Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior Prediction

02/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.49
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+1.0%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.49
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+8.2%
Brisbane Roar II Rest
13 days
Moreton City Excelsior Rest
14 days

Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior: result, form and history

Brisbane Roar II beat Moreton City Excelsior 2-0 in the Queensland NPL on 2 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Moreton City Excelsior have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 4.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
16%4.50
X
16%4.50
2
68%1.49
Double Chance
1X
32%2.33
X2
84%1.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.34
No
37%2.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 2.59 = 3.84
Over 1.5
90%1.03
Over 2.5
77%1.24
Over 3.5
59%1.67
Under 1.5
10%7.30
Under 2.5
23%3.42
Under 3.5
41%2.06
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

32'
50'
72'

Team Comparison

Brisbane Roar IIBrisbane Roar II
Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior
1360Elo Rating 1527
1.85Attack 0.87
0.91Defense 1.35
34%Hit Rate 17%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Brisbane Roar IIBrisbane Roar II
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Brisbane Roar IIBrisbane Roar II0Wins · 0%
Draws120%
Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior4Wins · 80%
4.0Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored4 of 5
80%3+ goals4 of 5

Previous meetings

Queensland NPL25/04/2026
Moreton City ExcelsiorBrisbane Roar II
60
Queensland NPL21/06/2025
Moreton City ExcelsiorBrisbane Roar II
11
Queensland NPL22/03/2025
Brisbane Roar IIMoreton City Excelsior
12
Queensland NPL02/06/2024
Brisbane Roar IIMoreton City Excelsior
13
Queensland NPL02/03/2024
Moreton City ExcelsiorBrisbane Roar II
32

Recent Form

Brisbane Roar IIBrisbane Roar II
2W1D7L
19/07/2026
OlympicBrisbane Roar II
31
L
10/07/2026
Brisbane Roar IIRochedale Rovers
41
W
05/07/2026
Brisbane CityBrisbane Roar II
11
D
27/06/2026
Peninsula PowerBrisbane Roar II
31
L
20/06/2026
Gold Coast UnitedBrisbane Roar II
14
W
06/06/2026
Magic UnitedBrisbane Roar II
21
L
02/06/2026
WDSC WolvesBrisbane Roar II
21
L
24/05/2026
Brisbane Roar IIEastern Suburbs
13
L
15/05/2026
Brisbane Roar IILions
13
L
10/05/2026
Gold Coast KnightsBrisbane Roar II
32
L
Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior
4W3D3L
18/07/2026
Moreton City ExcelsiorPeninsula Power
22
D
11/07/2026
Moreton City ExcelsiorMagic United
43
W
04/07/2026
Gold Coast KnightsMoreton City Excelsior
21
L
28/06/2026
Gold Coast UnitedMoreton City Excelsior
01
W
20/06/2026
Moreton City ExcelsiorWDSC Wolves
22
D
16/06/2026
Rochedale RoversMoreton City Excelsior
25
W
05/06/2026
Eastern SuburbsMoreton City Excelsior
00
D
22/05/2026
Moreton City ExcelsiorBrisbane City
25
L
16/05/2026
Moreton City ExcelsiorOlympic
43
W
09/05/2026
LionsMoreton City Excelsior
20
L

League Table

Queensland NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LionsLions22172357:22+3553WWWWW
2Peninsula PowerPeninsula Power22136349:27+2245DDLDD
3Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior22123751:35+1639LWLDW
4Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast Knights22115646:32+1438WDLDL
5Brisbane CityBrisbane City2297647:48-134DWLWD
6WDSC WolvesWDSC Wolves2296736:40-433LDWWD
7Eastern SuburbsEastern Suburbs22921134:35-129LDLLL
8OlympicOlympic22821239:43-426LLWWL
9Magic UnitedMagic United22711433:59-2622WWLWL
10Rochedale RoversRochedale Rovers22631334:52-1821WLWLL
11Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United22621426:39-1320WLWDL
12Brisbane Roar IIBrisbane Roar II22511632:52-2016LLWLW
#TeamMPGPts
1LionsLions2257:2253
2Peninsula PowerPeninsula Power2249:2745
3Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior2251:3539
4Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast Knights2246:3238
5Brisbane CityBrisbane City2247:4834
6WDSC WolvesWDSC Wolves2236:4033
7Eastern SuburbsEastern Suburbs2234:3529
8OlympicOlympic2239:4326
9Magic UnitedMagic United2233:5922
10Rochedale RoversRochedale Rovers2234:5221
11Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United2226:3920
12Brisbane Roar IIBrisbane Roar II2232:5216

About the Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Brisbane Roar II and Moreton City Excelsior in the Queensland NPL table

The table shows a wide gap: Moreton City Excelsior are 3rd in the Queensland NPL, while Brisbane Roar II sit 12th, 23 points behind. League goal record so far: Brisbane Roar II 32-52, Moreton City Excelsior 51-35. The full standings are on the Queensland NPL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Brisbane Roar II have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.