ADO Den Haag vs Groningen Prediction

ADO Den Haag
1-4
Finished
HT 0-3
Groningen
Bingoal Stadium, Den Haag·Jeroen Manschot, Netherlands 16/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.49
SignalGOODModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+6.3%
ADO Den Haag Rest
7 days
Groningen Rest
6 days

ADO Den Haag vs Groningen: result, form and history

Groningen beat ADO Den Haag 4-1 in the Eredivisie on 16 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Groningen have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.74
X
25%3.60
2
32%2.38
Double Chance
1X
68%1.55
X2
57%1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.52
No
42%2.39
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 1.26 = 2.81
Over 1.5
82%1.18
Over 2.5
57%1.62
Over 3.5
31%2.55
Under 1.5
18%4.45
Under 2.5
43%2.25
Under 3.5
69%1.49
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.5 = 9.8
Over 8.5
62%1.29
Over 9.5
53%1.54
Over 10.5
40%1.87
Under 8.5
38%2.90
Under 9.5
47%2.21
Under 10.5
60%1.83
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 1.6 = 3.6
Over 3.5
38%2.13
Over 4.5
18%3.05
Under 3.5
62%1.64
Under 4.5
82%1.30

Match Events

15'T. van Bergen
30'B. WillumssonAssist: E. Vaessen
45+2'D. van der WerffAssist: T. Land
46'M. Waem INO. Raterink out
46'J. Zamburek INF. de Bruin out
55'Y. EduardoAssist: F. de Bruin
59'E. van der Laan INM. Csinger out
59'Y. Eduardo INL. Reischl out
69'J. Bal INE. Rottier out
78'P. Mulder INL. Wilhelm out
80'B. Willumsson INN. Eggens out
81'N. EggensAssist: T. van Bergen
83'D. van der WerffRoughing
87'T. Land INT. Hernes out
87'T. de Jonge INJ. Ondrejka out
87'W. Prins INN. Brandis out

Lineups

ADO Den Haag
4-4-2Coach: Robin Peter
Groningen
4-2-3-1Coach: Dick Lukkien
Avg rating6.63
Avg rating7.15
Kilian Nikièma9.31K. Nikièma
Milan Hokke5.715M. Hokke
Pascal Mulder6.63P. Mulder
Matteo Waem6.04M. Waem
Sekou Sylla5.718S. Sylla
Daryl van MieghemC6.67D. van Mieghem
Jan Žambůrek6.38J. Žambůrek
Juho Kilo6.925J. Kilo
Illaijh de Ruijter6.610I. de Ruijter
Jesse Bal6.29J. Bal
Yannick Eduardo7.246Y. Eduardo
Etienne Vaessen6.91E. Vaessen
Jorg Schreuders7.214J. Schreuders
Thijmen BlokzijlC6.73T. Blokzijl
Elvis Van der Laan6.215E. Van der Laan
Wouter Prins6.32W. Prins
Tika de Jonge7.68T. de Jonge
Tygo Land7.318T. Land
David van der Werff8.217D. van der Werff
Thom van Bergen8.926T. van Bergen
Pelle Clement6.224P. Clement
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson7.39B. Darri Willumsson

ADO Den Haag Substitutes

2Othniël Raterink46'for M. Waem6.7
16Finn de Bruin6.7
19Luka Reischl59'for Y. Eduardo6.3
11Evan Rottier69'replaced by J. Bal6.3
22Lasse Wilhelm78'for P. Mulder6.9
23Niclas Thiede
12Sem Eekhout
35Sanyika Bergtop
14Mylian Jimenez
29Alexander Veselov
27Nigel Thomas
32Dani van Loenen

Groningen Substitutes

4Márk Csinger59'for E. van der Laan6.9
20Nils Eggens80'for B. Willumsson81'7.3
12Nikolas Brandis
7Travis Hernes87'for T. Land
11Jacob Ondrejka87'for T. de Jonge
13Lovro Štubljar
31Rijk Janse
42Jesper Mosselaar
16Alvin Nordin
44Jismerai Dillema
53Jahelille Hall

Match Stats

ADO Den HaagGroningen
55%Ball Possession45%
5Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards1
10Total Shots17
4Shots on Goal14
4Shots off Goal1
5Shots Inside Box14
5Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots2
11Fouls11
0Offsides3
10Goalkeeper Saves3
489Total Passes410
399Passes Accurate316
82%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag
GroningenGroningen
1617Elo Rating 1683
1.59Attack 2.10
1.38Defense 0.86
19%Hit Rate 31%
15.1Shots per Game 15.0
4.6Shots on Target 6.0
4.5Corners per Game 5.9
2.1Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 75% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
GroningenGroningen
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1Wins · 25%
Draws00%
GroningenGroningen3Wins · 75%
1.8Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie29/03/2024
ADO Den HaagGroningen
02
Eerste Divisie15/09/2023
GroningenADO Den Haag
01
Eredivisie26/01/2021
GroningenADO Den Haag
30
Eredivisie20/09/2020
ADO Den HaagGroningen
01

Recent Form

ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag
7W1D2L
08/08/2026
AZ AlkmaarADO Den Haag
20
L
31/07/2026
ADO Den HaagAsteras Tripolis
00
D
24/07/2026
Lommel UnitedADO Den Haag
04
W
18/07/2026
KV MechelenADO Den Haag
23
W
04/07/2026
LaakkwartierADO Den Haag
15
W
24/04/2026
Den BoschADO Den Haag
13
W
17/04/2026
ADO Den HaagWaalwijk
51
W
12/04/2026
DordrechtADO Den Haag
10
L
06/04/2026
ADO Den HaagFC Eindhoven
40
W
03/04/2026
ADO Den HaagJong Ajax
42
W
GroningenGroningen
5W1D4L
09/08/2026
GroningenUtrecht
21
W
01/08/2026
GroningenValladolid
10
W
25/07/2026
GroningenVolos NFC
00
D
24/07/2026
GroningenFC Volendam
04
L
18/07/2026
GroningenAEK Athens FC
12
L
11/07/2026
GroningenEmmen
32
W
08/07/2026
HeraclesGroningen
21
L
21/05/2026
AjaxGroningen
20
L
17/05/2026
HeraclesGroningen
12
W
10/05/2026
GroningenNEC Nijmegen
21
W

Referee Profile

Jeroen Manschot183 matches

3.42Cards per match
3.31Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
19.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jeroen Manschot3.42
Other referees3.18

3.42 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.18).

Cards come from 181 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1174033:12+2125DDWWW
2AjaxAjax1173130:13+1724WWWDD
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1172235:13+2223WDLWL
4TwenteTwente1062219:10+920WLDWW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1162320:13+720LLDLW
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1154218:18019DWDDW
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1153319:13+618WWWLW
8GroningenGroningen1043324:21+315DLWWD
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1035223:23014WLDDD
10CambuurCambuur1033419:22-312WDWDW
11UtrechtUtrecht1033417:27-1012DWWLW
12ExcelsiorExcelsior1032516:19-311LLLDL
13NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1125417:19-211LDDDD
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1023517:24-79LWDLL
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1022611:23-128DWLLL
16TelstarTelstar1013612:21-96LLDLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013613:23-106LWDDL
18Willem IIWillem II1102910:39-292LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1133:1225
2AjaxAjax1130:1324
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1135:1323
4TwenteTwente1019:1020
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1120:1320
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1118:1819
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1119:1318
8GroningenGroningen1024:2115
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1023:2314
10CambuurCambuur1019:2212
11UtrechtUtrecht1017:2712
12ExcelsiorExcelsior1016:1911
13NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1117:1911
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1017:249
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1011:238
16TelstarTelstar1012:216
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013:236
18Willem IIWillem II1110:392
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the ADO Den Haag vs Groningen forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

ADO Den Haag and Groningen in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, Groningen are 8th and ADO Den Haag 17th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: ADO Den Haag 13-23, Groningen 24-21. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Groningen have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.