Gold Coast United vs Lions Prediction

Queensland NPLAustralia Australia · Regular Season - 19
Gold Coast United
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Lions
18/07/2026
Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United
0-1
Finished
LionsLions

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
90%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+9.5%
Gold Coast United Rest
6 days
Lions Rest
5 days

Gold Coast United vs Lions: the result in context

Lions beat Gold Coast United 1-0 in the Queensland NPL on 18 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Lions had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Gold Coast United.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.4 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
3%7.50
X
7%5.72
2
90%1.25
Double Chance
1X
10%3.35
X2
97%1.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.50
No
45%2.27
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.84 + 2.77 = 3.61
Over 1.5
89%1.03
Over 2.5
75%1.24
Over 3.5
53%1.68
Under 1.5
11%7.15
Under 2.5
25%3.40
Under 3.5
47%2.02
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45'

Team Comparison

Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United
LionsLions
1361Elo Rating 1681
0.90Attack 1.69
2.24Defense 1.55
46%Hit Rate 58%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.61 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
LionsLions
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
LionsLions3Wins · 30%
3.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Queensland NPL19/04/2026
LionsGold Coast United
10
Queensland NPL09/08/2025
Gold Coast UnitedLions
02
Queensland NPL18/05/2025
LionsGold Coast United
24
Queensland NPL04/08/2024
LionsGold Coast United
22
Queensland NPL28/04/2024
Gold Coast UnitedLions
32
Queensland NPL15/07/2023
Gold Coast UnitedLions
20
Queensland NPL09/04/2023
LionsGold Coast United
01
Queensland NPL30/07/2022
LionsGold Coast United
12
Queensland NPL30/04/2022
Gold Coast UnitedLions
33
Queensland NPL02/10/2021
LionsGold Coast United
31

Recent Form

Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United
2W0D8L
12/07/2026
Gold Coast UnitedOlympic
30
W
05/07/2026
Gold Coast UnitedMagic United
13
L
28/06/2026
Gold Coast UnitedMoreton City Excelsior
01
L
20/06/2026
Gold Coast UnitedBrisbane Roar II
14
L
13/06/2026
Gold Coast UnitedBrisbane City
02
L
07/06/2026
Gold Coast UnitedWDSC Wolves
12
L
30/05/2026
Gold Coast UnitedPeninsula Power
04
L
23/05/2026
Gold Coast UnitedRochedale Rovers
40
W
10/05/2026
Eastern SuburbsGold Coast United
21
L
19/04/2026
LionsGold Coast United
10
L
LionsLions
8W0D2L
12/07/2026
LionsEastern Suburbs
10
W
07/07/2026
Gold Coast KnightsLions
21
L
04/07/2026
LionsOlympic
20
W28/06/2026
LionsWDSC Wolves
62
W
21/06/2026
LionsRochedale Rovers
21
W
06/06/2026
Brisbane CityLions
04
W
31/05/2026
Magic UnitedLions
35
W
15/05/2026
Brisbane Roar IILions
13
W
09/05/2026
LionsMoreton City Excelsior
20
W
25/04/2026
Peninsula PowerLions
32
L

League Table

Queensland NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LionsLions22172357:22+3553WWWWW
2Peninsula PowerPeninsula Power22136349:27+2245DDLDD
3Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior22123751:35+1639LWLDW
4Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast Knights22115646:32+1438WDLDL
5Brisbane CityBrisbane City2297647:48-134DWLWD
6WDSC WolvesWDSC Wolves2296736:40-433LDWWD
7Eastern SuburbsEastern Suburbs22921134:35-129LDLLL
8OlympicOlympic22821239:43-426LLWWL
9Magic UnitedMagic United22711433:59-2622WWLWL
10Rochedale RoversRochedale Rovers22631334:52-1821WLWLL
11Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United22621426:39-1320WLWDL
12Brisbane Roar IIBrisbane Roar II22511632:52-2016LLWLW
#TeamMPGPts
1LionsLions2257:2253
2Peninsula PowerPeninsula Power2249:2745
3Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior2251:3539
4Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast Knights2246:3238
5Brisbane CityBrisbane City2247:4834
6WDSC WolvesWDSC Wolves2236:4033
7Eastern SuburbsEastern Suburbs2234:3529
8OlympicOlympic2239:4326
9Magic UnitedMagic United2233:5922
10Rochedale RoversRochedale Rovers2234:5221
11Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United2226:3920
12Brisbane Roar IIBrisbane Roar II2232:5216

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About the Gold Coast United vs Lions forecast

The forecasts for this Queensland NPL match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gold Coast United and Lions in the Queensland NPL table

The table shows a wide gap: Lions are 1st in the Queensland NPL, while Gold Coast United sit 11th, 33 points behind. League goal record so far: Gold Coast United 26-39, Lions 57-22. The full standings are on the Queensland NPL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.