Girona vs Castellón Prediction

Girona
1-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Castellón
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona 12/09/2026
GironaGirona
1-2
Finished
CastellónCastellón

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+10.0%
Girona Rest
7 days
Castellón Rest
6 days

Girona vs Castellón: result, form and history

Castellón beat Girona 2-1 in the Segunda División on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 3.3 goals, and both sides scored in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%2.20
X
29%3.36
2
13%3.15
Double Chance
1X
87%1.33
X2
42%1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.53
No
52%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 0.79 = 2.29
Over 1.5
69%1.21
Over 2.5
43%1.70
Over 3.5
22%2.75
Under 1.5
31%4.05
Under 2.5
57%2.12
Under 3.5
78%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.7 = 9.5
Over 8.5
57%1.78
Over 9.5
45%2.21
Over 10.5
39%2.87
Under 8.5
43%1.96
Under 9.5
55%1.56
Under 10.5
61%1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%-
Over 4.5
48%1.37
Under 3.5
33%-
Under 4.5
52%2.92

Match Events

7'Holmes Júnior Zamorano Muñoz
14'Bryan Gil INCarles Pérez out
45'Lucas Alcázar INJeremy Mellot out
45+3'Abel RuízFoul
47'Goal cancelledIsrael Suero Fernández
52'Abel Ruíz
56'rodrigo rego INÍñigo Córdoba out
56'Juanjo Nieto INHamza Bellari out
57'Yaser Asprilla INJavier Boñar out
57'Vladyslav Vanat INOleksandr Pyshchur out
67'Diego Barri INAdam Jakobsen out
73'Carles PérezFoul
76'Alberto JiménezFoul
77'Francisco Castillo INÁlvaro García Arana out
81'Agustín Sienra
82'Alejandro Francés INIván Morante out
82'Carles Pérez INAbdul Mumin out
86'Álvaro García Arana
88'Matías OrozcoDissent
90+4'Izan GonzálezFoul
90+9'Oleksandr PyshchurDissent

Lineups

Girona
4-2-3-1Coach: Quique Álvarez
Castellón
4-4-2Coach: Pablo Hernández
Avg rating6.34
Avg rating6.74
P. Gazzaniga8.313P. Gazzaniga
Alejandro Francés6.416A. Francés
David López6.95D. López
Holmes Zamorano7.438H. Zamorano
Álex Moreno6.011Á. Moreno
Fran Beltrán6.28F. Beltrán
I. Gonzalez6.124I. Gonzalez
Y. Asprilla6.422Y. Asprilla
Abel Ruiz5.59A. Ruiz
V. Vanat6.319V. Vanat
Bryan Gil6.017B. Gil
R. Matthys7.513R. Matthys
Juanjo Nieto6.82J. Nieto
Alberto Jiménez6.45A. Jiménez
A. Sienra7.94A. Sienra
Lucas Alcázar6.612L. Alcázar
Rodrigo Miguel Ferreira Rêgo5.926R. Miguel Ferreira Rêgo
M. Orozco6.66M. Orozco
Barri6.98Barri
F. Castillo6.417F. Castillo
Israel Suero6.710I. Suero
Ousmane Camara6.39O. Camara

Girona Substitutes

1Sergi Puig
2A. Mumin82'replaced by Carles Pérez5.7
3Mateu Morey
14Iván Morante82'for Alejandro Francés5.8
33M. Furtado
25V. Krapyvtsov
15Oleksandr Pishchur57'for Vladyslav Vanat90+9'6.5
23Carles Pérez14'for Bryan Gil73'82'for Abdul Mumin5.9
7C. Stuani
6D. van de Beek
29L. Kourouma
4Javier Boñar57'for Yaser Asprilla6.2

Castellón Substitutes

19Hamza Bellari56'for Juanjo Nieto6.7
11F. Ceccherini
14Iñigo Córdoba56'for rodrigo rego6.2
27A. Gala
23Varo García77'for Francisco Castillo86'7.8
21Álvaro Martín
22J. Mellot45'for Lucas Alcázar6.9
1A. Saipi
18Pablo Santiago
16A. Jakobsen67'for Diego Barri6.6
7Raúl Sánchez
25J. Vlak

Match Stats

GironaCastellón
39%Ball Possession61%
4Corner Kicks11
3Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
8Total Shots18
5Shots on Goal9
3Shots off Goal6
5Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box7
0Blocked Shots3
9Fouls10
0Offsides2
7Goalkeeper Saves4
347Total Passes528
271Passes Accurate462
8Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

GironaGirona
CastellónCastellón
1749Elo Rating 1726
2.28Attack 2.04
2.54Defense 2.58
64%Hit Rate 58%
15.7Shots per Game 13.7
5.1Shots on Target 4.8
4.2Corners per Game 4.5
1.7Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

GironaGirona
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2 vs 0.3 in second half)
CastellónCastellón
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.7 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

GironaGirona2Wins · 67%
Draws133%
CastellónCastellón0Wins · 0%
3.3Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs29/07/2026
GironaCastellón
33
Segunda División21/02/2021
GironaCastellón
21
Segunda División24/10/2020
CastellónGirona
01

Recent Form

GironaGirona
3W4D3L
05/09/2026
Sporting GijonGirona
02
W
29/08/2026
GironaLas Palmas
52
W
21/08/2026
CordobaGirona
21
L
16/08/2026
GironaLeganes
11
D
08/08/2026
GimnasticGirona
11
D
07/08/2026
GironaSabadell
22
D
01/08/2026
GironaArsenal
14
L
29/07/2026
GironaCastellón
33
D
25/07/2026
GironaAlaves
01
L
22/07/2026
OlotGirona
13
W
CastellónCastellón
6W2D2L
06/09/2026
CastellónAlbacete
20
W
31/08/2026
Celta de Vigo IICastellón
12
W
23/08/2026
CastellónSabadell
00
D
14/08/2026
Real Sociedad IICastellón
01
W
08/08/2026
CastellónLevante
13
L
07/08/2026
HérculesCastellón
4050
W
31/07/2026
AlavesCastellón
30
L
29/07/2026
GironaCastellón
33
D
25/07/2026
ValenciaCastellón
12
W
18/07/2026
CastellónSabadell
20
W

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6BurgosBurgos1162316:12+420WWLLW
7MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
9OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6BurgosBurgos1116:1220
7MallorcaMallorca1113:619
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
9OviedoOviedo1115:1218
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Girona vs Castellón forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Girona and Castellón in the Segunda División table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Castellón are 1st in the Segunda División, 5 points ahead of Girona in 4th. League goal record so far: Girona 22-10, Castellón 22-4. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Girona have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Castellón have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.