Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg Prediction

Malmo FF
4-0
Finished
HT 3-0
IFK Goteborg
Eleda Stadium, Malmo·Granit Maqedonci, Sweden 12/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.1 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.44
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+12.1%
Malmo FF Rest
7 days
IFK Goteborg Rest
7 days

Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg: result, form and history

Malmo FF beat IFK Goteborg 4-0 in the Allsvenskan on 12 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Granit Maqedonci averages 3.03 cards a game, 0.70 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.85
X
25%3.83
2
27%3.71
Double Chance
1X
73%1.25
X2
52%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.56
No
43%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.76 + 1.2 = 2.96
Over 1.5
82%1.18
Over 2.5
56%1.59
Over 3.5
31%2.48
Under 1.5
18%4.47
Under 2.5
44%2.27
Under 3.5
69%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.2 = 9.6
Over 8.5
63%1.33
Over 9.5
52%1.55
Over 10.5
40%1.84
Under 8.5
37%3.00
Under 9.5
48%2.30
Under 10.5
60%1.84
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 1.5 = 2.8
Over 3.5
35%-
Over 4.5
14%-
Under 3.5
65%-
Under 4.5
86%-

Match Events

9'A. DjuricAssist: O. Rosengren
23'E. Botheim
45+2'E. BotheimAssist: O. Sjostrand
46'O. Sjostrand INA. Hoog out
48'A. HoogAssist: E. Botheim
57'S. Clemmensen INS. Alioum out
57'O. Mansson INM. Fenger out
57'R. Lundqvist INF. Ottosson out
58'J. Bager
58'J. Stryger INJ. Karlsson out
58'N. John INT. Lundbergh out
68'E. Botheim IND. Garcia out
72'F. Ottosson
75'F. Eriksson INA. Jallow out
82'M. Palsson INB. Kurtulus out
82'T. Heintz INL. Radakovic out
87'A. Djuric

Lineups

Malmo FF
4-3-3Coach: Gaute Helstrup
IFK Goteborg
4-2-3-1Coach: Stefan Billborn
Avg rating7.45
Avg rating6.43
Robin OlsenC8.51R. Olsen
Jens Stryger Larsen6.917J. Stryger Larsen
Andrej Đurić8.35A. Đurić
Malte Palsson7.744M. Palsson
Noah Åstrand John6.623N. Åstrand John
Kenan Busuladžić7.040K. Busuladžić
Otto Rosengren7.57O. Rosengren
Adrian Skogmar7.337A. Skogmar
Sead Hakšabanović7.529S. Hakšabanović
Erik Botheim8.320E. Botheim
Oscar Sjostrand7.924O. Sjostrand
Elis Bishesari5.925E. Bishesari
Felix Eriksson5.918F. Eriksson
Jonas Bager5.35J. Bager
August ErlingmarkC6.53A. Erlingmark
Noah Tolf6.522N. Tolf
Oliver Mansson6.324O. Mansson
David Kruse6.315D. Kruse
Sebastian Clemmensen6.57S. Clemmensen
Tobias Heintz6.314T. Heintz
Ramon Pascal Lundqvist6.710R. Pascal Lundqvist
Adam Bergmark Wiberg7.229A. Bergmark Wiberg

Malmo FF Substitutes

45Anton Höög46'for O. Sjostrand48'8.5
2Johan Karlsson58'for J. Stryger7.2
47Theodor Lundbergh58'for N. John6.9
9Diego García68'for E. Botheim6.5
27Johan Dahlin
19Colin Rösler
4Bleon Kurtulus82'for M. Palsson6.6
32Daníel Tristan Guðjohnsen
39Isaac Assibu

IFK Goteborg Substitutes

16Filip Ottosson57'for R. Lundqvist72'6.9
11Saidou Alioum Moubarak57'for S. Clemmensen6.3
9Max Fenger57'for O. Mansson6.9
12Viktor Andersson
17Alexander Jallow75'for F. Eriksson6.6
21Leo Radakovic82'for T. Heintz6.7
35Emil Fasth
27Alfons Boren
30Tiago Coimbra

Match Stats

Malmo FFIFK Goteborg
62%Ball Possession38%
7Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
19Total Shots17
10Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal13
13Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots0
16Fouls8
0Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves6
613Total Passes375
559Passes Accurate312
91%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Malmo FFMalmo FF
IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg
1697Elo Rating 1718
0.97Attack 1.19
2.52Defense 2.11
44%Hit Rate 31%
15.3Shots per Game 12.2
4.3Shots on Target 4.3
6.3Corners per Game 5.0
1.7Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
🔥Derby Match
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Malmo FFMalmo FF
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Malmo FFMalmo FF5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg2Wins · 20%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Allsvenskan24/08/2025
Malmo FFIFK Goteborg
00
Allsvenskan25/05/2025
IFK GoteborgMalmo FF
10
Svenska Cupen16/03/2025
Malmo FFIFK Goteborg
3222
Allsvenskan28/10/2024
Malmo FFIFK Goteborg
21
Allsvenskan13/05/2024
IFK GoteborgMalmo FF
03
Allsvenskan03/09/2023
Malmo FFIFK Goteborg
22
Allsvenskan17/04/2023
IFK GoteborgMalmo FF
01
Allsvenskan17/10/2022
IFK GoteborgMalmo FF
21
Allsvenskan25/04/2022
Malmo FFIFK Goteborg
10
Allsvenskan07/11/2021
IFK GoteborgMalmo FF
02

Recent Form

Malmo FFMalmo FF
4W1D5L
04/07/2026
Degerfors IFMalmo FF
01
W
26/06/2026
Malmo FFFC Midtjylland
22
D
30/05/2026
Malmo FFHalmstad
52
W
24/05/2026
Malmo FFVasteras SK FK
23
L
17/05/2026
Hammarby FFMalmo FF
41
L
10/05/2026
BK HackenMalmo FF
32
L
03/05/2026
Malmo FFMjallby AIF
23
L
27/04/2026
AIK StockholmMalmo FF
01
W
23/04/2026
Malmo FFSirius
23
L
17/04/2026
Djurgardens IFMalmo FF
01
W
IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg
2W4D4L
05/07/2026
IFK GoteborgAIK Stockholm
12
L
27/06/2026
IFK GoteborgHam-Kam
12
L
18/06/2026
IFK GoteborgValerenga
11
D
31/05/2026
Vasteras SK FKIFK Goteborg
45
W
25/05/2026
IFK GoteborgMjallby AIF
11
D
19/05/2026
Orgryte ISIFK Goteborg
23
W
09/05/2026
IFK GoteborgHammarby FF
01
L
04/05/2026
Djurgardens IFIFK Goteborg
60
L
26/04/2026
IFK GoteborgGais
22
D
23/04/2026
Kalmar FFIFK Goteborg
11
D

Referee Profile

Granit Maqedonci151 matches

3.03Cards per match
2.92Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
22.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Granit Maqedonci3.03
Other referees3.73

3.03 cards a match, 0.70 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.73).

Cards come from 128 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Allsvenskan 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SiriusSirius26174556:34+2255LLDWW
2Hammarby FFHammarby FF26164654:21+3352WWWLW
3Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF26154753:24+2949DDWWL
4BK HackenBK Hacken261210447:30+1746DWWWW
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg261110539:26+1343DDDWW
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK26125939:38+141WLWLW
7Malmo FFMalmo FF261241041:34+740WDLWL
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm26108842:45-338DWDLL
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg26108836:45-938DDDWW
10GaisGais26971032:26+634WDLLW
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna26971039:43-434DWLWL
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF26681230:43-1326WLLDL
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF26641623:42-1922LLWLL
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF26551621:44-2320LLLDL
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS26471532:58-2619LDWLL
16HalmstadHalmstad26451718:49-3117LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1SiriusSirius2656:3455
2Hammarby FFHammarby FF2654:2152
3Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF2653:2449
4BK HackenBK Hacken2647:3046
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg2639:2643
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK2639:3841
7Malmo FFMalmo FF2641:3440
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm2642:4538
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg2636:4538
10GaisGais2632:2634
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna2639:4334
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF2630:4326
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF2623:4222
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF2621:4420
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS2632:5819
16HalmstadHalmstad2618:4917
Relegation

About the Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg forecast

As a derby, this Allsvenskan meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Malmo FF and IFK Goteborg in the Allsvenskan table

Malmo FF and IFK Goteborg are close in the Allsvenskan table, 7th and 9th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Malmo FF 41-34, IFK Goteborg 36-45. The full standings are on the Allsvenskan Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.