Greece vs Germany Prediction

Greece
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Germany
Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki·Clement Turpin 04/10/2026
GreeceGreece
0-0
Finished
GermanyGermany

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.56
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+9.0%
Greece Rest
3 days
Germany Rest
3 days

Greece vs Germany: result, form and history

Greece and Germany drew 0-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 4 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Clement Turpin averages 3.58 cards a game, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%4.20
X
24%3.90
2
52%1.81
Double Chance
1X
48%2.00
X2
76%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.55
No
46%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.96 + 0.99 = 1.95
Over 1.5
79%1.17
Over 2.5
56%1.62
Over 3.5
36%2.47
Under 1.5
21%4.85
Under 2.5
44%2.35
Under 3.5
64%1.51
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.8 = 9.6
Over 8.5
56%1.60
Over 9.5
46%2.00
Over 10.5
34%2.55
Under 8.5
44%2.23
Under 9.5
54%1.73
Under 10.5
66%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.7 = 3.6
Over 3.5
48%1.80
Over 4.5
29%2.33
Under 3.5
52%1.91
Under 4.5
71%1.56

Match Events

23'Konstantinos TsimikasFoul
32'Goal cancelledJonathan Burkardt
36'Waldemar AntonFoul
45'Alexandros Kyziridis INAthanasios Androutsos out
45'Vangelis Pavlidis INKonstantinos Karetsas out
53'Christos ZafeirisArgument
63'Lennart Karl INSaid El Mala out
63'Jonathan Burkardt INNick Woltemade out
66'Philipp TreuFoul
68'Dimitrios Kourbelis INChristos Mouzakitis out
73'Ivan JovanovićDissent
78'Konstantinos Mavropanos INPanagiotis Retsos out
79'Manolis SaliakasFoul
83'Derry Lionel Scherhant INBambasé Conté out
83'Tom Bischof INMika Baur out
88'Fotis Ioannidis INCharalampos Kostoulas out
90'Malick ThiawFoul

Lineups

Greece
4-4-2Coach: I. Jovanović
Germany
4-4-2Coach: J. Klopp
Avg rating6.56
Avg rating6.74
K. Tzolakis7.112K. Tzolakis
M. Saliakas6.017M. Saliakas
K. Mavropanos7.04K. Mavropanos
K. Koulierakis7.03K. Koulierakis
K. Tsimikas6.521K. Tsimikas
G. Masouras6.17G. Masouras
D. Kourbelis6.46D. Kourbelis
C. Zafeiris6.220C. Zafeiris
A. Kyziridis6.723A. Kyziridis
V. Pavlidis6.414V. Pavlidis
F. Ioannidis6.38F. Ioannidis
J. Urbig7.11J. Urbig
P. Treu6.013P. Treu
M. Thiaw6.92M. Thiaw
W. Anton6.73W. Anton
D. Raum7.722D. Raum
L. Karl6.615L. Karl
A. Pavlović7.25A. Pavlović
T. Bischof7.28T. Bischof
D. Scherhant6.89D. Scherhant
F. Wirtz6.617F. Wirtz
J. Burkardt6.210J. Burkardt

Greece Substitutes

9T. Douvikas
15T. Androutsos45'for Alexandros Kyziridis6.6
1O. Vlachodimos
19K. Karetsas45'for Vangelis Pavlidis6.8
11C. Kostoulas88'for Fotis Ioannidis6.5
22G. Kiriakopoulos
13C. Mandas
18G. Michailidis
16C. Mouzakitis68'for Dimitrios Kourbelis6.9
10D. Pelkas
5P. Retsos78'for Konstantinos Mavropanos6.6
2T. Tsapras

Germany Substitutes

11N. Woltemade63'for Jonathan Burkardt6.5
18M. Mittelstädt
20F. Keidel
4Finn Jeltsch
23V. Janelt
6Y. Engelhardt
7S. El Mala63'for Lennart Karl6.3
12F. Dahmen
19B. Conté83'for Derry Lionel Scherhant6.4
14M. Baur83'for Tom Bischof7.0
21N. Atubolu
16R. Baku

Match Stats

GreeceGermany
30%Ball Possession70%
2Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards3
5Total Shots21
2Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal10
5Shots Inside Box10
0Shots Outside Box11
0Blocked Shots7
8Fouls17
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves2
263Total Passes636
183Passes Accurate569
70%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

GreeceGreece
GermanyGermany
1652Elo Rating 1760
0.98Attack 0.76
2.38Defense 2.50
36%Hit Rate 23%
10.9Shots per Game 19.7
3.6Shots on Target 4.8
4.1Corners per Game 6.7
2.4Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

GreeceGreece
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GermanyGermany
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

GreeceGreece1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
GermanyGermany1Wins · 50%
3.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

UEFA Nations League27/09/2026
GermanyGreece
01
Euro Championship22/06/2012
GermanyGreece
42

Recent Form

GreeceGreece
3W3D4L
01/10/2026
GreeceNetherlands
22
D
27/09/2026
GermanyGreece
01
W
24/09/2026
SerbiaGreece
12
W
07/06/2026
GreeceItaly
01
L
04/06/2026
SwedenGreece
22
D
18/11/2025
BelarusGreece
00
D
15/11/2025
GreeceScotland
32
W
12/10/2025
DenmarkGreece
31
L
09/10/2025
ScotlandGreece
31
L
08/09/2025
GreeceDenmark
03
L

Referee Profile

Clement Turpin268 matches

3.58Cards per match
3.34Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Clement Turpin3.58
Other referees4.10

3.58 cards a match, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.10).

Cards come from 261 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NetherlandsNetherlands42207:5+28WDWD
2GreeceGreece42205:3+28DDWW
3GermanyGermany41213:2+15DWLD
4SerbiaSerbia40043:8-50LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NetherlandsNetherlands47:58
2GreeceGreece45:38
3GermanyGermany43:25
4SerbiaSerbia43:80

About the Greece vs Germany forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Greece and Germany in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Greece are 2nd in the UEFA Nations League, 3 points ahead of Germany in 3rd. League goal record so far: Greece 5-3, Germany 3-2. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Greece and Germany have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.