Lions vs Eastern Suburbs Prediction

Lions
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Eastern Suburbs
12/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap-1.0%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+7.8%
Lions Rest
4 days
Eastern Suburbs Rest
7 days

Lions vs Eastern Suburbs: the result in context

Lions beat Eastern Suburbs 1-0 in the Queensland NPL on 12 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Lions had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Eastern Suburbs.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 4.9 a game across 9 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
69%1.44
X
17%4.60
2
14%5.00
Double Chance
1X
86%1.11
X2
32%2.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.35
No
38%2.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.63 + 1.1 = 3.73
Over 1.5
89%1.03
Over 2.5
75%1.25
Over 3.5
56%1.69
Under 1.5
11%7.70
Under 2.5
25%3.42
Under 3.5
44%2.02
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

16'

Team Comparison

LionsLions
Eastern SuburbsEastern Suburbs
1681Elo Rating 1419
1.69Attack 0.36
1.55Defense 1.27
58%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+261 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.73 goals
📈BTTS Trend78% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

LionsLions
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Eastern SuburbsEastern Suburbs
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

LionsLions4Wins · 45%
Draws333%
Eastern SuburbsEastern Suburbs2Wins · 22%
4.9Avg Goals
78%Both teams scored7 of 9
78%3+ goals7 of 9

Previous meetings

Queensland NPL14/03/2026
Eastern SuburbsLions
13
Queensland NPL23/08/2025
LionsEastern Suburbs
01
Queensland NPL09/07/2025
Eastern SuburbsLions
43
Queensland NPL20/08/2023
Eastern SuburbsLions
11
Queensland NPL14/05/2023
LionsEastern Suburbs
44
Queensland NPL10/07/2022
LionsEastern Suburbs
32
Queensland NPL10/04/2022
Eastern SuburbsLions
14
Queensland NPL04/09/2021
LionsEastern Suburbs
60
Queensland NPL22/05/2021
Eastern SuburbsLions
33

Recent Form

LionsLions
8W0D2L
07/07/2026
Gold Coast KnightsLions
21
L
04/07/2026
LionsOlympic
20
W
28/06/2026
LionsWDSC Wolves
62
W
21/06/2026
LionsRochedale Rovers
21
W
06/06/2026
Brisbane CityLions
04
W
31/05/2026
Magic UnitedLions
35
W
15/05/2026
Brisbane Roar IILions
13
W
09/05/2026
LionsMoreton City Excelsior
20
W
25/04/2026
Peninsula PowerLions
32
L
19/04/2026
LionsGold Coast United
10
W
Eastern SuburbsEastern Suburbs
6W1D3L
04/07/2026
Eastern SuburbsPeninsula Power
13
L
27/06/2026
Eastern SuburbsOlympic
12
L
23/06/2026
Gold Coast KnightsEastern Suburbs
41
L
20/06/2026
Eastern SuburbsBrisbane City
31
W
16/06/2026
WDSC WolvesEastern Suburbs
12
W
05/06/2026
Eastern SuburbsMoreton City Excelsior
00
D
24/05/2026
Brisbane Roar IIEastern Suburbs
13
W
10/05/2026
Eastern SuburbsGold Coast United
21
W
25/04/2026
Eastern SuburbsRochedale Rovers
61
W
18/04/2026
Magic UnitedEastern Suburbs
02
W

League Table

Queensland NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LionsLions22172357:22+3553WWWWW
2Peninsula PowerPeninsula Power22136349:27+2245DDLDD
3Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior22123751:35+1639LWLDW
4Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast Knights22115646:32+1438WDLDL
5Brisbane CityBrisbane City2297647:48-134DWLWD
6WDSC WolvesWDSC Wolves2296736:40-433LDWWD
7Eastern SuburbsEastern Suburbs22921134:35-129LDLLL
8OlympicOlympic22821239:43-426LLWWL
9Magic UnitedMagic United22711433:59-2622WWLWL
10Rochedale RoversRochedale Rovers22631334:52-1821WLWLL
11Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United22621426:39-1320WLWDL
12Brisbane Roar IIBrisbane Roar II22511632:52-2016LLWLW
#TeamMPGPts
1LionsLions2257:2253
2Peninsula PowerPeninsula Power2249:2745
3Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior2251:3539
4Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast Knights2246:3238
5Brisbane CityBrisbane City2247:4834
6WDSC WolvesWDSC Wolves2236:4033
7Eastern SuburbsEastern Suburbs2234:3529
8OlympicOlympic2239:4326
9Magic UnitedMagic United2233:5922
10Rochedale RoversRochedale Rovers2234:5221
11Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United2226:3920
12Brisbane Roar IIBrisbane Roar II2232:5216

About the Lions vs Eastern Suburbs forecast

The forecasts for this Queensland NPL match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lions and Eastern Suburbs in the Queensland NPL table

In the Queensland NPL table, Lions are 1st and Eastern Suburbs 7th, 24 points apart. League goal record so far: Lions 57-22, Eastern Suburbs 34-35. The full standings are on the Queensland NPL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.