Tenerife vs Almeria Prediction

Tenerife
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Almeria
Heliodoro Rodríguez López, Santa Cruz de Tenerife·Alejandro Morilla Turrion, Spain 23/08/2026
TenerifeTenerife
1-0
Finished
AlmeriaAlmeria

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.49
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+3.1%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel32%SurpriseHighGap+5.7%
Tenerife Rest
7 days
Almeria Rest
6 days

Tenerife vs Almeria: the result in context

Tenerife beat Almeria 1-0 in the Segunda División on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Almeria have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 1.8 goals a game. Referee Alejandro Morilla Turrion averages 4.86 cards a game, 0.67 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.75
X
30%3.19
2
26%2.55
Double Chance
1X
74%1.49
X2
56%1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.75
No
51%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 0.95 = 2.39
Over 1.5
70%1.32
Over 2.5
42%2.00
Over 3.5
24%3.50
Under 1.5
30%3.25
Under 2.5
58%1.80
Under 3.5
76%1.29
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'Jesús ÁlvarezFoul
32'EnricAssist: N. Gil
46'A. Sola INB. Cipenga out
53'David Rodríguez RamosArgument
54'I. Chapela INN. Lopez out
66'D. Chirino INM. Luna out
66'M. Vesga INQ. Junyent out
72'V. Moreno INM. Pecar out
72'Enric INJ. de Miguel out
75'A. Munoz INJ. Morcillo out
81'C. Alvarez INJ. Moreno out
81'N. Gil INA. Krdzalic out
88'A. Embarba INLeo Baptistao out

Lineups

Tenerife
4-2-3-1Coach: Alvaro Cervera
Almeria
4-2-3-1Coach: Javier Garcia Pimienta Francisco
Avg rating6.84
Avg rating6.67
D. Martin7.01D. Martin
C. Alvarez6.519C. Alvarez
A. Landazuri7.012A. Landazuri
J. Leon6.94J. Leon
D. Rodriguez7.02D. Rodriguez
J. Alvarez6.916J. Alvarez
Juanjo Sanchez6J. Sanchez
V. Moreno6.98V. Moreno
I. Chapela6.324I. Chapela
N. Gil7.610N. Gil
EnricC7.718Enric
A. Fernandez6.51A. Fernandez
D. Chirino6.922D. Chirino
J. Pulido6.55J. Pulido
F. Bonini6.918F. Bonini
A. Munoz6.63A. Munoz
S. Dzodic7.029S. Dzodic
M. Vesga6.76M. Vesga
A. Sola6.620A. Sola
N. Melamed6.310N. Melamed
A. EmbarbaC6.623A. Embarba
M. de la Fuente6.224M. de la Fuente

Tenerife Substitutes

40G. De Vuyst
21M. Mateu
5J. Moreno81'for C. Alvarez6.9
27N. Viereck
20M. Pitton
23A. Krdzalic81'for N. Gil
15Fabricio
29D. Fernandez
7M. Pecar72'for V. Moreno6.3
9J. de Miguel72'for Enric6.3
11N. Lopez54'for I. Chapela6.6
26B. Diocou

Almeria Substitutes

13F. Martinez
30J. Lopez
19Rodrigo Ely
21Chumi
2M. Luna66'for D. Chirino7.0
33Q. Junyent66'for M. Vesga6.7
17B. Cipenga46'for A. Sola6.9
12Leo Baptistao88'for A. Embarba
7J. Morcillo75'for A. Munoz6.6

Match Stats

TenerifeAlmeria
39%Ball Possession61%
5Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards0
15Total Shots9
2Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal7
6Shots Inside Box5
9Shots Outside Box4
7Blocked Shots1
14Fouls8
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves1
343Total Passes543
267Passes Accurate471
78%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

TenerifeTenerife
AlmeriaAlmeria
1620Elo Rating 1724
1.17Attack 2.02
1.67Defense 2.01
0%Hit Rate 50%
10.9Shots per Game 13.0
2.8Shots on Target 5.4
4.9Corners per Game 5.1
3.0Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

TenerifeTenerife
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
AlmeriaAlmeria
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

TenerifeTenerife0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
AlmeriaAlmeria6Wins · 100%
1.8Avg Goals
17%Both teams scored1 of 6
17%3+ goals1 of 6

Previous meetings

Segunda División01/06/2025
AlmeriaTenerife
20
Segunda División24/08/2024
TenerifeAlmeria
01
Segunda División21/03/2022
TenerifeAlmeria
01
Segunda División24/09/2021
AlmeriaTenerife
31
Segunda División07/05/2021
TenerifeAlmeria
01
Segunda División26/11/2020
AlmeriaTenerife
20

Recent Form

TenerifeTenerife
6W1D3L
16/08/2026
EibarTenerife
13
W
08/08/2026
LeganesTenerife
3040
W
04/08/2026
TenerifeTamaraceite
32
W
01/08/2026
TenerifeCadiz
2222
D
26/07/2026
MarinoTenerife
06
W
22/07/2026
TenerifeGetafe
12
L
18/07/2026
TenerifeTenerife II
30
W
23/05/2026
Ourense CFTenerife
21
L
17/05/2026
TenerifePontevedra
30
W
09/05/2026
Unionistas de SalamancaTenerife
21
L
AlmeriaAlmeria
5W2D3L
17/08/2026
AlmeriaEldense
30
W
07/08/2026
CordobaAlmeria
04
W
04/08/2026
Al-NassrAlmeria
02
W
01/08/2026
Real BetisAlmeria
10
L
29/07/2026
Granada CFAlmeria
20
L
20/06/2026
AlmeriaMalaga
12
L
14/06/2026
MalagaAlmeria
00
D
09/06/2026
AlmeriaCastellón
32
W
06/06/2026
CastellónAlmeria
11
D
31/05/2026
AlmeriaValladolid
10
W

Referee Profile

Alejandro Morilla Turrion78 matches

4.86Cards per match
4.59Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
27.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alejandro Morilla Turrion4.86
Other referees5.53

4.86 cards a match, 0.67 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.53).

Cards come from 22 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1283123:5+1827DWWLD
2AlmeriaAlmeria1282223:10+1326DDWWW
3EibarEibar1272321:14+723DLDLW
4Granada CFGranada CF1272320:14+623WWWWW
5Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1271413:13022WLWWW
6GironaGirona1263322:11+1121LWWDD
7BurgosBurgos1263317:13+421DWWLL
8MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
9OviedoOviedo1253417:15+218LDWWL
10SabadellSabadell1245312:11+117LDLWD
11Las PalmasLas Palmas1252517:21-417WWLLD
12CordobaCordoba1251619:22-316DWWLW
13TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
14EldenseEldense1242613:17-414LLWWW
15Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1234518:23-513DLDWL
16ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1232715:22-711WLLLL
19CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
20FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
21AlbaceteAlbacete1221910:23-137WWLLL
22AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1212910:27-175LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1223:527
2AlmeriaAlmeria1223:1026
3EibarEibar1221:1423
4Granada CFGranada CF1220:1423
5Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1213:1322
6GironaGirona1222:1121
7BurgosBurgos1217:1321
8MallorcaMallorca1113:619
9OviedoOviedo1217:1518
10SabadellSabadell1212:1117
11Las PalmasLas Palmas1217:2117
12CordobaCordoba1219:2216
13TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
14EldenseEldense1213:1714
15Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1218:2313
16ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1215:2211
19CadizCadiz1114:1410
20FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
21AlbaceteAlbacete1210:237
22AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1210:275
PromotionRelegation

About the Tenerife vs Almeria forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tenerife and Almeria in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Almeria are 2nd and Tenerife 13th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Tenerife 13-15, Almeria 23-10. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.