GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia Prediction

GIL Vicente
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Casa Pia
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos·Anzhony Rodrigues, Portugal 24/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
54%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.92
SignalNEUTRALModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+5.6%
GIL Vicente Rest
14 days
Casa Pia Rest
7 days

GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia: result, form and history

GIL Vicente beat Casa Pia 2-0 in the Primeira Liga on 24 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.9 goals a game across 8 matches. Referee Anzhony Rodrigues averages 4.63 cards a game, 0.65 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.70
X
24%3.50
2
21%5.33
Double Chance
1X
80%1.15
X2
45%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%2.15
No
45%1.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 0.96 = 2.47
Over 1.5
68%1.42
Over 2.5
45%2.31
Over 3.5
22%4.33
Under 1.5
32%2.75
Under 2.5
55%1.60
Under 3.5
78%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.3 = 9.8
Over 8.5
64%1.51
Over 9.5
53%1.85
Over 10.5
41%2.32
Under 8.5
36%2.37
Under 9.5
47%1.86
Under 10.5
59%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
51%1.32
Over 4.5
34%1.72
Under 3.5
49%2.77
Under 4.5
66%1.95

Match Events

20'G. Pinto MartinsAssist: H. Hernandez
35'S. Perez
45'H. Hernandez(Penalty)
60'H. Araujo INCassiano out
60'A. Lausen IND. Prioste out
60'J. Fernandes INMurilo de Souza out
69'A. Jatta INC. Mendes out
69'S. Perez INGabi out
74'H. Hernandez INCarlos Eduardo out
74'F. Caseres INZe Carlos out
77'A. Conte INP. Rosas out
77'Rochinha INA. Dafe out
79'G. Pinto Martins INA. Moreira out
82'M. Elimbi

Lineups

GIL Vicente
4-2-3-1Coach: Luis Pinto
Casa Pia
4-3-3Coach: Filipe Coelho
Avg rating6.81
Avg rating6.53
Lucão6.630Lucão
Ricardo Esgaio6.947R. Esgaio
Marvin Elimbi Gilbert7.04M. Elimbi Gilbert
Jonathan BuatuC7.039J. Buatu
Weverson7.226Weverson
Facundo Cáseres7.55F. Cáseres
Andreas Lausen6.312A. Lausen
Joelson Fernandes6.211J. Fernandes
Santi García6.310S. García
Gil Martins7.720G. Martins
Héctor Hernández7.523H. Hernández
André Gomes6.231A. Gomes
André GeraldesC6.718A. Geraldes
João Goulart6.54J. Goulart
David Sousa6.543D. Sousa
Abdu Conté6.25A. Conté
Lawrence Ofori6.380L. Ofori
Selvi Clúa7.216S. Clúa
Sebastián Pérez6.624S. Pérez
Henrique Araújo6.29H. Araújo
Alassana Jatta6.320A. Jatta
Rochinha7.210Rochinha

GIL Vicente Substitutes

94Samuel
45David Moreira
3Antonio Espigares
2José Silva
7Tidjany Touré
86Diogo Prioste60'for A. Lausen6.6
77Murilo60'for J. Fernandes6.7
32Martin Fernández
6Zé Carlos74'for F. Caseres6.6
27Agustín Moreira79'for G. Pinto Martins6.5
99Mohamed Kaba
29Carlos Eduardo74'for H. Hernandez6.3

Casa Pia Substitutes

95Ivan Mandić
22Daniel Azevedo
75Pedro Rosas77'for A. Conte6.6
27Kaique Rocha
19Kevin Prieto
98JP
59Abdu Dafe77'for Rochinha6.3
11Raúl Blanco
8Gabi Pereira69'for S. Perez6.3
21Aymen Zouin
99Claudio Mendes69'for A. Jatta6.5
90Cassiano60'for H. Araujo6.9

Match Stats

GIL VicenteCasa Pia
56%Ball Possession44%
3Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots13
4Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal9
6Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots2
11Fouls12
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
519Total Passes392
458Passes Accurate329
88%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

GIL VicenteGIL Vicente
Casa PiaCasa Pia
1655Elo Rating 1576
1.15Attack 1.24
1.97Defense 2.08
39%Hit Rate 66%
12.2Shots per Game 9.9
3.1Shots on Target 3.5
2.6Corners per Game 4.3
2.2Cards per Game 2.9

Game State Tendencies

GIL VicenteGIL Vicente
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Casa PiaCasa Pia
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

GIL VicenteGIL Vicente4Wins · 50%
Draws338%
Casa PiaCasa Pia1Wins · 12%
1.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
25%3+ goals2 of 8

Previous meetings

Primeira Liga27/04/2026
GIL VicenteCasa Pia
21
Primeira Liga13/12/2025
Casa PiaGIL Vicente
11
Primeira Liga22/02/2025
Casa PiaGIL Vicente
10
Primeira Liga22/09/2024
GIL VicenteCasa Pia
11
Primeira Liga03/03/2024
Casa PiaGIL Vicente
00
Primeira Liga02/10/2023
GIL VicenteCasa Pia
20
Primeira Liga27/05/2023
GIL VicenteCasa Pia
10
Primeira Liga22/01/2023
Casa PiaGIL Vicente
13

Recent Form

GIL VicenteGIL Vicente
3W4D3L
09/08/2026
GIL VicenteRio Ave
10
W
25/07/2026
GIL VicenteMoreirense
22
D
18/07/2026
GIL VicenteFelgueiras 1932
11
D
16/05/2026
Sporting CPGIL Vicente
30
L
11/05/2026
GIL VicenteArouca
13
L
03/05/2026
Rio AveGIL Vicente
00
D
27/04/2026
GIL VicenteCasa Pia
21
W
18/04/2026
GIL VicenteGuimaraes
01
L
13/04/2026
TondelaGIL Vicente
22
D
03/04/2026
GIL VicenteAVS
30
W
Casa PiaCasa Pia
3W2D5L
17/08/2026
Casa PiaBenfica
07
L
08/08/2026
MaritimoCasa Pia
10
L
01/08/2026
LeixoesCasa Pia
62
L
25/07/2026
Benfica BCasa Pia
10
L
18/07/2026
EstrelaCasa Pia
12
W
28/05/2026
Casa PiaTorreense
20
W
20/05/2026
TorreenseCasa Pia
00
D
16/05/2026
Casa PiaRio Ave
11
D
11/05/2026
GuimaraesCasa Pia
01
W
03/05/2026
Casa PiaTondela
01
L

Referee Profile

Anzhony Rodrigues93 matches

4.63Cards per match
4.39Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
26.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Anzhony Rodrigues4.63
Other referees5.28

4.63 cards a match, 0.65 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.28).

Cards come from 38 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto990021:4+1727WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica971126:8+1822WWLWW
3Sporting CPSporting CP953121:11+1018LWDDW
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara953113:6+718LWDWW
5AroucaArouca952212:7+517WWDLD
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu952213:11+217WWWWW
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente94238:7+114LWWDL
8AlvercaAlverca932413:13011LWWWL
9SC BragaSC Braga93249:11-211LLLDW
10MoreirenseMoreirense932411:16-511WLDWL
11FamalicaoFamalicao924314:11+310WLWDD
12EstrelaEstrela924314:17-310LLLDW
13Vitória SCVitória SC922510:1008WLDLD
14MaritimoMaritimo92259:19-108LLDLL
15NacionalNacional921610:18-87WLLLL
16Casa PiaCasa Pia92165:17-127WLWLD
17Rio AveRio Ave92168:21-137LWLDL
18EstorilEstoril90275:15-102LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto921:427
2BenficaBenfica926:822
3Sporting CPSporting CP921:1118
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara913:618
5AroucaArouca912:717
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu913:1117
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente98:714
8AlvercaAlverca913:1311
9SC BragaSC Braga99:1111
10MoreirenseMoreirense911:1611
11FamalicaoFamalicao914:1110
12EstrelaEstrela914:1710
13Vitória SCVitória SC910:108
14MaritimoMaritimo99:198
15NacionalNacional910:187
16Casa PiaCasa Pia95:177
17Rio AveRio Ave98:217
18EstorilEstoril95:152
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

GIL Vicente and Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga table

In the Primeira Liga table, GIL Vicente are 7th and Casa Pia 16th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: GIL Vicente 8-7, Casa Pia 5-17. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.