Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction

Mallorca
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
AD Ceuta FC
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca·Abraham Dominguez Cervantes, Spain 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.42
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseMediumGap+7.1%
Value Analysis
79%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.42
SignalSTRONGModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+13.2%
Mallorca Rest
5 days
AD Ceuta FC Rest
8 days

Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC: result, form and history

Mallorca beat AD Ceuta FC 3-0 in the Segunda División on 30 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
80%1.42
X
18%4.50
2
2%6.93
Double Chance
1X
98%1.09
X2
20%2.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.84
No
51%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.72 + 0.7 = 2.42
Over 1.5
71%1.22
Over 2.5
48%1.68
Over 3.5
24%2.70
Under 1.5
29%4.15
Under 2.5
52%2.15
Under 3.5
76%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.7 = 9.7
Over 8.5
61%1.53
Over 9.5
50%1.92
Over 10.5
39%2.39
Under 8.5
39%2.31
Under 9.5
50%1.82
Under 10.5
61%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.5
59%1.36
Over 4.5
37%1.67
Under 3.5
41%3.00
Under 4.5
63%2.15

Match Events

8'Anuar INA. Petxa out
18'A. MelendezFoul
20'A. Sala
50'A. FuentesAssist: Z. Luvumbo
55'J. Cerda INA. Roca out
64'M. Morlanes INA. Sanchez out
64'A. Fuentes INA. Buksa out
64'Z. Luvumbo INA. Liso out
67'A. SalaFoul
72'C. Teguia INA. Betancourt out
72'J. Escobar INA. Osoro out
75'A. RocaFoul
78'A. LapenaFoul
84'T. Lato INA. Soumahoro out
87'Y. BodigerDiving
88'A. Camacho INMatos Jose out
88'Y. Bodiger INA. R. Gonzalez out
89'A. BuksaAssist: A. Sala

Lineups

Mallorca
4-2-3-1Coach: Luis Garcia
AD Ceuta FC
5-4-1Coach: Jose Romero
Avg rating7.14
Avg rating6.23
Arnau Tenas6.91A. Tenas
Miguel Calatayud6.934M. Calatayud
Martin Valjent7.224M. Valjent
Antonio RaílloC7.221A. Raíllo
Toni Lato7.63T. Lato
Alex Sala8.97A. Sala
Manu Morlanes7.38M. Morlanes
Zito Luvumbo7.211Z. Luvumbo
Pablo Torre6.620P. Torre
Josep Cerdà6.919J. Cerdà
Adrian Fuentes7.318A. Fuentes
Guillermo Vallejo6.213G. Vallejo
Alejandro Camacho6.27A. Camacho
Anuar6.323Anuar
Carlos HernándezC6.36C. Hernández
Adrián Lapeña5.95A. Lapeña
Redru5.616Redru
Yann Bodiger6.314Y. Bodiger
Alejandro Meléndez6.720A. Meléndez
Kuki Zalazar6.38K. Zalazar
Cedric Teguia6.511C. Teguia
Jordi Escobar6.29J. Escobar

Mallorca Substitutes

23Antoniu Roca55'for J. Cerda75'6.6
6Antonio Sánchez64'for M. Morlanes6.3
16Adam Buksa64'for A. Fuentes89'7.3
33Adrian Liso64'for Z. Luvumbo6.9
13Lucas Bergström
25Iván Cuéllar
4David López
22Aboubaka Soumahoro84'for T. Lato
29Luis Orejuela
10Sergi Darder
39Jandro García
36Aimar Peñalver

AD Ceuta FC Substitutes

18Álex Petxarroman8'for Anuar5.7
32Gabriel Okoro72'for J. Escobar6.3
26Arick Alejandro Betancourt Perez72'for C. Teguia6.7
1Pedro López
34Daniel Mas Soria
4Albert Caparrós
3Jose Matos88'replaced by A. Camacho
10Marino Illescas
31Adrián Romero88'for Y. Bodiger
17Mawuli Mensah

Match Stats

MallorcaAD Ceuta FC
53%Ball Possession47%
3Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots5
4Shots on Goal0
6Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box2
4Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots2
11Fouls14
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves1
480Total Passes431
435Passes Accurate368
91%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

MallorcaMallorca
AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
1736Elo Rating 1503
1.08Attack 1.33
2.17Defense 1.50
19%Hit Rate 17%
12.7Shots per Game 20.1
3.8Shots on Target 5.3
6.1Corners per Game 7.8
3.9Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+232 Elo
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MallorcaMallorca
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)

Recent Form

MallorcaMallorca
5W2D3L
24/08/2026
Granada CFMallorca
20
L
15/08/2026
MallorcaValladolid
20
W
08/08/2026
MallorcaSV Elversberg
11
D
05/08/2026
MallorcaParis Saint Germain
30
W
30/07/2026
MallorcaAl-Ittihad FC
42
W
25/07/2026
MallorcaAl-Fateh
30
W
23/05/2026
MallorcaOviedo
30
W
17/05/2026
LevanteMallorca
20
L
13/05/2026
GetafeMallorca
31
L
10/05/2026
MallorcaVillarreal
11
D
AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
5W1D4L
22/08/2026
AD Ceuta FCLas Palmas
02
L
15/08/2026
FC AndorraAD Ceuta FC
51
L
07/08/2026
AD Ceuta FCMalaga
21
W
29/07/2026
CadizAD Ceuta FC
13
W
26/07/2026
SevillaAD Ceuta FC
21
L
30/05/2026
AD Ceuta FCAlbacete
10
W
24/05/2026
FC AndorraAD Ceuta FC
02
W
16/05/2026
AD Ceuta FCMalaga
14
L
09/05/2026
AD Ceuta FCCastellón
11
D
03/05/2026
Sporting GijonAD Ceuta FC
12
W

Referee Profile

Abraham Dominguez Cervantes3 matches analysed

4.51Cards per match
4.36Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
23.7Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 56% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6BurgosBurgos1162316:12+420WWLLW
7MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
9OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6BurgosBurgos1116:1220
7MallorcaMallorca1113:619
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
9OviedoOviedo1115:1218
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Mallorca and AD Ceuta FC in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Mallorca are 7th and AD Ceuta FC 21st, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Mallorca 13-6, AD Ceuta FC 10-25. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Mallorca and AD Ceuta FC have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.