Gamba Osaka vs Buriram United Prediction

Gamba Osaka
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Buriram United
Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita·Zaid Thamer Mohammed 28/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalGOODModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-12.6%
Gamba Osaka Rest
4 days
Buriram United Rest
3 days

Gamba Osaka vs Buriram United: result, form and history

Gamba Osaka and Buriram United drew 1-1 in the AFC Champions League Elite on 28 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.68
X
24%3.90
2
22%4.51
Double Chance
1X
77%1.19
X2
46%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.66
No
47%2.09
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.97 + 1.32 = 3.29
Over 1.5
75%1.20
Over 2.5
55%1.67
Over 3.5
33%2.70
Under 1.5
25%4.08
Under 2.5
45%2.12
Under 3.5
67%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

39'Eduardo ManchaAssist: Nathan Pelae
45+4'Nathan Pelae INPaulinho out
49'Goal cancelledJun Ichimori
57'Ryotaro Meshino INTakashi Usami out
57'Yusei Toshida INIssam Jebali out
57'Juanpe Jiménez INRin Mito out
66'Takashi Usami
71'Goran Čaušić INPhitiwat Sookjitthammakul out
73'Eli Adams INRyoya Yamashita out
82'Toni Moya INTheerathon Bunmathan out
82'Darlan Pereira Mendes INSebas Moyano out
87'Ryo Hatsuse

Lineups

Gamba Osaka
4-2-3-1Coach: Tomokazu Myojin
Buriram United
5-4-1Coach: Mário Silva
Avg rating6.84
Avg rating6.49
J. Ichimori6.522J. Ichimori
S. Fujiwara7.028S. Fujiwara
S. Nakatani7.44S. Nakatani
S. Sasaki6.867S. Sasaki
R. Hatsuse8.021R. Hatsuse
S. Abe7.013S. Abe
Juanpe7.278Juanpe
E. Adams6.120E. Adams
R. Meshino6.08R. Meshino
Welton Felipe6.597W. Felipe
Y. Toshida6.341Y. Toshida
N. Etheridge7.213N. Etheridge
K. Schindler6.219K. Schindler
Nathan7.05Nathan
C. Good6.36C. Good
Eduardo Mancha6.940E. Mancha
Caju5.931Caju
G. Čaušić6.723G. Čaušić
K. Dougall6.416K. Dougall
Toni Moya6.620T. Moya
Darlan6.437Darlan
Bissoli6.07Bissoli

Gamba Osaka Substitutes

27R. Mito57'for Juanpe Jiménez6.7
10S. Kurata
7T. Usami57'for Ryotaro Meshino66'8.2
17R. Yamashita73'for Eli Adams6.4
16T. Suzuki
39K. Sumi
47S. Nakano
2S. Fukuoka
1M. Higashiguchi
19Ginjiro Ikegaya
11I. Jebali57'for Yusei Toshida6.4
15T. Kishimoto

Buriram United Substitutes

99A. Tudorie
27P. Sookjitthammakul71'for Goran Čaušić6.2
8Paulinho45+4'replaced by Nathan Pelae
10Sebas Moyano82'for Darlan Pereira Mendes6.5
2S. Haiprakhon
55T. Bunmathan82'for Toni Moya6.3
34C. Bootprom
17Lucas Ahijado
30S. Schimmer

Match Stats

Gamba OsakaBuriram United
68%Ball Possession32%
11Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards0
24Total Shots10
7Shots on Goal2
16Shots off Goal5
19Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots3
12Fouls9
5Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves6
689Total Passes324
613Passes Accurate245
8Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
Buriram UnitedBuriram United
1609Elo Rating 1671
1.87Attack 2.45
1.61Defense 1.90
34%Hit Rate 36%
16.0Shots per Game 14.9
5.7Shots on Target 3.8
6.1Corners per Game 7.0
1.5Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.3 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Buriram UnitedBuriram United
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches

Recent Form

Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
4W2D4L
24/10/2026
Gamba OsakaKyoto Sanga
22
D
21/10/2026
Avispa FukuokaGamba Osaka
12
W
17/10/2026
Shimizu S-pulseGamba Osaka
22
D
13/10/2026
Newcastle JetsGamba Osaka
13
W
09/10/2026
KashimaGamba Osaka
20
L
03/10/2026
Kashiwa ReysolGamba Osaka
5343
L
23/09/2026
Gamba OsakaTokushima Vortis
50
W
20/09/2026
Gamba OsakaVissel Kobe
01
L
15/09/2026
Gamba OsakaCông An Nhân Dân
41
W
12/09/2026
Gamba OsakaFC Tokyo
02
L
Buriram UnitedBuriram United
5W3D2L
24/10/2026
Buriram UnitedSisaket United
23
L
21/10/2026
Buriram UnitedDPU Thayang FC
80
W
18/10/2026
PattaniBuriram United
01
W
13/10/2026
Buriram UnitedBeijing Guoan
01
L
10/10/2026
Buriram UnitedRayong FC
32
W
07/10/2026
Buriram UnitedPusamania Borneo
00
D
20/09/2026
Chonburi FCBuriram United
01
W
15/09/2026
Johor Darul Takzim FCBuriram United
11
D
11/09/2026
Buriram UnitedChiangrai United
11
D
06/09/2026
Sukhothai FCBuriram United
13
W

Referee Profile

Zaid Thamer Mohammed6 matches analysed

4.24Cards per match
4.11Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 35% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

AFC Champions League Elite 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe44008:3+512WWWW
2KashimaKashima330011:1+109WWW
3Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka32108:3+57DWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol42118:3+57WDWL
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG421113:10+37WLDW
6Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga42116:3+37DWWL
7Johor Darul Takzim FCJohor Darul Takzim FC42116:3+37LWWD
8Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors42116:5+17WDLW
9Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan421110:1007LDWW
10Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen41122:4-24LLDW
11Công An Nhân DânCông An Nhân Dân41124:7-34DWLL
12Port FCPort FC41039:14-53WLLL
13Buriram UnitedBuriram United30212:3-12DLD
14RatchaburiRatchaburi40136:10-41LDLL
15Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers30031:8-70LLL
16Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets40046:19-130LLLL

About the Gamba Osaka vs Buriram United forecast

This is a AFC Champions League Elite cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gamba Osaka and Buriram United in the AFC Champions League Elite table

The table shows a wide gap: Gamba Osaka are 3rd in the AFC Champions League Elite, while Buriram United sit 13th, 5 points behind. League goal record so far: Gamba Osaka 8-3, Buriram United 2-3. The full standings are on the AFC Champions League Elite Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Buriram United have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Gamba Osaka and Buriram United have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.