Aktürkoğlu out
45+1'Mason GreenwoodFoul
52'Milan ŠkriniarArgument
52'Ederson Santana de MoraesDissent
53'Dušan VlahovićArgument
59'Václav ČernýFoul
64'Václav Černý INIlhan Fakili out
68'Oğuz Aydın INNene Dorgeles out
68'Vedat Muriqi INRomelu Lukaku out
73'Dušan VlahovićAssist: Orkun Kökçü
76'Junior Olaitan INWilfred Ndidi out
76'Mattéo GuendouziDissent
77'Emirhan Topçu INTiago Djaló out
84'Mattéo Guendouzi INIsmail Yüksek out
85'Dušan Vlahović INOh Hyeon-gyu out

Lineups

Fenerbahçe
4-2-3-1Coach: İ. Kartal
Beşiktaş
4-1-4-1Coach: V. Italiano
Avg rating6.35
Avg rating6.72
Ederson6.931Ederson
Nélson Semedo6.127N. Semedo
M. Škriniar6.937M. Škriniar
N. Aké6.615N. Aké
A. Brown6.53A. Brown
M. Guendouzi6.46M. Guendouzi
N. Kanté6.791N. Kanté
M. Greenwood5.711M. Greenwood
İ. Kahveci5.917İ. Kahveci
O. Aydın6.070O. Aydın
V. Muriqi6.219V. Muriqi
A. Nübel6.21A. Nübel
A. Murillo6.162A. Murillo
E. Agbadou6.912E. Agbadou
E. Topçu6.753E. Topçu
R. Yılmaz7.233R. Yılmaz
S. Özcan6.46S. Özcan
V. Černý6.218V. Černý
J. Olaitan7.215J. Olaitan
O. Kökçü7.510O. Kökçü
L. Trossard7.319L. Trossard
D. Vlahović7.328D. Vlahović

Fenerbahçe Substitutes

21K. Peprah Oppong
5İ. Yüksek84'for Mattéo Guendouzi6.1
7K. Aktürkoğlu45'for İrfan Can Kahveci6.3
14Y. Demir
28B. Elmaz
34M. Günok
9R. Lukaku68'for Vedat Muriqi6.3
22L. Mercan
18M. Müldür
45N. Dorgeles68'for Oğuz Aydın6.4

Beşiktaş Substitutes

80D. Alemdar
22Taylan Bulut
35Tiago Djaló77'for Emirhan Topçu6.6
29I. Fakili64'for Václav Černý6.6
8K. Yılmaz
90S. Kılıçsoy
9Oh Hyeon-Gyu85'for Dušan Vlahović6.5
11K. Ouattara45'for Ridvan Yilmaz6.4
17E. Poku
4W. Ndidi76'for Junior Olaitan6.5

Match Stats

FenerbahçeBeşiktaş
46%Ball Possession54%
2Corner Kicks7
4Yellow Cards3
9Total Shots14
2Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal3
3Shots Inside Box9
6Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots5
18Fouls21
2Offsides4
4Goalkeeper Saves1
419Total Passes415
342Passes Accurate345
21Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
1848Elo Rating 1830
2.85Attack 1.74
1.29Defense 1.02
54%Hit Rate 36%
18.0Shots per Game 15.0
6.1Shots on Target 5.2
5.0Corners per Game 4.7
1.9Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1.2 in second half)
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FenerbahçeFenerbahçe4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş4Wins · 40%
2.6Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Süper Lig05/04/2026
FenerbahçeBeşiktaş
10
Türkiye Kupası23/12/2025
FenerbahçeBeşiktaş
12
Süper Lig02/11/2025
BeşiktaşFenerbahçe
23
Süper Lig04/05/2025
FenerbahçeBeşiktaş
01
Süper Lig07/12/2024
BeşiktaşFenerbahçe
10
Süper Lig27/04/2024
FenerbahçeBeşiktaş
21
Süper Lig09/12/2023
BeşiktaşFenerbahçe
13
Süper Lig02/04/2023
FenerbahçeBeşiktaş
24
Süper Lig02/10/2022
BeşiktaşFenerbahçe
00
Süper Lig08/05/2022
BeşiktaşFenerbahçe
11

Referee Profile

H. U. Meler211 matches

4.86Cards per match
4.60Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

H. U. Meler4.86
Other referees4.58

4.86 cards a match, 0.28 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.58).

Cards come from 194 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Süper Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GalatasarayGalatasaray971119:12+722WWWLW
2AmedAmed962120:10+1020WWDWW
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor961222:8+1419WWWWL
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş960318:10+818WLWLW
5FenerbahçeFenerbahçe951323:8+1516LWWWD
6KasımpaşaKasımpaşa944113:9+416WWLDW
7KocaelisporKocaelispor950411:9+215WLLWL
8Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK94238:12-414WWDWL
9Çorum FKÇorum FK941418:15+313LWWLW
10GöztepeGöztepe933319:16+312WWWDD
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor93339:11-212LLDWD
12BaşakşehirBaşakşehir932412:14-211LWDWL
13RizesporRizespor931511:15-410LLLDW
14KonyasporKonyaspor92256:9-38WLDDW
15Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK92259:15-68LLLLD
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.92257:18-118LLDLL
17SamsunsporSamsunspor91178:21-134LLLLL
18EyüpsporEyüpspor91082:23-213LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1GalatasarayGalatasaray919:1222
2AmedAmed920:1020
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor922:819
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş918:1018
5FenerbahçeFenerbahçe923:816
6KasımpaşaKasımpaşa913:916
7KocaelisporKocaelispor911:915
8Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK98:1214
9Çorum FKÇorum FK918:1513
10GöztepeGöztepe919:1612
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor99:1112
12BaşakşehirBaşakşehir912:1411
13RizesporRizespor911:1510
14KonyasporKonyaspor96:98
15Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK99:158
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.97:188
17SamsunsporSamsunspor98:214
18EyüpsporEyüpspor92:233
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş forecast

As a derby, this Süper Lig meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fenerbahçe and Beşiktaş in the Süper Lig table

Beşiktaş and Fenerbahçe are close in the Süper Lig table, 4th and 5th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Fenerbahçe 23-8, Beşiktaş 18-10. The full standings are on the Süper Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Fenerbahçe have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.