Genk vs Kortrijk Prediction

Genk
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Kortrijk
Cegeka Arena, Genk·Wim Smet, Belgium 10/10/2026
GenkGenk
3-0
Finished
KortrijkKortrijk

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.38
SignalSOLIDModel70%SurpriseMediumGap-6.2%
Genk Rest
7 days
Kortrijk Rest
14 days

Genk vs Kortrijk: the result in context

Genk beat Kortrijk 3-0 in the Jupiler Pro League on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Genk have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game. Referee Wim Smet averages 3.43 cards a game, 0.84 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.38
X
21%5.00
2
13%7.05
Double Chance
1X
87%1.09
X2
34%2.88
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.69
No
47%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.92 + 0.72 = 2.64
Over 1.5
81%1.13
Over 2.5
59%1.45
Over 3.5
38%2.23
Under 1.5
19%5.50
Under 2.5
41%2.60
Under 3.5
62%1.65
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4 = 10.2
Over 8.5
64%1.35
Over 9.5
52%1.68
Over 10.5
43%2.00
Under 8.5
36%2.70
Under 9.5
48%2.05
Under 10.5
57%1.70
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2.4 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%1.67
Over 4.5
32%2.32
Under 3.5
48%2.12
Under 4.5
68%1.57

Match Events

3'D. Heymans
13'H. Murray-CampbellOG
15'S. CampbellUnsportsmanlike conduct
24'M. AndersonFoul
49'S. CampbellFoul
49'S. CampbellFoul
63'R. DurosinmiAssist: D. Heymans
68'B. Tahirovic INJ. Erenbjerg out
68'A. Phillips INJ. van Landschoot out
68'G. Koyalipou INS. Ogbuehi out
69'J. KayembeFoul
76'R. Durosinmi INA. Bibout out
77'J. Kayembe INM. Roganovic out
77'J. Ito INJ. Afriyie out
80'B. Dejaegere INL. De Smet out
80'M. Anderson INJ. Ndjeungoue out
80'R. Kohon INM. Fofana out
86'D. Heymans INA. De Wannemacker out

Lineups

Genk
4-3-3
Kortrijk
4-3-3
Avg rating7.09
Avg rating6.45
Lucca Brughmans6.728L. Brughmans
Kevin Amaro7.220K. Amaro
Matte Smets7.36M. Smets
Josue Ndenge Kongolo7.744J. Ndenge Kongolo
Joris Kayembe7.318J. Kayembe
Benjamin Tahirović6.64B. Tahirović
Daan Heymans8.938D. Heymans
Bryan HeynenC7.28B. Heynen
Junya Ito7.710J. Ito
Rafiu Durosinmi7.017R. Durosinmi
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg6.732N. Adedeji-Sternberg
Patrik Sigurdur Gunnarsson7.31P. Sigurdur Gunnarsson
Rudy Kohon5.936R. Kohon
Axel Drouhin6.721A. Drouhin
Harrison Murray-Campbell5.34H. Murray-Campbell
Matthew Anderson6.23M. Anderson
Brecht DejaegereC6.519B. Dejaegere
Boris Lambert6.935B. Lambert
Anthony Philips6.370A. Philips
Shandre Campbell5.911S. Campbell
Goduine Koyalipou6.210G. Koyalipou
Thierry Ambrose7.068T. Ambrose

Genk Substitutes

1Tobe Leysen
25Milan Roganović77'for J. Kayembe6.6
5Christiaan Ravych
11Jeppe Erenbjerg68'for B. Tahirovic6.7
56August De Wannemacker86'for D. Heymans
21Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
30Ayumu Yokoyama
33Jerry Afriyie77'for J. Ito6.5
23Aaron Bibout76'for R. Durosinmi6.3

Kortrijk Substitutes

13Ebbe De Vlaeminck
5James Ndjeungoue80'for M. Anderson6.6
22Gilles Ruyssen
15Mohamed Fofana6.7
7Suf Podgoreanu
6Liam De Smet80'for B. Dejaegere6.7
71Ken Masui
18Jellert Van Landschoot68'for A. Phillips6.7
90Sixtus Ogbuehi68'for G. Koyalipou6.3

Match Stats

GenkKortrijk
63%Ball Possession37%
6Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
13Total Shots8
6Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots2
10Fouls10
3Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
648Total Passes367
576Passes Accurate296
89%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

GenkGenk
KortrijkKortrijk
1699Elo Rating 1501
1.39Attack 0.65
2.25Defense 0.95
50%Hit Rate 19%
14.5Shots per Game 11.6
4.2Shots on Target 2.3
3.7Corners per Game 3.9
1.5Cards per Game 3.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+198 Elo

Game State Tendencies

GenkGenk
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
KortrijkKortrijk
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

GenkGenk7Wins · 70%
Draws00%
KortrijkKortrijk3Wins · 30%
2.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Jupiler Pro League07/12/2024
GenkKortrijk
32
Jupiler Pro League05/10/2024
KortrijkGenk
21
Jupiler Pro League17/12/2023
GenkKortrijk
40
Jupiler Pro League29/10/2023
KortrijkGenk
03
Jupiler Pro League26/12/2022
KortrijkGenk
10
Jupiler Pro League08/10/2022
GenkKortrijk
21
Jupiler Pro League27/02/2022
GenkKortrijk
20
Jupiler Pro League07/08/2021
KortrijkGenk
12
Jupiler Pro League09/01/2021
KortrijkGenk
21
Jupiler Pro League19/12/2020
GenkKortrijk
20

Recent Form

GenkGenk
4W3D3L
03/10/2026
GenkFortuna Sittard
12
L
20/09/2026
Club Brugge KVGenk
30
L
13/09/2026
GenkGent
11
D
06/09/2026
AnderlechtGenk
00
D
28/08/2026
GenkSK Beveren
40
W
22/08/2026
AntwerpGenk
44
D
15/08/2026
GenkKVC Westerlo
32
W
09/08/2026
Zulte WaregemGenk
21
L
02/08/2026
GenkTwente
21
W
01/08/2026
GenkFC OSS
31
W
KortrijkKortrijk
2W1D7L

Referee Profile

Wim Smet118 matches

3.43Cards per match
3.21Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Wim Smet3.43
Other referees4.27

3.43 cards a match, 0.84 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.27).

Cards come from 99 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GentGent981019:4+1525WWWDW
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV980122:6+1624WWWWW
3Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise972027:6+2123WDWWW
4CharleroiCharleroi970216:10+621LWWWL
5AnderlechtAnderlecht95139:10-116LWWWD
6GenkGenk943218:13+515WWLDD
7KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo942324:21+314DWWWW
8Lommel UnitedLommel United933311:11012DWDLL
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege932414:15-111LLLLW
10Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem932410:12-211LLLLW
11AntwerpAntwerp931515:20-510WLLLL
12SK BeverenSK Beveren931512:18-610DLLWW
13St. TruidenSt. Truiden922517:19-28LLLLW
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière921611:18-77WLLWL
15KV MechelenKV Mechelen81349:17-86WDLLD
16OH LeuvenOH Leuven91358:16-86DDWDL
17KortrijkKortrijk81072:18-163LWLLL
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge903611:21-103LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1GentGent919:425
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV922:624
3Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise927:623
4CharleroiCharleroi916:1021
5AnderlechtAnderlecht99:1016
6GenkGenk918:1315
7KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo924:2114
8Lommel UnitedLommel United911:1112
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege914:1511
10Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem910:1211
11AntwerpAntwerp915:2010
12SK BeverenSK Beveren912:1810
13St. TruidenSt. Truiden917:198
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière911:187
15KV MechelenKV Mechelen89:176
16OH LeuvenOH Leuven98:166
17KortrijkKortrijk82:183
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge911:213
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Genk vs Kortrijk forecast

The forecasts for this Jupiler Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Genk and Kortrijk in the Jupiler Pro League table

In the Jupiler Pro League table, Genk are 6th and Kortrijk 17th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Genk 18-13, Kortrijk 2-18. The full standings are on the Jupiler Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.