Ogre United vs FK Liepaja Prediction

Ogre United
2-2
Finished
HT 1-0
FK Liepaja
11/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
84%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.16
SignalSTRONGModel77%SurpriseMediumGap-2.9%
Ogre United Rest
6 days
FK Liepaja Rest
3 days

Ogre United vs FK Liepaja: result, form and history

Ogre United and FK Liepaja drew 2-2 in the Virsliga on 11 Sep 2026. FK Liepaja had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for Ogre United.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 3.3 goals, and both sides scored in 1 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
7%4.40
X
18%4.00
2
75%1.60
Double Chance
1X
25%2.15
X2
93%1.16
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'R. SibassFoul
15'C. TorresUnsportsmanlike conduct
29'V. Isajevs INM. Martins out
38'L. Estevez FernandezAssist: A. Doroshenko
46'B. Melnis INCrysthyan out
46'V. SorokinsFoul
46'A. Haidara INB. Almazbekov out
46'Talisca INK. Iljins out
50'R. Sibass
60'K. CudarsFoul
62'J. Grinbergs INA. Molotkovs out
67'E. RodolpheFoul
68'J. Fokam INI. Pulis out
69'E. Rodolphe IND. Patijcuks out
76'K. Cudars INA. Marchuk out
76'A. Doroshenko INR. Ziemelis out
79'E. OlokoAssist: D. Patijcuks
90+9'E. Oloko(Penalty)

Team Comparison

Ogre UnitedOgre United
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
1342Elo Rating 1499
1.24Attack 1.36
1.29Defense 2.13
19%Hit Rate 23%
16.0Shots per Game 18.0
7.0Shots on Target 5.0
10.0Corners per Game 9.0
1.0Cards per Game 1.0

Game State Tendencies

Ogre UnitedOgre United
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Ogre UnitedOgre United0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3Wins · 100%
3.3Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Virsliga30/06/2026
FK LiepajaOgre United
40
Virsliga12/05/2026
FK LiepajaOgre United
41
Virsliga20/03/2026
Ogre UnitedFK Liepaja
01

Recent Form

Ogre UnitedOgre United
2W1D7L
05/09/2026
TukumsOgre United
21
L
30/08/2026
Ogre UnitedRīgas FS
03
L
22/08/2026
Ogre UnitedFS Jelgava
23
L
14/08/2026
BFC DaugavpilsOgre United
31
L
09/08/2026
RigaOgre United
41
L
27/07/2026
GrobiņaOgre United
22
D
19/07/2026
Ogre UnitedBFC Daugavpils
04
L
12/07/2026
Valmiera / BSSOgre United
2242
W
06/07/2026
Super NovaOgre United
12
W
30/06/2026
FK LiepajaOgre United
40
L

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS34275284:24+6086WWWWD
2RigaRiga34257295:33+6282WWWWW
3AudaAuda34207757:35+2267WLWDW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils341391240:37+348WWWDL
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja341381346:46047DWLDD
6Super NovaSuper Nova341151832:50-1838LLLWL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava34881834:57-2332LLLLD
8GrobiņaGrobiņa346111727:61-3429LWLDD
9TukumsTukums345101944:65-2125DLLDL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United34462434:85-5118LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3484:2486
2RigaRiga3495:3382
3AudaAuda3457:3567
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3440:3748
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3446:4647
6Super NovaSuper Nova3432:5038
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3434:5732
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3427:6129
9TukumsTukums3444:6525
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3434:8518

About the Ogre United vs FK Liepaja forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ogre United and FK Liepaja in the Virsliga table

In the Virsliga table, FK Liepaja are 5th and Ogre United 10th, 29 points apart. League goal record so far: Ogre United 34-85, FK Liepaja 46-46. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.