FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction

FC Andorra
5-1
Finished
HT 1-0
AD Ceuta FC
Estadi de la FAF, Encamp·Rafael Sanchez Lopez, Spain 15/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.35
SignalHIGHModel38%SurpriseHighGap+6.4%
FC Andorra Rest
7 days
AD Ceuta FC Rest
7 days

FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC: the result in context

FC Andorra beat AD Ceuta FC 5-1 in the Segunda División on 15 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: AD Ceuta FC had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for FC Andorra.

AD Ceuta FC tend to win more corners, 7.8 a game to 4.5 for FC Andorra.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.62
X
28%3.80
2
21%5.25
Double Chance
1X
79%1.15
X2
49%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.79
No
49%1.94
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 0.97 = 2.22
Over 1.5
70%1.25
Over 2.5
46%1.83
Over 3.5
25%3.08
Under 1.5
30%3.76
Under 2.5
54%1.97
Under 3.5
75%1.35
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

33'J. CanoAssist: T. Carrique
49'H. SolozabalFoul
52'M. DomenechFoul
62'T. CarriqueAssist: J. Cano
67'S. GolubovicFoul
67'Y. Bodiger INK. Kone out
67'K. Zalazar INA. Melendez out
67'A. Camacho INJ. Escobar out
68'S. Golubovic INQuintana Nacho out
69'Quintana Nacho
74'J. Cano INA. Calvo out
74'M. Domenech INS. Molina out
78'C. Teguia INA. Osoro out
78'M. Illescas INK. Mamah out
82'M. Vila INA. Lopez out
82'D. Alende INL. M. Spatz out
84'Quintana NachoAssist: A. Calvo
87'J. EscobarAssist: K. Kone
90+1'K. MamahFoul
90+3'A. CalvoAssist: E. Akman

Lineups

FC Andorra
4-3-3Coach: Carles Manso
AD Ceuta FC
4-3-3Coach: Jose Romero
Avg rating7.11
Avg rating6.43
Pau López6.313P. López
Thomas Carrique8.717T. Carrique
Marc Bombardo7.25M. Bombardo
Diego Alende7.323D. Alende
Marti VilaC7.320M. Vila
Efe Akman6.68E. Akman
Marc Domenech6.910M. Domenech
Hugo Solozábal6.66H. Solozábal
Jordi Cano8.215J. Cano
Stefan Golubovic5.627S. Golubovic
Hugo López7.529H. López
Guillermo Vallejo7.313G. Vallejo
Anuar6.023Anuar
Carlos HernándezC6.06C. Hernández
Daniel Mas Soria5.334D. Mas Soria
Jose Matos5.73J. Matos
Kuki Zalazar6.38K. Zalazar
Yann Bodiger6.914Y. Bodiger
Marino Illescas6.910M. Illescas
Cedric Teguia6.211C. Teguia
Omar Sadik6.329O. Sadik
Alejandro Camacho7.27A. Camacho

FC Andorra Substitutes

19Nacho Quintana68'replaced by S. Golubovic69'84'9.2
14Sergio Molina74'for M. Domenech6.5
7Alex Calvo74'for J. Cano90+3'7.2
1Kevin Ratti
31Jan Lagunas
3Lautaro Spatz82'for D. Alende6.5
2Juan Sebastian Serrano
18Andoni López82'for M. Vila6.2
22Aitor Uzkudun
28Tiago Olmedo

AD Ceuta FC Substitutes

20Alejandro Meléndez67'for K. Zalazar6.6
9Jordi Escobar67'replaced by A. Camacho87'7.2
22Kialy Abdoul Kone67'for Y. Bodiger6.6
1Pedro López
18Álex Petxarroman
36Josemi
16Redru
31Adrián Romero
24Victor Corral
21Kenneth Mamah78'for M. Illescas90+1'6.2
32Gabriel Okoro

Match Stats

FC AndorraAD Ceuta FC
63%Ball Possession37%
2Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards1
25Total Shots5
11Shots on Goal1
13Shots off Goal3
18Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box1
1Blocked Shots1
22Fouls8
2Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves6
514Total Passes296
448Passes Accurate210
87%Pass Accuracy71%

Team Comparison

FC AndorraFC Andorra
AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
1560Elo Rating 1503
0.87Attack 1.33
1.71Defense 1.50
39%Hit Rate 17%
9.0Shots per Game 20.1
4.0Shots on Target 5.3
4.5Corners per Game 7.8
3.9Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC AndorraFC Andorra
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.3 in second half)
AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

FC AndorraFC Andorra0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC2Wins · 100%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Segunda División24/05/2026
FC AndorraAD Ceuta FC
02
Segunda División04/01/2026
AD Ceuta FCFC Andorra
21

Recent Form

FC AndorraFC Andorra
3W3D4L
07/08/2026
HuescaFC Andorra
40
L
06/08/2026
ZaragozaFC Andorra
01
W
01/08/2026
FC AndorraSabadell
00
D
30/07/2026
FC AndorraEuropa Fc
00
D
25/07/2026
GimnasticFC Andorra
02
W
18/07/2026
FC AndorraStevenage
00
D
14/07/2026
FC AndorraMillwall
21
W
31/05/2026
BurgosFC Andorra
10
L
24/05/2026
FC AndorraAD Ceuta FC
02
L
17/05/2026
Deportivo La CorunaFC Andorra
21
L
AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
5W3D2L
07/08/2026
AD Ceuta FCMalaga
21
W
29/07/2026
CadizAD Ceuta FC
13
W
26/07/2026
SevillaAD Ceuta FC
21
L
30/05/2026
AD Ceuta FCAlbacete
10
W
24/05/2026
FC AndorraAD Ceuta FC
02
W
16/05/2026
AD Ceuta FCMalaga
14
L
09/05/2026
AD Ceuta FCCastellón
11
D
03/05/2026
Sporting GijonAD Ceuta FC
12
W
26/04/2026
AD Ceuta FCRacing Santander
00
D
18/04/2026
ZaragozaAD Ceuta FC
22
D

Referee Profile

Rafael Sanchez Lopez200 matches

4.94Cards per match
4.68Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rafael Sanchez Lopez4.94
Other referees5.14

4.94 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.14).

Cards come from 120 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6BurgosBurgos1162316:12+420WWLLW
7MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
9OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6BurgosBurgos1116:1220
7MallorcaMallorca1113:619
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
9OviedoOviedo1115:1218
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Andorra and AD Ceuta FC in the Segunda División table

FC Andorra and AD Ceuta FC are close in the Segunda División table, 19th and 21st, with 5 points between them. League goal record so far: FC Andorra 15-20, AD Ceuta FC 10-25. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Andorra and AD Ceuta FC have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.