Gais vs IF Elfsborg Prediction

Gais
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
IF Elfsborg
Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg·Adam Ladeback, Sweden 12/07/2026
GaisGais
1-0
Finished
IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+2.0%
Value Analysis
57%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.89
SignalNEUTRALModel56%SurpriseMediumGap+7.4%
Gais Rest
5 days
IF Elfsborg Rest
7 days

Gais vs IF Elfsborg: result, form and history

Gais beat IF Elfsborg 1-0 in the Allsvenskan on 12 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Gais had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for IF Elfsborg.

IF Elfsborg have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game. Referee Adam Ladeback averages 3.25 cards a game, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.89
X
27%3.52
2
18%3.80
Double Chance
1X
82%1.25
X2
45%1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.73
No
46%1.96
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.9 + 1.03 = 2.93
Over 1.5
80%1.28
Over 2.5
55%1.87
Over 3.5
29%3.19
Under 1.5
20%3.48
Under 2.5
45%1.90
Under 3.5
71%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.9 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.43
Over 9.5
52%1.70
Over 10.5
40%2.05
Under 8.5
37%2.60
Under 9.5
48%2.00
Under 10.5
60%1.69
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 2.6 = 3.7
Over 3.5
44%-
Over 4.5
25%-
Under 3.5
56%-
Under 4.5
75%-

Match Events

27'Oskar ÅgrenFoul
46'M. Andersson INH. Sletsjoe out
51'R. ThorkelssonAssist: R. Niklasson
59'S. Olsson INM. Rohden out
59'F. Ihler INL. Ostman out
68'A. Wangberg INR. Frej out
70'A. Sigurpalsson INA. Zeneli out
70'M. Kamara INT. Silverholt out
73'W. Milovanovic INR. Wendin Thomasson out
74'J. Fagerjord INO. Pettersson out
81'Robin Wendin ThomassonFoul
86'S. Salter INJ. Lindberg out
87'V. Okeke INA. Hellemaa out
90+1'Jonas LindbergArgument

Lineups

Gais
4-3-3Coach: Fredrik Holmberg
IF Elfsborg
4-2-3-1Coach: Bjorn Hamberg
Avg rating6.99
Avg rating6.93
M. Krasniqi7.31M. Krasniqi
A. WangbergC7.56A. Wangberg
A. Cardaklija7.622A. Cardaklija
O. Agren7.74O. Agren
M. de Brienne7.32M. de Brienne
W. Milovanovic6.38W. Milovanovic
J. Fagerjord6.97J. Fagerjord
R. Thorkelsson7.917R. Thorkelsson
M. Andersson6.316M. Andersson
S. Salter6.320S. Salter
R. Niklasson7.211R. Niklasson
I. Pettersson7.231I. Pettersson
R. Wikstrom6.96R. Wikstrom
S. HolmenC7.08S. Holmen
T. Isherwood7.24T. Isherwood
V. Okeke7.327V. Okeke
J. Magnusson6.918J. Magnusson
S. Olsson7.210S. Olsson
M. Kamara6.929M. Kamara
J. Beck7.319J. Beck
A. Sigurpalsson7.025A. Sigurpalsson
F. Ihler6.724F. Ihler

Gais Substitutes

13K. Sims
25J. Lindberg86'for S. Salter90+1'
12R. Frej68'for A. Wangberg6.7
10H. Sletsjoe46'for M. Andersson7.2
21S. Ekong
24F. Beckman
28L. Hedlund
32O. Pettersson74'for J. Fagerjord6.3
5R. Wendin Thomasson73'for W. Milovanovic81'6.3

IF Elfsborg Substitutes

1T. Erlandsson
16A. Hellemaa87'for V. Okeke
20G. Rapp
2R. Mohammed
7M. Rohden59'for S. Olsson6.7
9A. Zeneli70'for A. Sigurpalsson6.7
11T. Silverholt70'for M. Kamara6.7
28F. Aronsson
21L. Ostman59'for F. Ihler6.3

Match Stats

GaisIF Elfsborg
41%Ball Possession59%
6Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards0
13Total Shots15
5Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal7
8Shots Inside Box13
5Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots5
8Fouls4
0Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
414Total Passes588
329Passes Accurate507
79%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

GaisGais
IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
1675Elo Rating 1733
1.12Attack 1.71
1.36Defense 2.38
19%Hit Rate 50%
14.9Shots per Game 14.4
3.3Shots on Target 4.2
4.2Corners per Game 7.1
2.5Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals

Game State Tendencies

GaisGais
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

GaisGais2Wins · 40%
Draws00%
IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg3Wins · 60%
2.4Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Allsvenskan20/09/2025
GaisIF Elfsborg
20
Allsvenskan05/05/2025
IF ElfsborgGais
20
Allsvenskan11/08/2024
IF ElfsborgGais
21
Allsvenskan19/05/2024
GaisIF Elfsborg
21
Svenska Cupen18/02/2024
IF ElfsborgGais
20

Recent Form

GaisGais
5W4D1L
06/07/2026
IF BrommapojkarnaGais
11
D
27/06/2026
ValerengaGais
12
W
30/05/2026
GaisKalmar FF
30
W
24/05/2026
SiriusGais
21
L
20/05/2026
GaisHammarby FF
20
W
16/05/2026
GaisDegerfors IF
11
D
09/05/2026
Vasteras SK FKGais
01
W
03/05/2026
GaisOrgryte IS
40
W
26/04/2026
IFK GoteborgGais
22
D
23/04/2026
GaisMjallby AIF
00
D
IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
3W5D2L
05/07/2026
IF ElfsborgHammarby FF
12
L
29/05/2026
Orgryte ISIF Elfsborg
22
D
25/05/2026
IF ElfsborgBK Hacken
11
D
21/05/2026
IF ElfsborgMjallby AIF
11
D
16/05/2026
HalmstadIF Elfsborg
11
D
08/05/2026
IF ElfsborgIF Brommapojkarna
20
W
03/05/2026
IF ElfsborgAIK Stockholm
11
D
27/04/2026
Kalmar FFIF Elfsborg
21
L
22/04/2026
IF ElfsborgDjurgardens IF
21
W
17/04/2026
Degerfors IFIF Elfsborg
01
W

Referee Profile

Adam Ladeback167 matches

3.25Cards per match
3.19Yellow cards per match
0.06Red cards per match
24.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Adam Ladeback3.25
Other referees3.75

3.25 cards a match, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.75).

Cards come from 142 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Allsvenskan 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SiriusSirius26174556:34+2255LLDWW
2Hammarby FFHammarby FF26164654:21+3352WWWLW
3Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF26154753:24+2949DDWWL
4BK HackenBK Hacken261210447:30+1746DWWWW
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg261110539:26+1343DDDWW
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK26125939:38+141WLWLW
7Malmo FFMalmo FF261241041:34+740WDLWL
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm26108842:45-338DWDLL
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg26108836:45-938DDDWW
10GaisGais26971032:26+634WDLLW
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna26971039:43-434DWLWL
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF26681230:43-1326WLLDL
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF26641623:42-1922LLWLL
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF26551621:44-2320LLLDL
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS26471532:58-2619LDWLL
16HalmstadHalmstad26451718:49-3117LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1SiriusSirius2656:3455
2Hammarby FFHammarby FF2654:2152
3Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF2653:2449
4BK HackenBK Hacken2647:3046
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg2639:2643
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK2639:3841
7Malmo FFMalmo FF2641:3440
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm2642:4538
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg2636:4538
10GaisGais2632:2634
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna2639:4334
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF2630:4326
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF2623:4222
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF2621:4420
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS2632:5819
16HalmstadHalmstad2618:4917
Relegation

About the Gais vs IF Elfsborg forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gais and IF Elfsborg in the Allsvenskan table

In the Allsvenskan table, IF Elfsborg are 5th and Gais 10th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Gais 32-26, IF Elfsborg 39-26. The full standings are on the Allsvenskan Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

IF Elfsborg have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.