Greenville Triumph vs One Knoxville Prediction

Paladin Stadium 16/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.42
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseHighGap-2.1%
Greenville Triumph Rest
2 days
One Knoxville Rest
6 days

Greenville Triumph vs One Knoxville: the result in context

Greenville Triumph and One Knoxville drew 1-1 in the USL League One on 16 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.9 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%2.49
X
26%3.35
2
48%2.43
Double Chance
1X
52%1.44
X2
74%1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.50
No
56%2.27
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.18
Over 2.5
39%1.61
Over 3.5
19%2.46
Under 1.5
37%3.63
Under 2.5
61%2.11
Under 3.5
81%1.43
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

34'W. Akio
46'R. Gill INM. Goling out
46'M. NourAssist: W. Akio
54'E. Lee
63'B. Uderitz IND. Williams out
63'E. Conway INN. Rosamilia out
66'K. Fritz IND. Boyce out
70'T. Baker
70'W. Perkins INBull out
76'D. Williams
78'A. Caputo INJ. J. Murphy out
86'W. Akio INR. Robles out
90+2'C. Evans IND. Wu out
90+3'N. RosamiliaAssist: T. Baker

Team Comparison

Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph
One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville
1371Elo Rating 1566
1.45Attack 1.72
0.53Defense 2.04
23%Hit Rate 46%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.7 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville4Wins · 40%
1.9Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

USL League One30/05/2026
One KnoxvilleGreenville Triumph
20
USL League One26/10/2025
One KnoxvilleGreenville Triumph
10
USL League One10/04/2025
Greenville TriumphOne Knoxville
01
US Open Cup03/04/2025
Greenville TriumphOne Knoxville
13
USL League One02/11/2024
Greenville TriumphOne Knoxville
21
USL League One28/07/2024
Greenville TriumphOne Knoxville
00
USL League One23/06/2024
One KnoxvilleGreenville Triumph
02
US Open Cup04/04/2024
One KnoxvilleGreenville Triumph
2232
USL League One17/09/2023
One KnoxvilleGreenville Triumph
01
USL League One16/07/2023
Greenville TriumphOne Knoxville
10

Recent Form

Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph
2W3D5L
13/08/2026
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
11
D
09/08/2026
Charlotte IndependenceGreenville Triumph
10
L
02/08/2026
Greenville TriumphPortland Hearts of Pine
33
D
30/07/2026
Greenville TriumphBoise
32
W
26/07/2026
Corpus ChristiGreenville Triumph
10
L
19/07/2026
Fort WayneGreenville Triumph
30
L
12/07/2026
Greenville TriumphRichmond Kickers
12
L
09/07/2026
Greenville TriumphSarasota Paradise
00
D
05/07/2026
NY CosmosGreenville Triumph
03
W
25/06/2026
Charlotte IndependenceGreenville Triumph
10
L

League Table

USL League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence32206674:46+2866LWWWD
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha32195854:34+2062DLLWW
3BoiseBoise32177851:41+1058WWWWL
4Forward MadisonForward Madison32168854:30+2456DWLDL
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity321661050:44+654LDWLW
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville32159852:36+1654WLWLD
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves321451351:45+647DLLWL
8NaplesNaples321441439:46-746WWWWW
9Fort WayneFort Wayne321291147:42+545LLWWD
10Westchester SCWestchester SC321171455:51+440DWWWD
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise321171449:51-240DLWWL
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi329101336:51-1537DLLLL
13AltaAlta328101440:48-834DLDLL
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine328101448:58-1034WLLDL
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph32861837:60-2330WLWDL
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos32761940:66-2627DDLLL
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers32752037:65-2826LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence3274:4666
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha3254:3462
3BoiseBoise3251:4158
4Forward MadisonForward Madison3254:3056
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity3250:4454
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville3252:3654
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves3251:4547
8NaplesNaples3239:4646
9Fort WayneFort Wayne3247:4245
10Westchester SCWestchester SC3255:5140
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise3249:5140
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi3236:5137
13AltaAlta3240:4834
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine3248:5834
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph3237:6030
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos3240:6627
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers3237:6526
Promotion

About the Greenville Triumph vs One Knoxville forecast

The forecasts for this USL League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Greenville Triumph and One Knoxville in the USL League One table

In the USL League One table, One Knoxville are 6th and Greenville Triumph 15th, 24 points apart. League goal record so far: Greenville Triumph 37-60, One Knoxville 52-36. The full standings are on the USL League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.