Union Omaha vs Sarasota Paradise Prediction

Werner Park 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.47
SignalGOODModel76%SurpriseMediumGap+5.3%
Union Omaha Rest
6 days
Sarasota Paradise Rest
2 days

Union Omaha vs Sarasota Paradise: result, form and history

Union Omaha and Sarasota Paradise drew 1-1 in the USL League One on 23 Aug 2026. Union Omaha had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 1 for Sarasota Paradise.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
77%1.47
X
14%4.25
2
9%5.20
Double Chance
1X
91%1.11
X2
23%2.39
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.66
No
56%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.14
Over 2.5
39%1.55
Over 3.5
19%2.35
Under 1.5
37%4.32
Under 2.5
61%2.25
Under 3.5
81%1.47
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

28'C. StretchAssist: A. Rodriguez
29'M. VargasFoul
43'E. TerzaghiFoul
45+4'A. RodriguezHandling
45+6'B. KallmanFoul
61'R. Jiba INA. Gavilanes out
61'A. Gomez INP. Botello Faz out
61'M. Vargas INK. Tekiela out
63'J. Bolanos INE. Bryant out
63'S. Roed INA. Walker out
63'R. Burlew INR. Valentine out
73'E. Terzaghi INS. Karani out
78'D. Gutierrez INE. Caceres out
82'B. Krueger IND. Brulinski out
83'Y. BoudadiFoul
84'S. Ors Navarro INA. Billhardt out
90+1'V. CandelaUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+2'S. KaraniUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+4'P. Botello FazAssist: Gabriel Cabral
90+6'A. BillhardtUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+8'P. Botello FazUnsportsmanlike conduct

Team Comparison

Union OmahaUnion Omaha
Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise
1601Elo Rating 1508
0.89Attack 2.36
2.03Defense 0.82
14%Hit Rate 36%

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Union OmahaUnion Omaha
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Union OmahaUnion Omaha0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise1Wins · 100%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Recent Form

Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise
2W3D5L
20/08/2026
Sarasota ParadiseChattanooga Red Wolves
32
W
16/08/2026
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
31
L
09/08/2026
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
21
L
30/07/2026
Sarasota ParadisePortland Hearts of Pine
22
D
12/07/2026
Sarasota ParadiseMiami FC
05
L
09/07/2026
Greenville TriumphSarasota Paradise
00
D
04/07/2026
Richmond KickersSarasota Paradise
00
D
21/06/2026
Corpus ChristiSarasota Paradise
41
L
14/06/2026
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
20
W
11/06/2026
AltaSarasota Paradise
31
L

League Table

USL League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence32206674:46+2866LWWWD
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha32195854:34+2062DLLWW
3BoiseBoise32177851:41+1058WWWWL
4Forward MadisonForward Madison32168854:30+2456DWLDL
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity321661050:44+654LDWLW
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville32159852:36+1654WLWLD
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves321451351:45+647DLLWL
8NaplesNaples321441439:46-746WWWWW
9Fort WayneFort Wayne321291147:42+545LLWWD
10Westchester SCWestchester SC321171455:51+440DWWWD
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise321171449:51-240DLWWL
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi329101336:51-1537DLLLL
13AltaAlta328101440:48-834DLDLL
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine328101448:58-1034WLLDL
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph32861837:60-2330WLWDL
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos32761940:66-2627DDLLL
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers32752037:65-2826LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence3274:4666
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha3254:3462
3BoiseBoise3251:4158
4Forward MadisonForward Madison3254:3056
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity3250:4454
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville3252:3654
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves3251:4547
8NaplesNaples3239:4646
9Fort WayneFort Wayne3247:4245
10Westchester SCWestchester SC3255:5140
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise3249:5140
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi3236:5137
13AltaAlta3240:4834
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine3248:5834
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph3237:6030
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos3240:6627
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers3237:6526
Promotion

About the Union Omaha vs Sarasota Paradise forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Union Omaha and Sarasota Paradise in the USL League One table

In the USL League One table, Union Omaha are 2nd and Sarasota Paradise 11th, 22 points apart. League goal record so far: Union Omaha 54-34, Sarasota Paradise 49-51. The full standings are on the USL League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Union Omaha and Sarasota Paradise have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.