Moreton City Excelsior vs Lions Prediction

14/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.83
SignalNEUTRALModel35%SurpriseHighGap+5.5%
Moreton City Excelsior Rest
6 days
Lions Rest
3 days

Moreton City Excelsior vs Lions: result, form and history

Lions beat Moreton City Excelsior 2-0 in the Queensland NPL on 14 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Lions had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Moreton City Excelsior.

Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.45
X
20%3.66
2
46%2.33
Double Chance
1X
54%1.49
X2
66%1.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.31
No
38%3.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 1.91 = 3.25
Over 1.5
84%1.07
Over 2.5
65%1.34
Over 3.5
44%1.85
Under 1.5
16%5.95
Under 2.5
35%2.83
Under 3.5
56%1.83
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

32'
78'
82'

Team Comparison

Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior
LionsLions
1527Elo Rating 1681
0.87Attack 1.69
1.35Defense 1.55
17%Hit Rate 58%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.25 goals

Game State Tendencies

Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LionsLions
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior2Wins · 29%
Draws114%
LionsLions4Wins · 57%
2.7Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
57%3+ goals4 of 7

Previous meetings

Queensland NPL09/05/2026
LionsMoreton City Excelsior
20
Queensland NPL13/09/2025
Moreton City ExcelsiorLions
12
Queensland NPL13/07/2025
LionsMoreton City Excelsior
00
Queensland NPL05/04/2025
Moreton City ExcelsiorLions
31
Queensland NPL07/09/2024
Moreton City ExcelsiorLions
01
Queensland NPL13/07/2024
LionsMoreton City Excelsior
12
Queensland NPL14/04/2024
Moreton City ExcelsiorLions
24

Recent Form

Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior
4W3D3L
08/08/2026
OlympicMoreton City Excelsior
12
W
02/08/2026
Brisbane Roar IIMoreton City Excelsior
20
L
18/07/2026
Moreton City ExcelsiorPeninsula Power
22
D
11/07/2026
Moreton City ExcelsiorMagic United
43
W
04/07/2026
Gold Coast KnightsMoreton City Excelsior
21
L
28/06/2026
Gold Coast UnitedMoreton City Excelsior
01
W
20/06/2026
Moreton City ExcelsiorWDSC Wolves
22
D
16/06/2026
Rochedale RoversMoreton City Excelsior
25
W
05/06/2026
Eastern SuburbsMoreton City Excelsior
00
D
22/05/2026
Moreton City ExcelsiorBrisbane City
25
L
LionsLions
9W0D1L
11/08/2026
LionsMelbourne City
20
W
07/08/2026
LionsBrisbane Roar II
42
W
01/08/2026
LionsPeninsula Power
10
W
21/07/2026
LionsPerth Glory
4020
W
18/07/2026
Gold Coast UnitedLions
01
W
12/07/2026
LionsEastern Suburbs
10
W
07/07/2026
Gold Coast KnightsLions
21
L
04/07/2026
LionsOlympic
20
W
28/06/2026
LionsWDSC Wolves
62
W
21/06/2026
LionsRochedale Rovers
21
W

League Table

Queensland NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LionsLions22172357:22+3553WWWWW
2Peninsula PowerPeninsula Power22136349:27+2245DDLDD
3Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior22123751:35+1639LWLDW
4Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast Knights22115646:32+1438WDLDL
5Brisbane CityBrisbane City2297647:48-134DWLWD
6WDSC WolvesWDSC Wolves2296736:40-433LDWWD
7Eastern SuburbsEastern Suburbs22921134:35-129LDLLL
8OlympicOlympic22821239:43-426LLWWL
9Magic UnitedMagic United22711433:59-2622WWLWL
10Rochedale RoversRochedale Rovers22631334:52-1821WLWLL
11Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United22621426:39-1320WLWDL
12Brisbane Roar IIBrisbane Roar II22511632:52-2016LLWLW
#TeamMPGPts
1LionsLions2257:2253
2Peninsula PowerPeninsula Power2249:2745
3Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior2251:3539
4Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast Knights2246:3238
5Brisbane CityBrisbane City2247:4834
6WDSC WolvesWDSC Wolves2236:4033
7Eastern SuburbsEastern Suburbs2234:3529
8OlympicOlympic2239:4326
9Magic UnitedMagic United2233:5922
10Rochedale RoversRochedale Rovers2234:5221
11Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United2226:3920
12Brisbane Roar IIBrisbane Roar II2232:5216

About the Moreton City Excelsior vs Lions forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Moreton City Excelsior and Lions in the Queensland NPL table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Lions are 1st in the Queensland NPL, 14 points ahead of Moreton City Excelsior in 3rd. League goal record so far: Moreton City Excelsior 51-35, Lions 57-22. The full standings are on the Queensland NPL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.