Vitória SC vs Nacional Prediction
Portugal · Regular Season - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Vitória SC vs Nacional: the result in context
Vitória SC beat Nacional 1-0 in the Primeira Liga on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Pedro Ramalho averages 5.78 cards a game, 0.57 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Vitória SC
Avg ratingAvg rating
48O. Zych
23T. Strata
4Ó. Rivas
28T. Balieiro
13J. Mendes
44L. Doucet
8G. Nogueira
17M. Nogueira
C20Samu
11G. Silva
24A. Ndoye
1R. Marin
C34L. Santos
6M. Dias
38Z. Vitor
52W. Gasolina
28Liziero
22F. Soares
7M. Jensen
8M. Baeza
10D. Júnior
99P. Messias CardozoVitória SC Substitutes
Nacional Substitutes
Match Stats
Vitória SCNacional Team Comparison
Vitória SCNacionalAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Vitória SC- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Nacional- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Vitória SC3Wins · 50%2Wins · 33%Previous meetings
16/05/2026NacionalGuimaraes02/01/2026GuimaraesNacional03/05/2025NacionalGuimaraes23/12/2024GuimaraesNacional26/04/2021NacionalGuimaraes21/01/2021GuimaraesNacionalRecent Form
Vitória SC
Sporting CPVitória SCVitória SC
AroucaVitória SC
ChavesVitória SC
Nottingham Forest
Al-Ahli JeddahVitória SCVitória SC
AcademicaVitória SC
Felgueiras 1932NacionalVitória SCVitória SC
Casa PiaSporting CPVitória SCNacionalNacional
Estoril
Santa ClaraNacional
EstrelaNacionalNacional
Leganes
TondelaNacionalNacional
LeixoesNacionalGuimaraesSanta ClaraNacionalNacional
AVSTondelaNacionalReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.78 cards a match, 0.57 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.21).
Cards come from 40 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21:4 | +17 | 27 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26:8 | +18 | 22 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | +10 | 18 | LWDDW |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 18 | LWDWW |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | +5 | 17 | WWDLD |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 17 | WWWWW |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 14 | LWWDL |
| 8 |  Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 | LWWWL |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 | LLLDW |
| 10 |  Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 | WLDWL |
| 11 |  Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 10 | WLWDD |
| 12 | Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 | LLLDW |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 | WLDLD |
| 14 |  Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 7 | WLLLL |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5:17 | -12 | 7 | WLWLD |
| 17 |  Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 7 | LWLDL |
| 18 | Estoril | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:15 | -10 | 2 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 21:4 | 27 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 26:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 9 | 21:11 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 13:6 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 9 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 9 | SC Braga | 9 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 9 | 11:16 | 11 |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela | 9 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 9 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 14 | Maritimo | 9 | 9:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Nacional | 9 | 10:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 9 | 5:17 | 7 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 9 | 8:21 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 9 | 5:15 | 2 |
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About the Vitória SC vs Nacional forecast
The forecasts for this Primeira Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Vitória SC and Nacional in the Primeira Liga table
Vitória SC and Nacional are close in the Primeira Liga table, 13th and 15th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Vitória SC 10-10, Nacional 10-18. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.