Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Utrecht
1-6
Finished
HT 1-2
PSV Eindhoven
Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht·Freek Vandeursen, Netherlands 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+6.5%
Utrecht Rest
7 days
PSV Eindhoven Rest
6 days

Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven: the result in context

PSV Eindhoven beat Utrecht 6-1 in the Eredivisie on 30 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: PSV Eindhoven had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Utrecht.

PSV Eindhoven have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
18%4.75
X
19%4.50
2
63%1.60
Double Chance
1X
37%2.28
X2
82%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.40
No
44%2.71
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.1 + 1.86 = 2.96
Over 1.5
84%1.10
Over 2.5
61%1.35
Over 3.5
34%1.92
Under 1.5
16%6.75
Under 2.5
39%3.05
Under 3.5
66%1.89
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.8 + 6.3 = 10.1
Over 8.5
64%1.32
Over 9.5
53%1.57
Over 10.5
41%1.93
Under 8.5
36%2.97
Under 9.5
47%2.23
Under 10.5
59%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 1.6 = 4.2
Over 3.5
55%2.30
Over 4.5
34%2.90
Under 3.5
45%1.52
Under 4.5
66%1.38

Match Events

6'A. StepanovAssist: N. Vesterlund
11'R. van Bommel
15'G. OfferhausRoughing
34'D. de WitFoul
45'G. TilAssist: S. Dest
49'A. ZagreFoul
56'N. Vesterlund INP. Kloosterboer out
61'A. Alarcon INA. Blake out
61'D. van den Berg INZ. Iqbal out
65'N. Fernandez INP. Wanner out
65'I. Perisic INE. Bajraktarevic out
72'A. ObispoFoul
76'Mauro Junior
78'R. van Bommel INA. Bouhamdi out
78'R. Pepi INS. Mijnans out
84'Y. Cathline INS. van Duijn out
84'A. Obispo INY. Gasiorowski out
84'A. Zagre INE. C. Owen out
85'V. BarkasFoul
86'S. Mijnans(Penalty missed)
86'S. MijnansAssist: P. Wanner
88'G. TilAssist: A. Bouhamdi
90+2'S. HoremansFoul
90+3'S. DestAssist: A. Bouhamdi

Lineups

Utrecht
3-4-3Coach: Anthony Correia
PSV Eindhoven
4-2-3-1Coach: Peter Bosz
Avg rating6.21
Avg rating7.11
Vasilis Barkas5.01V. Barkas
Siebe Horemans5.52S. Horemans
Guus Offerhaus5.36G. Offerhaus
Neville Nwankwo6.221N. Nwankwo
Niklas Vesterlund7.223N. Vesterlund
Dani De WitC6.320D. De Wit
Davy van den Berg6.234D. van den Berg
Arthur Zagre6.692A. Zagre
Ángel Alarcón6.311Á. Alarcón
Artem Stepanov7.39A. Stepanov
Yoann Cathline6.710Y. Cathline
Matěj Kovář6.532M. Kovář
Sergiño Dest8.58S. Dest
Ryan Flamingo6.96R. Flamingo
Armando Obispo6.74A. Obispo
Mauro JúniorC7.917M. Júnior
Kodai Sano7.224K. Sano
Noah Fernandez6.631N. Fernandez
Ivan Perišić7.05I. Perišić
Guus Til8.320G. Til
Ruben van Bommel7.27R. van Bommel
Ricardo Pepi6.59R. Pepi

Utrecht Substitutes

32Per Kloosterboer56'for N. Vesterlund5.3
25Michael Brouwer
33Kevin Gadellaa
24Jamie Schuldes
53Ferdinand Pohl
35Viggo Plantinga
14Zidane Iqbal61'for D. van den Berg6.5
15Adrian Blake61'for A. Alarcon6.3
17Sem van Duijn84'for Y. Cathline6.3
47Emmanuel Owen84'for A. Zagre6.3

PSV Eindhoven Substitutes

41Khadim Ngom
1Nick Olij
3Yarek Gasiorowski84'for A. Obispo6.6
2Lutsharel Geertruida
21Sven Mijnans78'for R. Pepi86'7.2
37Amir Bouhamdi78'for R. van Bommel7.2
10Paul Wanner65'for N. Fernandez7.2
18Filip Kostić
19Esmir Bajraktarević65'for I. Perisic6.3

Match Stats

UtrechtPSV Eindhoven
34%Ball Possession66%
0Corner Kicks13
5Yellow Cards1
1Total Shots30
1Shots on Goal14
0Shots off Goal11
1Shots Inside Box15
0Shots Outside Box15
0Blocked Shots5
21Fouls8
1Offsides1
7Goalkeeper Saves0
297Total Passes562
222Passes Accurate508
75%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

UtrechtUtrecht
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
1703Elo Rating 1903
1.59Attack 1.11
1.34Defense 1.92
56%Hit Rate 44%
17.1Shots per Game 14.6
4.8Shots on Target 3.6
4.9Corners per Game 5.0
1.7Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.97 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

UtrechtUtrecht
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

UtrechtUtrecht0Wins · 0%
Draws330%
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven7Wins · 70%
4.2Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Eredivisie04/04/2026
PSV EindhovenUtrecht
43
Eredivisie21/12/2025
UtrechtPSV Eindhoven
12
Eredivisie15/02/2025
PSV EindhovenUtrecht
22
Eredivisie01/12/2024
UtrechtPSV Eindhoven
25
Eredivisie21/01/2024
UtrechtPSV Eindhoven
11
Eredivisie12/08/2023
PSV EindhovenUtrecht
20
Eredivisie19/02/2023
UtrechtPSV Eindhoven
22
Eredivisie16/10/2022
PSV EindhovenUtrecht
61
Eredivisie13/03/2022
UtrechtPSV Eindhoven
01
Eredivisie04/12/2021
PSV EindhovenUtrecht
41

Recent Form

UtrechtUtrecht
2W1D7L
22/08/2026
Sparta RotterdamUtrecht
33
D
15/08/2026
UtrechtAZ Alkmaar
14
L
09/08/2026
GroningenUtrecht
21
L
02/08/2026
UtrechtSevilla
01
L
24/07/2026
CambuurUtrecht
10
L
17/07/2026
UtrechtV-varen Nagasaki
02
L
27/06/2026
UtrechtDe Graafschap
12
L
24/05/2026
AjaxUtrecht
4030
L
21/05/2026
UtrechtHeerenveen
32
W
17/05/2026
UtrechtFortuna Sittard
20
W
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
6W2D2L
23/08/2026
PSV EindhovenGroningen
51
W
15/08/2026
ExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven
12
W
08/08/2026
PSV EindhovenFortuna Sittard
22
D
02/08/2026
PSV EindhovenAZ Alkmaar
04
L
28/07/2026
PSV EindhovenFC Eindhoven
30
W
25/07/2026
PSV EindhovenVillarreal
13
L
18/07/2026
PSV EindhovenUnion St. Gilloise
73
W
11/07/2026
PSV EindhovenRaków Częstochowa
22
D
17/05/2026
PSV EindhovenTwente
51
W
10/05/2026
GO Ahead EaglesPSV Eindhoven
14
W

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1073032:11+2124DWWWW
2AjaxAjax1063129:13+1621WWDDW
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1062228:13+1520DLWLW
4TwenteTwente1062219:10+920WLDWW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1062220:12+820LDLWD
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1053217:17018WDDWL
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1043318:13+515WWLWD
8GroningenGroningen1043324:21+315DLWWD
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1035223:23014WLDDD
10CambuurCambuur1033419:22-312WDWDW
11UtrechtUtrecht1033417:27-1012DWWLW
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1025317:18-111DDDDL
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1032516:19-311LLLDL
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1023517:24-79LWDLL
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1022611:23-128DWLLL
16TelstarTelstar1013612:21-96LLDLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013613:23-106LWDDL
18Willem IIWillem II1002810:32-222LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1032:1124
2AjaxAjax1029:1321
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1028:1320
4TwenteTwente1019:1020
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1020:1220
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1017:1718
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1018:1315
8GroningenGroningen1024:2115
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1023:2314
10CambuurCambuur1019:2212
11UtrechtUtrecht1017:2712
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1017:1811
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1016:1911
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1017:249
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1011:238
16TelstarTelstar1012:216
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013:236
18Willem IIWillem II1010:322
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven forecast

The forecasts for this Eredivisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Utrecht and PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, PSV Eindhoven are 3rd and Utrecht 11th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Utrecht 17-27, PSV Eindhoven 28-13. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

PSV Eindhoven have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.