Eibar vs Valladolid Prediction

Segunda DivisiónSpain Spain · Regular Season - 2
Eibar
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Valladolid
Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar·Juan Gordillo, Spain 23/08/2026
EibarEibar
1-0
Finished
ValladolidValladolid

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.44
SignalGOODModel38%SurpriseMediumGap+5.9%
Eibar Rest
7 days
Valladolid Rest
7 days

Eibar vs Valladolid: result, form and history

Eibar beat Valladolid 1-0 in the Segunda División on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Valladolid tend to win more corners, 6.7 a game to 3.8 for Eibar.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%2.10
X
23%3.00
2
28%3.85
Double Chance
1X
72%1.24
X2
51%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%2.01
No
51%1.72
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 0.94 = 2.53
Over 1.5
70%1.44
Over 2.5
47%2.40
Over 3.5
28%4.40
Under 1.5
30%2.62
Under 2.5
53%1.55
Under 3.5
72%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.1 = 9.6
Over 8.5
59%1.70
Over 9.5
50%2.17
Over 10.5
39%2.88
Under 8.5
41%1.97
Under 9.5
50%1.60
Under 10.5
61%1.34
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.6 = 4.7
Over 3.5
61%-
Over 4.5
46%1.45
Under 3.5
39%-
Under 4.5
54%2.53

Match Events

16'S. Alvarez INA. Madariaga out
34'Thiago OjedaFoul
46'Pejino INI. Gil out
48'Juanmi LatasaFoul
50'Kai de RooijFoul
57'Jon GuruzetaArgument
61'T. Ojeda INA. Balboa out
61'K. de Rooij INV. Fernandez out
64'A. RodriguezAssist: A. Madariaga
66'J. Bautista INJavier Marton out
66'J. Guruzeta INA. Ares out
70'Y. Cabanzon INR. van Duiven out
70'J. Latasa INA. Arnuncio out
72'Anaitz ArbillaFoul
78'A. Garrido INL. Nunez out
80'Ivan Garriel MuñozFoul
83'I. Garriel INC. Clerc out
90+2'Malcom AresFoul

Lineups

Eibar
4-2-3-1Coach: Jokin Aranbarri
Valladolid
4-2-3-1Coach: Fran Escriba
Avg rating6.97
Avg rating6.67
J. Magunagoitia6.913J. Magunagoitia
A. Rodriguez7.922A. Rodriguez
U. Elgezabal7.24U. Elgezabal
A. ArbillaC7.323A. Arbilla
J. Bernat6.624J. Bernat
A. Garrido7.330A. Garrido
S. Alvarez6.76S. Alvarez
Pejino6.917Pejino
J. Magunazelaia Argoitia6.911J. Magunazelaia Argoitia
J. Guruzeta6.610J. Guruzeta
J. Bautista6.39J. Bautista
A. Aceves7.21A. Aceves
I. AlejoC6.614I. Alejo
R. Martinez6.95R. Martinez
D. Torres7.34D. Torres
I. Garriel6.527I. Garriel
T. Ojeda6.98T. Ojeda
J. Ponceau7.221J. Ponceau
Y. Cabanzon6.711Y. Cabanzon
L. Chacon6.27L. Chacon
K. de Rooij6.922K. de Rooij
J. Latasa5.99J. Latasa

Eibar Substitutes

1L. Lopez
2S. Cubero
15J. Amador
18M. Arana
21I. Gil46'for Pejino7.6
28L. Nunez78'for A. Garrido6.7
8A. Madariaga16'for S. Alvarez7.5
20Javier Marton66'for J. Bautista6.2
7A. Ares66'for J. Guruzeta90+2'6.9
32C. Lumbreras
35L. Sarasketa

Valladolid Substitutes

31H. Wauthier
18C. Clerc83'for I. Garriel6.3
2Trilli
35A. Galdeano
6M. Lachuer
16A. Balboa61'for T. Ojeda6.6
15P. Tomeo
28D. Perez Guerrero
20R. van Duiven70'for Y. Cabanzon6.3
17V. Barbera
30V. Fernandez61'for K. de Rooij6.5
19A. Arnuncio70'for J. Latasa6.7

Match Stats

EibarValladolid
42%Ball Possession58%
5Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards4
12Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box6
3Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots3
8Fouls13
2Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves2
426Total Passes570
365Passes Accurate485
86%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

EibarEibar
ValladolidValladolid
1687Elo Rating 1544
1.34Attack 2.46
1.20Defense 1.30
31%Hit Rate 34%
14.3Shots per Game 15.3
5.5Shots on Target 6.8
3.8Corners per Game 6.7
1.5Cards per Game 4.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+143 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

EibarEibar
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ValladolidValladolid
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

EibarEibar3Wins · 38%
Draws225%
ValladolidValladolid3Wins · 37%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Segunda División13/04/2026
ValladolidEibar
00
Segunda División19/12/2025
EibarValladolid
30
Segunda División24/03/2024
ValladolidEibar
31
Segunda División27/10/2023
EibarValladolid
51
Segunda División08/05/2022
EibarValladolid
02
Segunda División31/10/2021
ValladolidEibar
20
La Liga13/02/2021
EibarValladolid
11
La Liga03/10/2020
ValladolidEibar
12

Recent Form

EibarEibar
4W3D3L
16/08/2026
EibarTenerife
13
L
08/08/2026
Real UniónEibar
11
D
01/08/2026
EibarArenas Getxo
50
W
29/07/2026
Real Sociedad IIEibar
01
W
25/07/2026
Athletic ClubEibar
22
D
18/07/2026
AlavesEibar
11
D
31/05/2026
CastellónEibar
21
L
24/05/2026
EibarCordoba
20
W
16/05/2026
Cultural LeonesaEibar
21
L
10/05/2026
MirandesEibar
01
W
ValladolidValladolid
4W1D5L
15/08/2026
MallorcaValladolid
20
L
08/08/2026
Sporting GijonValladolid
24
W
05/08/2026
Gimnástica SegovianaValladolid
03
W
01/08/2026
GroningenValladolid
10
L
29/07/2026
ValladolidCD Coria
41
W
25/07/2026
ValladolidGetafe
00
D
31/05/2026
AlmeriaValladolid
10
L
24/05/2026
ValladolidDeportivo La Coruna
02
L
16/05/2026
Racing SantanderValladolid
41
L
09/05/2026
ValladolidZaragoza
20
W

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6BurgosBurgos1162316:12+420WWLLW
7MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
9OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6BurgosBurgos1116:1220
7MallorcaMallorca1113:619
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
9OviedoOviedo1115:1218
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

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About the Eibar vs Valladolid forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Eibar and Valladolid in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Eibar are 3rd and Valladolid 15th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Eibar 20-13, Valladolid 16-16. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.