Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction

Groningen
2-3
Finished
HT 1-2
Fortuna Sittard
Euroborg, Groningen·Martijn Vos, Netherlands 28/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.72
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+6.5%
Groningen Rest
5 days
Fortuna Sittard Rest
6 days

Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard: the result in context

Fortuna Sittard beat Groningen 3-2 in the Eredivisie on 28 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Groningen tend to win more corners, 5.4 a game to 2.2 for Fortuna Sittard.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
64%1.48
X
22%4.70
2
14%6.00
Double Chance
1X
86%1.12
X2
36%2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.60
No
44%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.01 + 1.07 = 3.08
Over 1.5
83%1.14
Over 2.5
60%1.45
Over 3.5
33%2.19
Under 1.5
17%5.50
Under 2.5
40%2.63
Under 3.5
67%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.7 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.35
Over 9.5
49%1.61
Over 10.5
39%1.97
Under 8.5
40%2.79
Under 9.5
51%2.16
Under 10.5
61%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2.3 = 3.7
Over 3.5
46%1.53
Over 4.5
22%2.07
Under 3.5
54%2.25
Under 4.5
78%1.65

Match Events

4'R. GuthHolding
12'M. IhattarenAssist: L. Zeefuik
19'D. van der WerffAssist: J. Schreuders
28'L. ZeefuikAssist: E. Michut
64'T. Land INJ. Ondrejka out
64'B. Willumsson INO. Zawada out
65'J. OndrejkaHolding
68'M. Ihattaren INN. de Groot out
69'J. HubnerHolding
72'A. DescotteAssist: E. Michut
80'S. Zand INY. Oukili out
81'R. Guth INS. van Ottele out
81'W. Prins INT. Hernes out
82'M. Csinger INN. Eggens out
82'D. van der Werff INA. Nordin out
87'J. HubnerOG
88'L. ZeefuikUnsportsmanlike conduct
88'E. VaessenUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+1'E. MichutDelay of game
90+4'A. Descotte INM. Gbemou out
90+7'T. HernesTripping

Lineups

Groningen
4-2-3-1Coach: Dick Lukkien
Fortuna Sittard
5-3-2Coach: Danny Buijs
Avg rating6.61
Avg rating6.69
Etienne Vaessen5.91E. Vaessen
Jorg Schreuders6.214J. Schreuders
Thijmen BlokzijlC6.53T. Blokzijl
Márk Csinger6.24M. Csinger
Wouter Prins5.92W. Prins
Tygo Land6.618T. Land
Tika de Jonge7.78T. de Jonge
David van der Werff8.017D. van der Werff
Thom van Bergen6.926T. van Bergen
Pelle Clement6.324P. Clement
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson6.79B. Darri Willumsson
Mattijs Branderhorst6.331M. Branderhorst
Ivo PintoC6.312I. Pinto
Philip Brittijn6.223P. Brittijn
Rodrigo Guth6.93R. Guth
Justin Hubner5.728J. Hubner
Jasper Dahlhaus6.08J. Dahlhaus
Mohamed Ihattaren8.052M. Ihattaren
Édouard Michut7.320É. Michut
Shiloh 't Zand6.522S. 't Zand
Anthony Descotte7.79A. Descotte
Lequincio Zeefuik8.025L. Zeefuik

Groningen Substitutes

11Jacob Ondrejka64'for T. Land65'6.6
19Oskar Zawada64'for B. Willumsson6.7
13Lovro Štubljar
73Daan Erdman
15Elvis Van der Laan
12Nikolas Brandis
42Jesper Mosselaar
7Travis Hernes81'for W. Prins90+7'6.6
16Alvin Nordin82'for D. van der Werff6.5
44Jismerai Dillema
53Jahelille Hall
20Nils Eggens82'for M. Csinger6.5

Fortuna Sittard Substitutes

15Nick de Groot68'for M. Ihattaren6.2
33Kaylen Reitmaier
1Luuk Koopmans
6Syb Van Ottele81'for R. Guth6.3
39Ganni Buyukhan
38Moussa Gbemou90+4'for A. Descotte
36Alhaji Bah
5Yassin Oukili80'for S. Zand6.3
44David Stockbrink

Match Stats

GroningenFortuna Sittard
68%Ball Possession32%
7Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards4
22Total Shots9
2Shots on Goal5
15Shots off Goal1
16Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots3
8Fouls8
3Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
551Total Passes279
478Passes Accurate206
87%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

GroningenGroningen
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
1710Elo Rating 1663
2.72Attack 1.55
0.98Defense 1.12
42%Hit Rate 34%
14.5Shots per Game 10.5
5.7Shots on Target 3.9
5.4Corners per Game 2.2
0.9Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.08 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

GroningenGroningen
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

GroningenGroningen4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard5Wins · 50%
2.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Eredivisie25/01/2026
GroningenFortuna Sittard
12
Eredivisie25/10/2025
Fortuna SittardGroningen
12
Eredivisie16/03/2025
GroningenFortuna Sittard
10
Eredivisie26/10/2024
Fortuna SittardGroningen
10
KNVB Beker08/02/2024
GroningenFortuna Sittard
4030
Eredivisie02/04/2023
Fortuna SittardGroningen
31
Eredivisie13/11/2022
GroningenFortuna Sittard
23
Eredivisie12/02/2022
GroningenFortuna Sittard
01
Eredivisie27/11/2021
Fortuna SittardGroningen
14
Eredivisie28/02/2021
GroningenFortuna Sittard
10

Recent Form

GroningenGroningen
4W1D5L
23/08/2026
PSV EindhovenGroningen
51
L
16/08/2026
ADO Den HaagGroningen
14
W
09/08/2026
GroningenUtrecht
21
W
01/08/2026
GroningenValladolid
10
W
25/07/2026
GroningenVolos NFC
00
D
24/07/2026
GroningenFC Volendam
04
L
18/07/2026
GroningenAEK Athens FC
12
L
11/07/2026
GroningenEmmen
32
W
08/07/2026
HeraclesGroningen
21
L
21/05/2026
AjaxGroningen
20
L
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
5W1D4L
22/08/2026
Fortuna SittardAZ Alkmaar
02
L
15/08/2026
Fortuna SittardCambuur
31
W
08/08/2026
PSV EindhovenFortuna Sittard
22
D
31/07/2026
Fortuna SittardApoel Nicosia
21
W
25/07/2026
MetzFortuna Sittard
31
L
17/07/2026
Olympiakos PiraeusFortuna Sittard
31
L
11/07/2026
Fortuna SittardGenk
21
W
03/07/2026
Fortuna SittardK. Lierse S.K.
10
W
17/05/2026
UtrechtFortuna Sittard
20
L
10/05/2026
Fortuna SittardPEC Zwolle
32
W

Referee Profile

Martijn Vos156 matches

3.32Cards per match
3.15Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
22.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Martijn Vos3.32
Other referees3.28

3.32 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.28).

Cards come from 136 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1073032:11+2124DWWWW
2AjaxAjax1063129:13+1621WWDDW
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1062228:13+1520DLWLW
4TwenteTwente1062219:10+920WLDWW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1062220:12+820LDLWD
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1053217:17018WDDWL
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1043318:13+515WWLWD
8GroningenGroningen1043324:21+315DLWWD
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1035223:23014WLDDD
10CambuurCambuur1033419:22-312WDWDW
11UtrechtUtrecht1033417:27-1012DWWLW
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1025317:18-111DDDDL
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1032516:19-311LLLDL
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1023517:24-79LWDLL
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1022611:23-128DWLLL
16TelstarTelstar1013612:21-96LLDLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013613:23-106LWDDL
18Willem IIWillem II1002810:32-222LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1032:1124
2AjaxAjax1029:1321
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1028:1320
4TwenteTwente1019:1020
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1020:1220
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1017:1718
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1018:1315
8GroningenGroningen1024:2115
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1023:2314
10CambuurCambuur1019:2212
11UtrechtUtrecht1017:2712
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1017:1811
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1016:1911
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1017:249
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1011:238
16TelstarTelstar1012:216
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013:236
18Willem IIWillem II1010:322
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard forecast

The forecasts for this Eredivisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Groningen and Fortuna Sittard in the Eredivisie table

Fortuna Sittard and Groningen are close in the Eredivisie table, 6th and 8th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Groningen 24-21, Fortuna Sittard 17-17. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Groningen have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.