FS Jelgava vs Riga Prediction

FS Jelgava
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Riga
Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs, Jelgava 19/09/2026
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
0-1
Finished
RigaRiga

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.27
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseMediumGap+0.1%
FS Jelgava Rest
7 days
Riga Rest
3 days

FS Jelgava vs Riga: the result in context

Riga beat FS Jelgava 1-0 in the Virsliga on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Riga have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
5%8.02
X
11%5.05
2
84%1.27
Double Chance
1X
16%3.12
X2
95%1.05
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'M. TonisevsFoul
29'Iago SiqueiraAssist: R. Aouani
32'B. MusahFoul
47'K. AlekseiciksFoul
63'Iago SiqueiraFoul
67'R. Aouani INCaio Ferreira out
68'G. ZaleikoFoul
71'J. NovikovsFoul
73'R. Melkis INR. Becers out
73'T. Rataj ING. Patika out
79'J. NovikovsFoul
82'F. Hasek INE. Smaukstelis out
83'S. Oulad M'Hand INS. L. Robalo Pedro out
83'M. Hasek INA. Petersons out
83'M. Pudil INA. Dreimanis out
90+1'M. Badamosi INA. Taiwo out

Team Comparison

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
RigaRiga
1390Elo Rating 1760
0.46Attack 1.39
0.94Defense 2.31
0%Hit Rate 54%
-Shots per Game 16.9
-Shots on Target 6.1
-Corners per Game 4.8
-Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
RigaRiga
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava0Wins · 0%
Draws220%
RigaRiga8Wins · 80%
4.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Virsliga03/07/2026
RigaFS Jelgava
30
Virsliga16/05/2026
RigaFS Jelgava
22
Virsliga04/04/2026
FS JelgavaRiga
08
Virsliga21/09/2025
FS JelgavaRiga
23
Virsliga01/07/2025
RigaFS Jelgava
30
Virsliga10/05/2025
RigaFS Jelgava
20
Virsliga15/03/2025
FS JelgavaRiga
11
Virsliga05/10/2024
FS JelgavaRiga
02
Virsliga19/07/2024
RigaFS Jelgava
61
Virsliga19/05/2024
FS JelgavaRiga
15

Recent Form

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
2W1D7L
12/09/2026
GrobiņaFS Jelgava
00
D
05/09/2026
FS JelgavaSuper Nova
01
L
29/08/2026
TukumsFS Jelgava
14
W
22/08/2026
Ogre UnitedFS Jelgava
23
W
09/08/2026
FS JelgavaAuda
01
L
01/08/2026
BFC DaugavpilsFS Jelgava
21
L
26/07/2026
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
02
L
20/07/2026
FS JelgavaRīgas FS
01
L
12/07/2026
Rīgas FSFS Jelgava
20
L
03/07/2026
RigaFS Jelgava
30
L
RigaRiga
4W5D1L

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS34275284:24+6086WWWWD
2RigaRiga34257295:33+6282WWWWW
3AudaAuda34207757:35+2267WLWDW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils341391240:37+348WWWDL
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja341381346:46047DWLDD
6Super NovaSuper Nova341151832:50-1838LLLWL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava34881834:57-2332LLLLD
8GrobiņaGrobiņa346111727:61-3429LWLDD
9TukumsTukums345101944:65-2125DLLDL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United34462434:85-5118LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3484:2486
2RigaRiga3495:3382
3AudaAuda3457:3567
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3440:3748
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3446:4647
6Super NovaSuper Nova3432:5038
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3434:5732
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3427:6129
9TukumsTukums3444:6525
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3434:8518

About the FS Jelgava vs Riga forecast

The forecasts for this Virsliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FS Jelgava and Riga in the Virsliga table

The table shows a wide gap: Riga are 2nd in the Virsliga, while FS Jelgava sit 7th, 50 points behind. League goal record so far: FS Jelgava 34-57, Riga 95-33. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.