Groningen vs Utrecht Prediction

Groningen
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Utrecht
Euroborg, Groningen·Joey Kooij, Netherlands 09/08/2026
GroningenGroningen
2-1
Finished
UtrechtUtrecht

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.57
SignalGOODModel38%SurpriseHighGap+8.4%
Groningen Rest
7 days
Utrecht Rest
7 days

Groningen vs Utrecht: result, form and history

Groningen beat Utrecht 2-1 in the Eredivisie on 9 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Groningen had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Utrecht.

Utrecht have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.30
X
25%3.46
2
41%2.91
Double Chance
1X
59%1.37
X2
66%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.61
No
45%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.21 + 1.65 = 2.86
Over 1.5
82%1.22
Over 2.5
57%1.79
Over 3.5
32%2.90
Under 1.5
18%3.90
Under 2.5
43%2.02
Under 3.5
68%1.38
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'B. Willumsson
30'M. Rente INE. van der Laan out
34'Goal Disallowed - offsideB. Willumsson
48'T. van Bergen
62'F. Pohl IND. van den Berg out
62'D. Min INZ. Iqbal out
62'Y. Cathline INA. Blake out
70'S. Horemans ING. Offerhaus out
71'W. Prins INT. Mercera out
79'A. BlakeAssist: D. van den Berg
81'B. Willumsson INT. Hernes out
81'P. Clement INR. Metu out
84'A. Alarcon INK. Paredes out
84'D. de WitRoughing
88'J. van OvereemElbowing

Lineups

Groningen
4-2-3-1Coach: Dick Lukkien
Utrecht
4-3-3Coach: Anthony Correia
Avg rating6.99
Avg rating6.65
Etienne Vaessen8.61E. Vaessen
Jorg Schreuders6.214J. Schreuders
Thijmen BlokzijlC7.23T. Blokzijl
Marco Rente6.95M. Rente
Wouter Prins6.22W. Prins
Tika de Jonge6.08T. de Jonge
Tygo Land7.218T. Land
David van der Werff8.617D. van der Werff
Thom van Bergen7.626T. van Bergen
Pelle Clement6.924P. Clement
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson7.39B. Darri Willumsson
Michael Brouwer6.725M. Brouwer
Niklas Vesterlund6.923N. Vesterlund
Siebe Horemans6.52S. Horemans
Mike Eerdhuijzen6.044M. Eerdhuijzen
Arthur Zagre7.292A. Zagre
Dani De Wit6.320D. De Wit
Joris van OvereemC6.78J. van Overeem
Ferdinand Pohl6.353F. Pohl
Ángel Alarcón5.911Á. Alarcón
David Min6.39D. Min
Yoann Cathline6.610Y. Cathline

Groningen Substitutes

15Elvis Van der Laan30'for M. Rente6.5
31Rijk Janse
13Lovro Štubljar
42Jesper Mosselaar
29Tyrique Mercera71'for W. Prins6.3
12Nikolas Brandis
7Travis Hernes81'for B. Willumsson6.6
53Jahelille Hall
44Jismerai Dillema
16Alvin Nordin
20Nils Eggens
34Ryan Metu81'for P. Clement6.7

Utrecht Substitutes

33Kevin Gadellaa
32Per Kloosterboer
6Guus Offerhaus70'for S. Horemans7.0
34Davy van den Berg62'for F. Pohl6.9
30Kevin Paredes84'for A. Alarcon6.3
14Zidane Iqbal62'for D. Min6.9
47Emmanuel Owen
15Adrian Blake62'for Y. Cathline79'7.9

Match Stats

GroningenUtrecht
59%Ball Possession41%
5Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards2
16Total Shots14
5Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal7
10Shots Inside Box12
6Shots Outside Box2
7Blocked Shots0
12Fouls17
1Offsides4
6Goalkeeper Saves3
449Total Passes306
365Passes Accurate225
81%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

GroningenGroningen
UtrechtUtrecht
1710Elo Rating 1703
2.72Attack 1.59
0.98Defense 1.34
42%Hit Rate 56%
14.5Shots per Game 17.1
5.7Shots on Target 4.8
5.4Corners per Game 4.9
0.9Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

GroningenGroningen
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
UtrechtUtrecht
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

GroningenGroningen2Wins · 20%
Draws220%
UtrechtUtrecht6Wins · 60%
2.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Eredivisie14/02/2026
GroningenUtrecht
12
Eredivisie14/09/2025
UtrechtGroningen
01
Eredivisie13/04/2025
UtrechtGroningen
31
Eredivisie20/10/2024
GroningenUtrecht
01
Eredivisie07/04/2023
GroningenUtrecht
12
Eredivisie06/11/2022
UtrechtGroningen
21
Eredivisie20/03/2022
UtrechtGroningen
13
Eredivisie21/08/2021
GroningenUtrecht
00
Eredivisie19/05/2021
UtrechtGroningen
10
Eredivisie09/01/2021
UtrechtGroningen
22

Recent Form

GroningenGroningen
4W1D5L
01/08/2026
GroningenValladolid
10
W
25/07/2026
GroningenVolos NFC
00
D
24/07/2026
GroningenFC Volendam
04
L
18/07/2026
GroningenAEK Athens FC
12
L
11/07/2026
GroningenEmmen
32
W
08/07/2026
HeraclesGroningen
21
L
21/05/2026
AjaxGroningen
20
L
17/05/2026
HeraclesGroningen
12
W
10/05/2026
GroningenNEC Nijmegen
21
W
02/05/2026
GroningenExcelsior
23
L
UtrechtUtrecht
4W0D6L
02/08/2026
UtrechtSevilla
01
L
24/07/2026
CambuurUtrecht
10
L
17/07/2026
UtrechtV-varen Nagasaki
02
L
27/06/2026
UtrechtDe Graafschap
12
L
24/05/2026
AjaxUtrecht
4030
L
21/05/2026
UtrechtHeerenveen
32
W
17/05/2026
UtrechtFortuna Sittard
20
W
10/05/2026
AjaxUtrecht
12
W
02/05/2026
UtrechtNAC Breda
20
W
26/04/2026
ExcelsiorUtrecht
50
L

Referee Profile

Joey Kooij156 matches

3.35Cards per match
3.22Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
22.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joey Kooij3.35
Other referees3.27

3.35 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.27).

Cards come from 144 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1073032:11+2124DWWWW
2AjaxAjax1063129:13+1621WWDDW
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1062228:13+1520DLWLW
4TwenteTwente1062219:10+920WLDWW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1062220:12+820LDLWD
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1053217:17018WDDWL
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1043318:13+515WWLWD
8GroningenGroningen1043324:21+315DLWWD
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1035223:23014WLDDD
10CambuurCambuur1033419:22-312WDWDW
11UtrechtUtrecht1033417:27-1012DWWLW
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1025317:18-111DDDDL
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1032516:19-311LLLDL
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1023517:24-79LWDLL
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1022611:23-128DWLLL
16TelstarTelstar1013612:21-96LLDLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013613:23-106LWDDL
18Willem IIWillem II1002810:32-222LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1032:1124
2AjaxAjax1029:1321
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1028:1320
4TwenteTwente1019:1020
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1020:1220
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1017:1718
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1018:1315
8GroningenGroningen1024:2115
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1023:2314
10CambuurCambuur1019:2212
11UtrechtUtrecht1017:2712
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1017:1811
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1016:1911
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1017:249
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1011:238
16TelstarTelstar1012:216
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013:236
18Willem IIWillem II1010:322
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Groningen vs Utrecht forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Groningen and Utrecht in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, Groningen are 8th and Utrecht 11th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Groningen 24-21, Utrecht 17-27. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Groningen have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.