Telstar vs Ajax Prediction

Telstar
0-4
Finished
HT 0-1
Ajax
BUKO Stadion, Velsen·Dennis Higler, Netherlands 30/08/2026
TelstarTelstar
0-4
Finished
AjaxAjax

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 4.5
1.72
SignalGOODModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+12.5%
Telstar Rest
15 days
Ajax Rest
2 days

Telstar vs Ajax: result, form and history

Ajax beat Telstar 4-0 in the Eredivisie on 30 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 1 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
16%6.00
X
20%5.00
2
64%1.42
Double Chance
1X
35%2.80
X2
84%1.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.44
No
44%2.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.11 + 1.86 = 2.97
Over 1.5
84%1.08
Over 2.5
61%1.32
Over 3.5
34%1.86
Under 1.5
16%7.35
Under 2.5
39%3.25
Under 3.5
66%1.95
Corners
Projected Corners: 4 + 6.6 = 10.7
Over 8.5
75%1.29
Over 9.5
65%1.54
Over 10.5
57%1.91
Under 8.5
25%3.15
Under 9.5
35%2.31
Under 10.5
43%1.83
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.7 = 3.7
Over 3.5
46%2.22
Over 4.5
22%3.30
Under 3.5
54%1.57
Under 4.5
78%1.27

Match Events

37'D. KlaassenAssist: S. Berghuis
44'Goal Disallowed - offsideJ. Brandt
56'S. BerghuisAssist: O. Gloukh
60'T. ArokodareAssist: S. Berghuis
65'J. Hardeveld INP. Aning out
65'R. Mendes INF. Rust out
65'J. Seedorf INF. Turay out
65'D. Klaassen INA. Ouazane out
66'J. Brandt INY. Baas out
73'S. Berghuis INMarcos Leonardo out
73'O. Gloukh INO. Edvardsen out
74'G. Alders ING. Caschili out
77'M. Peersman INE. Demircan out
78'Marcos Leonardo
82'Caio Henrique INJ. Torrents out

Lineups

Telstar
3-4-2-1Coach: Henk Brugge
Ajax
4-4-1-1Coach: Michel
Avg rating6.44
Avg rating7.26
R. Koeman Jr5.71R. Koeman Jr
S. Valk6.016S. Valk
A. Soualhia6.54A. Soualhia
M. Peersman5.943M. Peersman
G. Alders6.53G. Alders
N. Rossen6.617N. Rossen
T. Owusu6.910T. Owusu
J. HardeveldC6.22J. Hardeveld
R. Mendes6.67R. Mendes
P. Brouwer7.327P. Brouwer
J. Seedorf6.59J. Seedorf
M. ter Stegen8.71M. ter Stegen
A. Gaaei6.33A. Gaaei
A. Bouwman7.530A. Bouwman
D. Janse7.936D. Janse
Caio Henrique7.512C. Henrique
S. Berghuis9.323S. Berghuis
D. KlaassenC7.618D. Klaassen
J. Mokio6.224J. Mokio
O. Gloukh7.010O. Gloukh
J. Brandt6.28J. Brandt
T. Arokodare8.399T. Arokodare

Telstar Substitutes

20D. Reiziger
13F. Mulder
18G. Caschili74'for G. Alders6.6
5P. Aning65'for J. Hardeveld6.5
15N. Nwankwo
6I. Ahmed
23N. Shenkman
19F. Rust65'for R. Mendes6.3
28R. Oudsten
14H. Kuster
21F. Turay65'for J. Seedorf6.2
8E. Demircan77'for M. Peersman6.7

Ajax Substitutes

22J. Heerkens
26M. Paes
5O. Wijndal
15Y. Baas66'for J. Brandt6.9
21J. Torrents82'for Caio Henrique6.9
68A. Ouazane65'for D. Klaassen6.7
67M. Abdalla
9K. Dolberg
20O. Edvardsen73'for O. Gloukh6.3
38Marcos Leonardo73'for S. Berghuis78'6.9

Match Stats

TelstarAjax
42%Ball Possession58%
5Corner Kicks4
11Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal9
5Shots off Goal2
9Shots Inside Box6
2Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots1
11Fouls13
2Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves5
397Total Passes537
328Passes Accurate478
83%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

TelstarTelstar
AjaxAjax
1593Elo Rating 1855
1.62Attack 2.33
0.72Defense 1.70
0%Hit Rate 50%
16.5Shots per Game 19.1
4.1Shots on Target 7.1
4.9Corners per Game 6.0
1.1Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.97 goals
📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

TelstarTelstar
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AjaxAjax
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

TelstarTelstar0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
AjaxAjax3Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Eredivisie11/01/2026
TelstarAjax
23
Eredivisie10/08/2025
AjaxTelstar
20
KNVB Beker19/12/2024
AjaxTelstar
20

Recent Form

TelstarTelstar
5W1D4L
14/08/2026
TelstarSparta Rotterdam
13
L
08/08/2026
NEC NijmegenTelstar
12
W
31/07/2026
VfL WolfsburgTelstar
31
L
17/07/2026
De GraafschapTelstar
36
W
11/07/2026
Sparta RotterdamTelstar
10
L
04/07/2026
Almere City FCTelstar
21
L
17/05/2026
FC VolendamTelstar
12
W
10/05/2026
TelstarHeracles
30
W
02/05/2026
NEC NijmegenTelstar
11
D
22/04/2026
TelstarSparta Rotterdam
41
W

Referee Profile

Dennis Higler192 matches

3.41Cards per match
3.23Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Dennis Higler3.41
Other referees3.25

3.41 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.25).

Cards come from 181 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1073032:11+2124DWWWW
2AjaxAjax1063129:13+1621WWDDW
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1062228:13+1520DLWLW
4TwenteTwente1062219:10+920WLDWW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1062220:12+820LDLWD
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1053217:17018WDDWL
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1043318:13+515WWLWD
8GroningenGroningen1043324:21+315DLWWD
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1035223:23014WLDDD
10CambuurCambuur1033419:22-312WDWDW
11UtrechtUtrecht1033417:27-1012DWWLW
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1025317:18-111DDDDL
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1032516:19-311LLLDL
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1023517:24-79LWDLL
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1022611:23-128DWLLL
16TelstarTelstar1013612:21-96LLDLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013613:23-106LWDDL
18Willem IIWillem II1002810:32-222LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1032:1124
2AjaxAjax1029:1321
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1028:1320
4TwenteTwente1019:1020
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1020:1220
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1017:1718
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1018:1315
8GroningenGroningen1024:2115
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1023:2314
10CambuurCambuur1019:2212
11UtrechtUtrecht1017:2712
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1017:1811
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1016:1911
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1017:249
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1011:238
16TelstarTelstar1012:216
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013:236
18Willem IIWillem II1010:322
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Telstar vs Ajax forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Telstar and Ajax in the Eredivisie table

The table shows a wide gap: Ajax are 2nd in the Eredivisie, while Telstar sit 16th, 15 points behind. League goal record so far: Telstar 12-21, Ajax 29-13. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.