AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas Prediction

AD Ceuta FC
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Las Palmas
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta·Pablo Morales Moreno, Spain 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.35
SignalSTRONGModel33%SurpriseMediumGap+10.8%
AD Ceuta FC Rest
7 days
Las Palmas Rest
5 days

AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas: result, form and history

Las Palmas beat AD Ceuta FC 2-0 in the Segunda División on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

AD Ceuta FC tend to win more corners, 7.8 a game to 3.6 for Las Palmas.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.94
X
29%3.25
2
33%2.38
Double Chance
1X
67%1.54
X2
62%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.62
No
51%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.08 + 1.17 = 2.25
Over 1.5
66%1.27
Over 2.5
39%1.87
Over 3.5
20%3.10
Under 1.5
34%3.62
Under 2.5
61%1.95
Under 3.5
80%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.5 = 9
Over 8.5
56%1.74
Over 9.5
45%2.19
Over 10.5
32%2.92
Under 8.5
44%1.99
Under 9.5
55%1.61
Under 10.5
68%1.34
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.1 = 4.5
Over 3.5
61%1.32
Over 4.5
43%1.62
Under 3.5
39%2.80
Under 4.5
57%2.22

Match Events

29'T. Miyashiro
32'J. RomeroUnsportsmanlike conduct
50'K. KoneUnsportsmanlike conduct
64'A. Camacho INC. Teguia out
64'Y. Bodiger INA. Melendez out
66'Jese INR. Cruz out
69'M. FusterAssist: T. Miyashiro
73'K. Zalazar INA. Osoro out
76'E. Loiodice INI. Gonzalez out
87'J. Betancor INA. Rodriguez out
87'M. Fuster INS. Ramirez out
87'G. Bonfanti INS. Ruiz out
90'C. Redruello Nimo INMatos Jose out
90+3'C. TeguiaUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

AD Ceuta FC
4-3-3Coach: Jose Romero
Las Palmas
4-4-2Coach: Ruben de la Barrera
Avg rating6.58
Avg rating6.98
Guillermo Vallejo6.213G. Vallejo
Anuar6.323Anuar
Carlos HernándezC6.36C. Hernández
Adrián Lapeña6.35A. Lapeña
Redru6.616Redru
Kuki Zalazar6.68K. Zalazar
Yann Bodiger7.014Y. Bodiger
Marino Illescas7.310M. Illescas
Kialy Abdoul Kone7.022K. Abdoul Kone
Jordi Escobar6.59J. Escobar
Alejandro Camacho6.27A. Camacho
José Antonio Caro6.913J. Antonio Caro
Valentin Pezzolesi6.927V. Pezzolesi
Alex Suárez6.94A. Suárez
Juanma Herzog6.915J. Herzog
Giovanni Bonfanti6.721G. Bonfanti
Taisei Miyashiro7.611T. Miyashiro
Enzo Loiodice6.712E. Loiodice
Kirian RodríguezC7.520K. Rodríguez
Jefté Betancor6.37J. Betancor
Manuel Fuster8.214M. Fuster
Jesé Rodríguez6.510J. Rodríguez

AD Ceuta FC Substitutes

1Pedro López
3Jose Matos90'for C. Redruello Nimo
34Daniel Mas Soria
4Albert Caparrós
11Cedric Teguia64'replaced by A. Camacho90+3'6.9
20Alejandro Meléndez64'for Y. Bodiger6.3
32Gabriel Okoro73'for K. Zalazar
31Adrián Romero32'
24Victor Corral

Las Palmas Substitutes

35Adrián Suárez
33Víctor Víctor
23Andrés Rodríguez87'for J. Betancor
8Sergio Ruiz87'for G. Bonfanti
30Iván Medina
26Aboubacar Bassinga
6Iñaki González76'for E. Loiodice
16Mateo Acimovic
24Iván Jaime
19Sandro Ramírez87'for M. Fuster
32Rafael Cruz66'for Jese6.7
29Elias Romero

Match Stats

AD Ceuta FCLas Palmas
52%Ball Possession48%
6Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards0
19Total Shots9
4Shots on Goal4
11Shots off Goal2
14Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box1
4Blocked Shots3
18Fouls15
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves4
419Total Passes399
363Passes Accurate340
87%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
Las PalmasLas Palmas
1503Elo Rating 1620
1.33Attack 1.08
1.50Defense 0.97
17%Hit Rate 27%
20.1Shots per Game 9.0
5.3Shots on Target 3.1
7.8Corners per Game 3.6
2.7Cards per Game 4.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
Las PalmasLas Palmas
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
Las PalmasLas Palmas1Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Segunda División08/03/2026
Las PalmasAD Ceuta FC
40
Segunda División14/12/2025
AD Ceuta FCLas Palmas
11

Recent Form

AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
5W2D3L
15/08/2026
FC AndorraAD Ceuta FC
51
L
07/08/2026
AD Ceuta FCMalaga
21
W
29/07/2026
CadizAD Ceuta FC
13
W
26/07/2026
SevillaAD Ceuta FC
21
L
30/05/2026
AD Ceuta FCAlbacete
10
W
24/05/2026
FC AndorraAD Ceuta FC
02
W
16/05/2026
AD Ceuta FCMalaga
14
L
09/05/2026
AD Ceuta FCCastellón
11
D
03/05/2026
Sporting GijonAD Ceuta FC
12
W
26/04/2026
AD Ceuta FCRacing Santander
00
D
Las PalmasLas Palmas
4W2D4L
16/08/2026
Las PalmasAlbacete
21
W
31/07/2026
Las PalmasNEOM
01
L
28/07/2026
Las PalmasUnião de Leiria
32
W
25/07/2026
Las PalmasAl-Ittihad FC
12
L
22/07/2026
Orlando PiratesLas Palmas
10
L
10/06/2026
MalagaLas Palmas
11
D
07/06/2026
Las PalmasMalaga
01
L
31/05/2026
Deportivo La CorunaLas Palmas
12
W
24/05/2026
Las PalmasZaragoza
11
D
16/05/2026
AlmeriaLas Palmas
12
W

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6BurgosBurgos1162316:12+420WWLLW
7MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
9OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6BurgosBurgos1116:1220
7MallorcaMallorca1113:619
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
9OviedoOviedo1115:1218
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

AD Ceuta FC and Las Palmas in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Las Palmas are 14th and AD Ceuta FC 21st, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: AD Ceuta FC 10-25, Las Palmas 14-19. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

AD Ceuta FC and Las Palmas have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.