Gold Coast Knights vs Gold Coast United Prediction

25/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalHIGHModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+4.7%
Gold Coast Knights Rest
7 days
Gold Coast United Rest
7 days

Gold Coast Knights vs Gold Coast United: the result in context

Gold Coast Knights and Gold Coast United drew 1-1 in the Queensland NPL on 25 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Gold Coast Knights have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
76%1.40
X
14%4.60
2
10%5.26
Double Chance
1X
90%1.10
X2
24%2.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.44
No
43%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.49 + 0.94 = 3.43
Over 1.5
88%1.06
Over 2.5
72%1.30
Over 3.5
49%1.84
Under 1.5
12%6.20
Under 2.5
28%2.98
Under 3.5
51%1.85
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Team Comparison

Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast Knights
Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United
1503Elo Rating 1361
0.99Attack 0.90
2.07Defense 2.24
23%Hit Rate 46%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+143 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.43 goals

Game State Tendencies

Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast Knights
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast Knights6Wins · 60%
Draws110%
Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United3Wins · 30%
2.7Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Queensland NPL02/08/2025
Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast Knights
01
Queensland NPL24/05/2025
Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast United
01
Queensland NPL01/06/2024
Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast United
51
Queensland NPL01/03/2024
Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast Knights
12
Queensland NPL03/06/2023
Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast Knights
12
Queensland NPL24/02/2023
Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast United
03
Queensland NPL05/08/2022
Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast Knights
22
Queensland NPL07/05/2022
Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast United
10
Queensland NPL24/10/2021
Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast United
04
Queensland NPL08/05/2021
Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast Knights
01

Recent Form

Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast Knights
6W1D3L
18/07/2026
Gold Coast KnightsWDSC Wolves
12
L
12/07/2026
Gold Coast KnightsBrisbane City
00
D
07/07/2026
Gold Coast KnightsLions
21
W
04/07/2026
Gold Coast KnightsMoreton City Excelsior
21
W
26/06/2026
Rochedale RoversGold Coast Knights
41
L
23/06/2026
Gold Coast KnightsEastern Suburbs
41
W
19/06/2026
Gold Coast KnightsMagic United
21
W
05/06/2026
Gold Coast KnightsOlympic
52
W
15/05/2026
Peninsula PowerGold Coast Knights
20
L
10/05/2026
Gold Coast KnightsBrisbane Roar II
32
W
Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United
2W0D8L
18/07/2026
Gold Coast UnitedLions
01
L
12/07/2026
Gold Coast UnitedOlympic
30
W
05/07/2026
Gold Coast UnitedMagic United
13
L
28/06/2026
Gold Coast UnitedMoreton City Excelsior
01
L
20/06/2026
Gold Coast UnitedBrisbane Roar II
14
L
13/06/2026
Gold Coast UnitedBrisbane City
02
L
07/06/2026
Gold Coast UnitedWDSC Wolves
12
L
30/05/2026
Gold Coast UnitedPeninsula Power
04
L
23/05/2026
Gold Coast UnitedRochedale Rovers
40
W
10/05/2026
Eastern SuburbsGold Coast United
21
L

League Table

Queensland NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LionsLions22172357:22+3553WWWWW
2Peninsula PowerPeninsula Power22136349:27+2245DDLDD
3Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior22123751:35+1639LWLDW
4Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast Knights22115646:32+1438WDLDL
5Brisbane CityBrisbane City2297647:48-134DWLWD
6WDSC WolvesWDSC Wolves2296736:40-433LDWWD
7Eastern SuburbsEastern Suburbs22921134:35-129LDLLL
8OlympicOlympic22821239:43-426LLWWL
9Magic UnitedMagic United22711433:59-2622WWLWL
10Rochedale RoversRochedale Rovers22631334:52-1821WLWLL
11Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United22621426:39-1320WLWDL
12Brisbane Roar IIBrisbane Roar II22511632:52-2016LLWLW
#TeamMPGPts
1LionsLions2257:2253
2Peninsula PowerPeninsula Power2249:2745
3Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior2251:3539
4Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast Knights2246:3238
5Brisbane CityBrisbane City2247:4834
6WDSC WolvesWDSC Wolves2236:4033
7Eastern SuburbsEastern Suburbs2234:3529
8OlympicOlympic2239:4326
9Magic UnitedMagic United2233:5922
10Rochedale RoversRochedale Rovers2234:5221
11Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United2226:3920
12Brisbane Roar IIBrisbane Roar II2232:5216

About the Gold Coast Knights vs Gold Coast United forecast

The forecasts for this Queensland NPL match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gold Coast Knights and Gold Coast United in the Queensland NPL table

The table shows a wide gap: Gold Coast Knights are 4th in the Queensland NPL, while Gold Coast United sit 11th, 18 points behind. League goal record so far: Gold Coast Knights 46-32, Gold Coast United 26-39. The full standings are on the Queensland NPL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.