Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle Prediction

Heerenveen
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
PEC Zwolle
Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen·Richard Martens, Netherlands 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.71
SignalGOODModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+12.4%
Heerenveen Rest
6 days
PEC Zwolle Rest
6 days

Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle: the result in context

PEC Zwolle beat Heerenveen 2-0 in the Eredivisie on 22 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Heerenveen had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for PEC Zwolle.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.57
X
23%4.47
2
24%5.00
Double Chance
1X
76%1.17
X2
47%2.37
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.50
No
44%2.44
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.84 + 1.02 = 2.86
Over 1.5
83%1.12
Over 2.5
60%1.43
Over 3.5
34%2.11
Under 1.5
17%5.75
Under 2.5
40%2.75
Under 3.5
66%1.71
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.6 + 3.8 = 10.3
Over 8.5
64%1.33
Over 9.5
53%1.58
Over 10.5
42%1.97
Under 8.5
36%2.85
Under 9.5
47%2.18
Under 10.5
58%1.77
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 1.9 = 3
Over 3.5
32%2.07
Over 4.5
15%3.08
Under 3.5
68%1.64
Under 4.5
85%1.28

Match Events

40'R. ThomasDiving
50'N. ViergeverAssist: D. Mbayo
56'K. KostonsHolding
61'K. KostonsAssist: D. Mbayo
65'D. Proper INL. Smans out
65'M. Rivera INL. Machine out
65'O. Braude INH. Petrov out
73'E. Sorensen INI. Cissoko out
77'D. Mbayo ING. Reiziger out
79'M. LindayHolding
80'R. Meerveld INL. Brouwers out
82'Goal Disallowed - offsideN. Viergever
87'K. Kostons INO. Velanas out
87'T. Oosting INT. Velthuis out

Lineups

Heerenveen
4-2-3-1Coach: Robin Veldman
PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1Coach: Henry Van Der Vegt
Avg rating6.75
Avg rating6.98
Bernt Klaverboer6.722B. Klaverboer
Oliver Braude6.745O. Braude
Sam Kersten6.34S. Kersten
Maas WillemsenC7.03M. Willemsen
Vasilios Zagaritis6.519V. Zagaritis
Marcus Linday6.916M. Linday
Dirk Wanner Proper6.76D. Wanner Proper
Jacob Trenskow6.620J. Trenskow
Ringo Meerveld7.210R. Meerveld
Maxence Rivera6.97M. Rivera
Dylan Vente6.79D. Vente
Jasper Schendelaar8.31J. Schendelaar
Olivier Aertssen6.33O. Aertssen
Simon Graves7.228S. Graves
Nick Viergever8.024N. Viergever
Damian van der Haar7.033D. van der Haar
Ryan ThomasC7.030R. Thomas
Tobias Sommer6.68T. Sommer
Dylan Mbayo7.011D. Mbayo
Thijs Oosting6.725T. Oosting
Elias Sørensen6.59E. Sørensen
Koen Kostons6.210K. Kostons

Heerenveen Substitutes

30Timo Schreuder
44Andries Noppert
17Nikolai Soyset Hopland
41Jimte Scholten
23Darling Bladi
28Hristiyan Petrov65'for O. Braude
11Luca Oyen
36Nolhan Courtens
14Levi Smans65'for D. Proper
8Luuk Brouwers80'for R. Meerveld
29Lanroy Machine65'for M. Rivera

PEC Zwolle Substitutes

41Duke Verduin
16Tom de Graaff
4Tijs Velthuis87'for T. Oosting
42Dylan Ruward
39Milan Westerhuis
22Ibrahim Cissoko73'for E. Sorensen
18Odysseus Velanas87'for K. Kostons
34Nick Fichtinger
38Givaro Rahajaän
20Gabriel Reiziger77'for D. Mbayo
26Jadiel Pereira da Gama
37Gilles van der Wal

Match Stats

HeerenveenPEC Zwolle
64%Ball Possession36%
5Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots20
5Shots on Goal7
8Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box10
10Shots Outside Box10
5Blocked Shots7
6Fouls13
0Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves5
612Total Passes339
521Passes Accurate263
85%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

HeerenveenHeerenveen
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
1727Elo Rating 1581
2.39Attack 1.19
2.07Defense 0.82
66%Hit Rate 23%
16.6Shots per Game 12.0
6.3Shots on Target 5.2
4.7Corners per Game 4.4
0.7Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+145 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

HeerenveenHeerenveen
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

HeerenveenHeerenveen3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle4Wins · 40%
2.8Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Eredivisie15/02/2026
HeerenveenPEC Zwolle
42
Eredivisie28/11/2025
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
21
Eredivisie16/02/2025
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
11
Eredivisie06/10/2024
HeerenveenPEC Zwolle
11
Eredivisie03/03/2024
HeerenveenPEC Zwolle
20
Eredivisie13/01/2024
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
22
Eredivisie22/01/2022
HeerenveenPEC Zwolle
01
Eredivisie02/10/2021
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
01
Eredivisie24/04/2021
HeerenveenPEC Zwolle
02
Eredivisie26/02/2021
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
41

Recent Form

HeerenveenHeerenveen
5W3D2L
16/08/2026
AjaxHeerenveen
22
D
09/08/2026
HeerenveenTwente
10
W
01/08/2026
HeerenveenVolos NFC
32
W
25/07/2026
HeerenveenOH Leuven
44
D
17/07/2026
Club Brugge KVHeerenveen
23
W
03/07/2026
HeerenveenDe Graafschap
72
W
21/05/2026
UtrechtHeerenveen
32
L
17/05/2026
HeerenveenAjax
00
D
11/05/2026
NAC BredaHeerenveen
20
L
03/05/2026
FC VolendamHeerenveen
02
W
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
2W0D8L
16/08/2026
TwentePEC Zwolle
31
L
09/08/2026
PEC ZwolleAjax
02
L
01/08/2026
Hannover 96PEC Zwolle
30
L
26/07/2026
PEC ZwolleAEK Athens FC
23
L
18/07/2026
PEC ZwolleCercle Brugge
32
W
11/07/2026
PEC ZwolleAl-Jazira
01
L
17/05/2026
PEC ZwolleFeyenoord
02
L
10/05/2026
Fortuna SittardPEC Zwolle
32
L
03/05/2026
PEC ZwolleHeracles
10
W
23/04/2026
PSV EindhovenPEC Zwolle
61
L

Referee Profile

Richard Martens131 matches

3.44Cards per match
3.28Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
22.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Richard Martens3.44
Other referees3.23

3.44 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.23).

Cards come from 123 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1073032:11+2124DWWWW
2AjaxAjax1063129:13+1621WWDDW
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1062228:13+1520DLWLW
4TwenteTwente1062219:10+920WLDWW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1062220:12+820LDLWD
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1053217:17018WDDWL
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1043318:13+515WWLWD
8GroningenGroningen1043324:21+315DLWWD
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1035223:23014WLDDD
10CambuurCambuur1033419:22-312WDWDW
11UtrechtUtrecht1033417:27-1012DWWLW
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1025317:18-111DDDDL
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1032516:19-311LLLDL
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1023517:24-79LWDLL
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1022611:23-128DWLLL
16TelstarTelstar1013612:21-96LLDLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013613:23-106LWDDL
18Willem IIWillem II1002810:32-222LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1032:1124
2AjaxAjax1029:1321
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1028:1320
4TwenteTwente1019:1020
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1020:1220
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1017:1718
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1018:1315
8GroningenGroningen1024:2115
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1023:2314
10CambuurCambuur1019:2212
11UtrechtUtrecht1017:2712
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1017:1811
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1016:1911
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1017:249
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1011:238
16TelstarTelstar1012:216
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013:236
18Willem IIWillem II1010:322
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle forecast

The forecasts for this Eredivisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Heerenveen and PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, Heerenveen are 7th and PEC Zwolle 15th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Heerenveen 18-13, PEC Zwolle 11-23. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Heerenveen have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.