AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC: the result in context
Burgos beat AD Ceuta FC 3-1 in the Segunda División on 11 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
AD Ceuta FC tend to win more corners, 7.8 a game to 5.1 for Burgos.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
13A. Cantero
23A. Dadie
5M. Expósito
8Grego
3I. Vilarrasa
14D. González
20J. Gragera
12U. Vencedor
19J. Llabrés
7J. Karrikaburu
16C. Sánchez
1P. López
16Redru
6C. Hernández
14Y. Bodiger
3J. Matos
8Kuki
17M. Mensah
19E. Sevikyan
29O. Sadik
7A. Camacho RamírezBurgos Substitutes
AD Ceuta FC Substitutes
Match Stats
Team Comparison
AI Insights
Game State Tendencies
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Previous meetings
Recent Form
League Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:4 | +18 | 26 | WWLDW | |
| 2 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 25 | DWWWW | |
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 22 | LDLWW | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22:10 | +12 | 21 | WWDDW | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:14 | +4 | 20 | WWWWL | |
| 6 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:12 | +4 | 20 | WWLLW | |
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 13:6 | +7 | 19 | DDWDL | |
| 8 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 19 | LWWWL | |
| 9 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | +3 | 18 | DWWLW | |
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | +2 | 17 | DLWDD | |
| 11 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 15 | WWLWL | |
| 12 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 | DDDLD | |
| 13 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 | LWWWL | |
| 14 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 | WLLDL | |
| 15 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 | LLWDW | |
| 16 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 12 | LDWLD | |
| 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7:16 | -9 | 12 | DLLLL | |
| 18 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 | WLLWD | |
| 19 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 10 | LLWDW | |
| 20 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 8 | LLLLL | |
| 21 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | 5 | LLLDW | |
| 22 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 4 | WLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 22:4 | 26 | |
| 2 | 11 | 22:9 | 25 | |
| 3 | 11 | 20:13 | 22 | |
| 4 | 11 | 22:10 | 21 | |
| 5 | 11 | 18:14 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 16:12 | 20 | |
| 7 | 11 | 13:6 | 19 | |
| 8 | 11 | 11:13 | 19 | |
| 9 | 11 | 15:12 | 18 | |
| 10 | 11 | 11:9 | 17 | |
| 11 | 11 | 17:20 | 15 | |
| 12 | 11 | 13:15 | 14 | |
| 13 | 11 | 13:15 | 14 | |
| 14 | 11 | 14:19 | 14 | |
| 15 | 11 | 16:16 | 12 | |
| 16 | 11 | 16:21 | 12 | |
| 17 | 11 | 7:16 | 12 | |
| 18 | 11 | 14:14 | 10 | |
| 19 | 11 | 15:20 | 10 | |
| 20 | 11 | 14:22 | 8 | |
| 21 | 11 | 10:25 | 5 | |
| 22 | 11 | 8:22 | 4 |
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This match
More Segunda División matches
About the Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC forecast
The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Burgos and AD Ceuta FC in the Segunda División table
In the Segunda División table, Burgos are 6th and AD Ceuta FC 21st, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Burgos 16-12, AD Ceuta FC 10-25. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Burgos and AD Ceuta FC have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.


