Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar: the result in context
AZ Alkmaar beat Utrecht 4-1 in the Eredivisie on 15 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: AZ Alkmaar had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Utrecht.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.7 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 8.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
1V. Barkas
23N. Vesterlund
2S. Horemans
44M. Eerdhuijzen
92A. Zagre
53F. Pohl
6G. Offerhaus
11A. Alarcon
C20D. de Wit
10Y. Cathline
18A. Stepanov
28J. De Busser
22E. Dijkstra
3W. Goes
16L. Schouten
5M. Chavez Garcia
21D. Kwakman
C6P. Koopmeiners
7W. Patati
10K. Smit
11R. Daal
35M. MeerdinkUtrecht Substitutes
AZ Alkmaar Substitutes
Match Stats
Team Comparison
AI Insights
Game State Tendencies
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.9 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Previous meetings
Recent Form
Referee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.39 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.24).
Cards come from 203 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 32:11 | +21 | 24 | DWWWW | |
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 29:13 | +16 | 21 | WWDDW | |
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28:13 | +15 | 20 | DLWLW | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | +9 | 20 | WLDWW | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | LDLWD | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:17 | 0 | 18 | WDDWL | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:13 | +5 | 15 | WWLWD | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 24:21 | +3 | 15 | DLWWD | |
| 9 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 23:23 | 0 | 14 | WLDDD | |
| 10 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:22 | -3 | 12 | WDWDW | |
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:27 | -10 | 12 | DWWLW | |
| 12 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 17:18 | -1 | 11 | DDDDL | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 11 | LLLDL | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:24 | -7 | 9 | LWDLL | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 | DWLLL | |
| 16 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 6 | LLDLD | |
| 17 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:23 | -10 | 6 | LWDDL | |
| 18 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10:32 | -22 | 2 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 32:11 | 24 | |
| 2 | 10 | 29:13 | 21 | |
| 3 | 10 | 28:13 | 20 | |
| 4 | 10 | 19:10 | 20 | |
| 5 | 10 | 20:12 | 20 | |
| 6 | 10 | 17:17 | 18 | |
| 7 | 10 | 18:13 | 15 | |
| 8 | 10 | 24:21 | 15 | |
| 9 | 10 | 23:23 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 19:22 | 12 | |
| 11 | 10 | 17:27 | 12 | |
| 12 | 10 | 17:18 | 11 | |
| 13 | 10 | 16:19 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 17:24 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 11:23 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | 12:21 | 6 | |
| 17 | 10 | 13:23 | 6 | |
| 18 | 10 | 10:32 | 2 |
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This match
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About the Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar forecast
The forecasts for this Eredivisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Utrecht and AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie table
In the Eredivisie table, AZ Alkmaar are 5th and Utrecht 11th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Utrecht 17-27, AZ Alkmaar 20-12. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.


