PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen Prediction

PSV Eindhoven
5-1
Finished
HT 3-1
Groningen
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven·Allard Lindhout, Netherlands 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.25
SignalHIGHModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-4.9%
PSV Eindhoven Rest
7 days
Groningen Rest
7 days

PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen: the result in context

PSV Eindhoven beat Groningen 5-1 in the Eredivisie on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

PSV Eindhoven have had the better of this fixture, winning 9 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
75%1.30
X
19%5.90
2
6%8.44
Double Chance
1X
94%1.08
X2
25%3.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.47
No
45%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.48 + 0.85 = 3.33
Over 1.5
88%1.06
Over 2.5
75%1.25
Over 3.5
50%1.66
Under 1.5
12%8.50
Under 2.5
25%3.75
Under 3.5
50%2.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.8 + 2.8 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.24
Over 9.5
49%1.47
Over 10.5
39%1.80
Under 8.5
40%3.44
Under 9.5
51%2.50
Under 10.5
61%1.93
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.1 + 1.8 = 3
Over 3.5
31%2.59
Over 4.5
6%-
Under 3.5
69%1.41
Under 4.5
94%-

Match Events

9'B. WillumssonAssist: T. van Bergen
11'T. BlokzijlOG
21'Ruben van BommelFoul
35'I. Perisic
45'Penalty confirmedGuus Til
45'R. Pepi(Penalty)
45+2'Márk CsingerFoul
46'J. Schreuders INM. Rente out
53'I. PerisicAssist: Mauro Junior
54' INN. Brandis out
56'S. DestAssist: R. van Bommel
67'B. Willumsson INE. van der Laan out
67'D. van der Werff INJ. Ondrejka out
68'N. Fernandez INP. Wanner out
68'R. van Bommel INA. Bouhamdi out
75'Mauro Junior INF. Kostic out
76'I. Perisic IND. Man out
85'A. Obispo INL. Geertruida out
85'T. de Jonge INT. Hernes out

Lineups

PSV Eindhoven
4-3-3Coach: Peter Bosz
Groningen
4-2-3-1Coach: Dick Lukkien
Avg rating7.36
Avg rating6.44
M. Kovar7.332M. Kovar
S. Dest8.28S. Dest
R. Flamingo7.06R. Flamingo
A. Obispo7.54A. Obispo
Mauro JuniorC7.217M. Junior
G. Til7.620G. Til
K. Sano7.524K. Sano
N. Fernandez6.931N. Fernandez
I. Perisic9.65I. Perisic
R. Pepi6.99R. Pepi
R. van Bommel8.67R. van Bommel
E. Vaessen9.01E. Vaessen
J. Schreuders5.614J. Schreuders
T. BlokzijlC5.23T. Blokzijl
M. Csinger5.34M. Csinger
W. Prins5.32W. Prins
T. de Jonge7.58T. de Jonge
T. Land6.018T. Land
D. van der Werff6.217D. van der Werff
T. van Bergen6.326T. van Bergen
P. Clement7.024P. Clement
B. Willumsson7.39B. Willumsson

PSV Eindhoven Substitutes

1N. Olij
41K. Ngom
25K. Sildillia
3Y. Gasiorowski
2L. Geertruida85'for A. Obispo6.9
10P. Wanner68'for N. Fernandez6.3
18F. Kostic75'for Mauro Junior7.2
21S. Mijnans
27D. Man76'for I. Perisic6.7
19E. Bajraktarevic
37A. Bouhamdi68'for R. van Bommel6.3

Groningen Substitutes

31R. Janse
13L. Stubljar
12N. Brandis54'
42J. Mosselaar
5M. Rente46'for J. Schreuders6.2
15E. van der Laan67'for B. Willumsson6.9
11J. Ondrejka67'for D. van der Werff6.5
44J. Dillema
16A. Nordin
7T. Hernes85'for T. de Jonge6.5
53J. Hall
19O. Zawada

Match Stats

PSV EindhovenGroningen
62%Ball Possession38%
9Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
24Total Shots7
12Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal1
19Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box0
3Blocked Shots2
10Fouls4
2Goalkeeper Saves7
568Total Passes354
522Passes Accurate286
92%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
GroningenGroningen
1903Elo Rating 1710
1.11Attack 2.72
1.92Defense 0.98
44%Hit Rate 42%
14.6Shots per Game 14.5
3.6Shots on Target 5.7
5.0Corners per Game 5.4
1.7Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+193 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.33 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GroningenGroningen
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven9Wins · 90%
Draws00%
GroningenGroningen1Wins · 10%
4.3Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Eredivisie08/02/2026
GroningenPSV Eindhoven
12
Eredivisie23/08/2025
PSV EindhovenGroningen
42
Eredivisie05/04/2025
GroningenPSV Eindhoven
13
Eredivisie23/11/2024
PSV EindhovenGroningen
50
Eredivisie11/02/2023
PSV EindhovenGroningen
60
Eredivisie23/10/2022
GroningenPSV Eindhoven
42
Eredivisie16/01/2022
GroningenPSV Eindhoven
01
Eredivisie28/08/2021
PSV EindhovenGroningen
52
Eredivisie24/04/2021
PSV EindhovenGroningen
10
Eredivisie13/09/2020
GroningenPSV Eindhoven
13

Recent Form

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
5W3D2L
15/08/2026
ExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven
12
W
08/08/2026
PSV EindhovenFortuna Sittard
22
D
02/08/2026
PSV EindhovenAZ Alkmaar
04
L
28/07/2026
PSV EindhovenFC Eindhoven
30
W
25/07/2026
PSV EindhovenVillarreal
13
L
18/07/2026
PSV EindhovenUnion St. Gilloise
73
W
11/07/2026
PSV EindhovenRaków Częstochowa
22
D
17/05/2026
PSV EindhovenTwente
51
W
10/05/2026
GO Ahead EaglesPSV Eindhoven
14
W
02/05/2026
AjaxPSV Eindhoven
22
D
GroningenGroningen
5W1D4L
16/08/2026
ADO Den HaagGroningen
14
W
09/08/2026
GroningenUtrecht
21
W
01/08/2026
GroningenValladolid
10
W
25/07/2026
GroningenVolos NFC
00
D
24/07/2026
GroningenFC Volendam
04
L
18/07/2026
GroningenAEK Athens FC
12
L
11/07/2026
GroningenEmmen
32
W
08/07/2026
HeraclesGroningen
21
L
21/05/2026
AjaxGroningen
20
L
17/05/2026
HeraclesGroningen
12
W

Referee Profile

Allard Lindhout218 matches

3.25Cards per match
3.09Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
21.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Allard Lindhout3.25
Other referees3.38

3.25 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.38).

Cards come from 209 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1073032:11+2124DWWWW
2AjaxAjax1063129:13+1621WWDDW
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1062228:13+1520DLWLW
4TwenteTwente1062219:10+920WLDWW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1062220:12+820LDLWD
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1053217:17018WDDWL
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1043318:13+515WWLWD
8GroningenGroningen1043324:21+315DLWWD
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1035223:23014WLDDD
10CambuurCambuur1033419:22-312WDWDW
11UtrechtUtrecht1033417:27-1012DWWLW
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1025317:18-111DDDDL
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1032516:19-311LLLDL
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1023517:24-79LWDLL
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1022611:23-128DWLLL
16TelstarTelstar1013612:21-96LLDLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013613:23-106LWDDL
18Willem IIWillem II1002810:32-222LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1032:1124
2AjaxAjax1029:1321
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1028:1320
4TwenteTwente1019:1020
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1020:1220
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1017:1718
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1018:1315
8GroningenGroningen1024:2115
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1023:2314
10CambuurCambuur1019:2212
11UtrechtUtrecht1017:2712
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1017:1811
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1016:1911
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1017:249
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1011:238
16TelstarTelstar1012:216
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013:236
18Willem IIWillem II1010:322
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen forecast

The forecasts for this Eredivisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

PSV Eindhoven and Groningen in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, PSV Eindhoven are 3rd and Groningen 8th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: PSV Eindhoven 28-13, Groningen 24-21. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

PSV Eindhoven have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Groningen have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.