Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Willem II
1-4
Finished
HT 0-1
NEC Nijmegen
Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg·Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands 15/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.68
SignalGOODModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+12.8%
Willem II Rest
6 days
NEC Nijmegen Rest
3 days

Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen: result, form and history

NEC Nijmegen beat Willem II 4-1 in the Eredivisie on 15 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 4 matches. NEC Nijmegen tend to win more corners, 7.5 a game to 5.2 for Willem II.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
22%4.58
X
25%4.20
2
53%1.65
Double Chance
1X
47%2.20
X2
78%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.49
No
42%2.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 1.93 = 3.07
Over 1.5
83%1.12
Over 2.5
58%1.44
Over 3.5
32%2.14
Under 1.5
17%5.63
Under 2.5
42%2.66
Under 3.5
68%1.68
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.9 + 5.7 = 9.6
Over 8.5
61%1.31
Over 9.5
49%1.58
Over 10.5
40%1.98
Under 8.5
39%3.00
Under 9.5
51%2.19
Under 10.5
60%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.5
45%2.38
Over 4.5
29%-
Under 3.5
55%1.53
Under 4.5
71%-

Match Events

16'N. Tjoe a OnRoughing
45+2'A. TahauiAssist: C. Bischoff
54'T. Chery
65'B. Linssen
66'B. Linssen INK. Sierhuis out
66'D. Nejasmic INN. Lebreton out
66'C. Bischoff INE. Mor out
67'K. SierhuisAssist: T. Chery
69'N. Tjoe a On INH. ter Avest out
69'E. Gurbuz INT. Verheydt out
69'A. Ciranni INM. Lemmens out
76'D. Fonville INA. Kabar out
77'T. VerheydtAssist: H. ter Avest
89'A. Tahaui INB. Nuytinck out
89'K. Boogaard IND. Iglesias out

Lineups

Willem II
4-4-1-1Coach: John Stegeman
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1Coach: Dick Schreuder
Avg rating6.41
Avg rating6.92
Karst de Leeuw6.731K. de Leeuw
Per van Loon5.622P. van Loon
Finn Stam5.63F. Stam
Justin HoogmaC5.94J. Hoogma
Nathan Tjoe-A-On6.024N. Tjoe-A-On
Eser Gürbüz6.350E. Gürbüz
Alessandro Ciranni6.62A. Ciranni
Kasper Boogaard6.38K. Boogaard
Jaden Slory6.97J. Slory
Uriel van Aalst6.319U. van Aalst
Devin Haen6.69D. Haen
Gonzalo Crettaz6.61G. Crettaz
Brayann Pereira6.32B. Pereira
Tobias Storm7.221T. Storm
Deveron Fonville7.324D. Fonville
Adam Tahaui7.519A. Tahaui
Darko Nejašmić7.76D. Nejašmić
Jamiro Monteiro6.635J. Monteiro
Clement Bischoff7.799C. Bischoff
Tjaronn CheryC8.29T. Chery
Dušan Tadić6.010D. Tadić
Bryan Linssen6.330B. Linssen

Willem II Substitutes

49Ismael Mouhoul
41Tygo Kotte
21Wouter Van der Steen
14Jens Mathijsen
83Mats Lemmens69'for A. Ciranni6.3
15Amine Et-Taibi
5Hidde ter Avest69'for N. Tjoe a On7.0
48Julian van Esdonk
40Divano Fernandez Iglesias89'for K. Boogaard
44Luca Maal
28Thomas Verheydt69'for E. Gurbuz77'7.6

NEC Nijmegen Substitutes

12Nikolas Polster
36Freek Entius
73Gabriel Brás
5Thomas Ouwejan
66Almugera Kabar76'for D. Fonville6.2
17Bram Nuytinck89'for A. Tahaui
7Emre Mor66'for C. Bischoff6.6
11Willum Thor Willumsson
8Isak Hansen Aarøen
14Kaj Sierhuis66'for B. Linssen67'7.3
34Kevin Kers
20Noe Lebreton66'for D. Nejasmic6.3

Match Stats

Willem IINEC Nijmegen
32%Ball Possession68%
1Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards0
9Total Shots21
2Shots on Goal10
2Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box12
2Shots Outside Box9
5Blocked Shots5
10Fouls14
0Offsides3
6Goalkeeper Saves1
279Total Passes591
174Passes Accurate500
62%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

Willem IIWillem II
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
1518Elo Rating 1704
1.86Attack 2.15
0.00Defense 1.31
27%Hit Rate 23%
12.3Shots per Game 17.9
3.1Shots on Target 6.7
5.2Corners per Game 7.5
2.5Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.07 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Willem IIWillem II
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Willem IIWillem II1Wins · 25%
Draws250%
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1Wins · 25%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Eredivisie03/05/2025
NEC NijmegenWillem II
11
Eredivisie22/12/2024
Willem IINEC Nijmegen
41
Eredivisie22/12/2021
Willem IINEC Nijmegen
01
Eredivisie12/09/2021
NEC NijmegenWillem II
00

Recent Form

Willem IIWillem II
5W2D3L
08/08/2026
GO Ahead EaglesWillem II
41
L
01/08/2026
Willem IIOFI
21
W
25/07/2026
Willem IIKV Mechelen
10
W
11/07/2026
Willem IIFC Eindhoven
22
D
04/07/2026
Willem IIQuick Boys
12
L
23/05/2026
FC VolendamWillem II
4152
W
20/05/2026
Willem IIFC Volendam
12
L
16/05/2026
Willem IIAlmere City FC
20
W
13/05/2026
Almere City FCWillem II
01
W
09/05/2026
Willem IIWaalwijk
11
D
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
3W2D5L
11/08/2026
NEC NijmegenOlympiakos Piraeus
2111
W
08/08/2026
NEC NijmegenTelstar
12
L
04/08/2026
Olympiakos PiraeusNEC Nijmegen
00
D
31/07/2026
NEC NijmegenSevilla
12
L
25/07/2026
NEC NijmegenSV Elversberg
01
L
18/07/2026
NEC NijmegenAl-Fayha
70
W
14/07/2026
NEC NijmegenV-varen Nagasaki
31
W
11/07/2026
AnderlechtNEC Nijmegen
32
L
08/07/2026
NEC NijmegenMSV Duisburg
23
L
01/07/2026
De TreffersNEC Nijmegen
11
D

Referee Profile

Serdar Gozubuyuk266 matches

3.99Cards per match
3.85Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Serdar Gozubuyuk3.98
Other referees3.49

3.98 cards a match, 0.49 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.49).

Cards come from 258 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1174033:12+2125DDWWW
2AjaxAjax1173130:13+1724WWWDD
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1172235:13+2223WDLWL
4TwenteTwente1172228:10+1823WWLDW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1162320:13+720LLDLW
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1154218:18019DWDDW
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1153319:13+618WWWLW
8GroningenGroningen1143426:24+215LDLWW
9CambuurCambuur1143423:22+115WWDWD
10GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1135323:27-414LWLDD
11Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1133520:26-612WLWDL
12UtrechtUtrecht1133519:31-1212LDWWL
13NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1125417:19-211LDDDD
14PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1132612:23-1111WDWLL
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1132616:28-1211LLLLD
16TelstarTelstar1123616:23-79WLLDL
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1113713:24-116LLWDD
18Willem IIWillem II1102910:39-292LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1133:1225
2AjaxAjax1130:1324
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1135:1323
4TwenteTwente1128:1023
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1120:1320
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1118:1819
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1119:1318
8GroningenGroningen1126:2415
9CambuurCambuur1123:2215
10GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1123:2714
11Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1120:2612
12UtrechtUtrecht1119:3112
13NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1117:1911
14PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1112:2311
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1116:2811
16TelstarTelstar1116:239
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1113:246
18Willem IIWillem II1110:392
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About the Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Willem II and NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, NEC Nijmegen are 13th and Willem II 18th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Willem II 10-39, NEC Nijmegen 17-19. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.