Twente vs PEC Zwolle Prediction

Twente
3-1
Finished
HT 1-1
PEC Zwolle
De Grolsch Veste, Enschede·Allard Lindhout, Netherlands 16/08/2026
TwenteTwente
3-1
Finished
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.74
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+4.3%
Twente Rest
2 days
PEC Zwolle Rest
7 days

Twente vs PEC Zwolle: result, form and history

Twente beat PEC Zwolle 3-1 in the Eredivisie on 16 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.22
X
17%6.40
2
10%10.25
Double Chance
1X
90%1.05
X2
27%3.90
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.74
No
42%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.05 + 1 = 3.05
Over 1.5
83%1.10
Over 2.5
58%1.36
Over 3.5
33%1.95
Under 1.5
17%6.29
Under 2.5
42%2.98
Under 3.5
67%1.83
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.9 + 2.9 = 10.8
Over 8.5
66%1.26
Over 9.5
55%1.49
Over 10.5
44%1.85
Under 8.5
34%3.28
Under 9.5
45%2.43
Under 10.5
56%1.89
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 1.8 = 3.2
Over 3.5
32%1.96
Over 4.5
16%2.85
Under 3.5
68%1.72
Under 4.5
84%1.35

Match Events

21'E. SorensenAssist: T. Oosting
38'D. WeidmannAssist: S. Orjasaeter
59'D. MbayoOG
66'T. Oosting ING. Reiziger out
66'E. Sorensen INO. Velanas out
66'D. Mbayo INI. Cissoko out
69'B. van Rooij ING. Peixoto out
69'M. Pjaca INK. Hlynsson out
69'D. RotsAssist: R. Zerrouki
78'R. Thomas INN. Fichtinger out
80'S. Orjasaeter INF. Thorvaldsen out
80'D. Weidmann INT. van den Belt out
82'W. Weghorst INS. Lammers out
84'D. van der Haar INT. Velthuis out

Lineups

Twente
4-2-3-1Coach: John van den Brom
PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1Coach: Henry Van Der Vegt
Avg rating7.08
Avg rating6.36
Lars Unnerstall6.61L. Unnerstall
Bart van Rooij7.928B. van Rooij
Robin PröpperC6.93R. Pröpper
Ruud Nijstad7.743R. Nijstad
Aske Adelgaard6.329A. Adelgaard
Ramiz Zerrouki7.76R. Zerrouki
Daouda Weidmann8.242D. Weidmann
Marko Pjaca7.07M. Pjaca
Daan Rots8.211D. Rots
Sondre Ørjasæter7.327S. Ørjasæter
Wout Weghorst6.29W. Weghorst
Jasper Schendelaar7.01J. Schendelaar
Olivier Aertssen5.93O. Aertssen
Simon Graves5.628S. Graves
Nick Viergever6.024N. Viergever
Damian van der Haar5.933D. van der Haar
Ryan ThomasC7.330R. Thomas
Tobias Sommer6.68T. Sommer
Dylan Mbayo6.511D. Mbayo
Thijs Oosting6.625T. Oosting
Elias Sørensen7.29E. Sørensen
Koen Kostons6.010K. Kostons

Twente Substitutes

22Remko Pasveer
16Joël Drommel
12Guilherme Peixoto69'for B. van Rooij6.9
24Krzysztof Kurowski
20Thomas Van den Belt80'for D. Weidmann6.7
4Mathias Kjølø
14Kristian Hlynsson69'for M. Pjaca6.5
19Younes Taha
17Filip Thorvaldsen80'for S. Orjasaeter6.5
37Naci Ünüvar
10Sam Lammers82'for W. Weghorst6.7
25Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink

PEC Zwolle Substitutes

41Duke Verduin
16Tom de Graaff
4Tijs Velthuis84'for D. van der Haar
6Jan Bürger
42Dylan Ruward
22Ibrahim Cissoko66'for D. Mbayo6.3
18Odysseus Velanas66'for E. Sorensen6.0
34Nick Fichtinger78'for R. Thomas6.3
38Givaro Rahajaän
20Gabriel Reiziger66'for T. Oosting6.2
26Jadiel Pereira da Gama
37Gilles van der Wal

Match Stats

TwentePEC Zwolle
69%Ball Possession31%
6Corner Kicks3
27Total Shots8
10Shots on Goal3
12Shots off Goal2
17Shots Inside Box5
10Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots3
11Fouls6
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves8
614Total Passes285
540Passes Accurate197
88%Pass Accuracy69%

Team Comparison

TwenteTwente
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
1845Elo Rating 1564
1.96Attack 1.28
2.24Defense 1.45
66%Hit Rate 19%
20.1Shots per Game 13.3
5.8Shots on Target 5.7
5.9Corners per Game 5.3
1.3Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+281 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.05 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

TwenteTwente
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

TwenteTwente5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle2Wins · 20%
2.6Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Eredivisie10/01/2026
TwentePEC Zwolle
11
Eredivisie10/08/2025
PEC ZwolleTwente
10
Eredivisie13/04/2025
PEC ZwolleTwente
11
Eredivisie14/09/2024
TwentePEC Zwolle
11
Eredivisie19/05/2024
PEC ZwolleTwente
12
Eredivisie20/08/2023
TwentePEC Zwolle
31
Eredivisie19/03/2022
TwentePEC Zwolle
10
Eredivisie18/12/2021
PEC ZwolleTwente
13
Eredivisie10/04/2021
PEC ZwolleTwente
10
Eredivisie31/10/2020
TwentePEC Zwolle
51

Recent Form

TwenteTwente
4W2D4L
13/08/2026
Dunajska StredaTwente
33
D
09/08/2026
HeerenveenTwente
10
L
06/08/2026
TwenteDunajska Streda
60
W
02/08/2026
GenkTwente
21
L
30/07/2026
Ferencvarosi TCTwente
22
D
24/07/2026
EmmenTwente
03
W
23/07/2026
TwenteFerencvarosi TC
12
L
18/07/2026
TwenteGent
02
L
11/07/2026
PAOKTwente
23
W
04/07/2026
TwenteAberdeen
10
W
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
2W1D7L
09/08/2026
PEC ZwolleAjax
02
L
01/08/2026
Hannover 96PEC Zwolle
30
L
26/07/2026
PEC ZwolleAEK Athens FC
23
L
18/07/2026
PEC ZwolleCercle Brugge
32
W
11/07/2026
PEC ZwolleAl-Jazira
01
L
17/05/2026
PEC ZwolleFeyenoord
02
L
10/05/2026
Fortuna SittardPEC Zwolle
32
L
03/05/2026
PEC ZwolleHeracles
10
W
23/04/2026
PSV EindhovenPEC Zwolle
61
L
12/04/2026
PEC ZwolleExcelsior
22
D

Referee Profile

Allard Lindhout218 matches

3.25Cards per match
3.09Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
21.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Allard Lindhout3.25
Other referees3.38

3.25 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.38).

Cards come from 209 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1174033:12+2125DDWWW
2PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1172235:13+2223WDLWL
3AjaxAjax1063129:13+1621WWDDW
4TwenteTwente1062219:10+920WLDWW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1062220:12+820LDLWD
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1154218:18019DWDDW
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1153319:13+618WWWLW
8GroningenGroningen1043324:21+315DLWWD
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1035223:23014WLDDD
10CambuurCambuur1033419:22-312WDWDW
11UtrechtUtrecht1033417:27-1012DWWLW
12ExcelsiorExcelsior1032516:19-311LLLDL
13NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1125417:19-211LDDDD
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1023517:24-79LWDLL
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1022611:23-128DWLLL
16TelstarTelstar1013612:21-96LLDLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013613:23-106LWDDL
18Willem IIWillem II1102910:39-292LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1133:1225
2PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1135:1323
3AjaxAjax1029:1321
4TwenteTwente1019:1020
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1020:1220
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1118:1819
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1119:1318
8GroningenGroningen1024:2115
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1023:2314
10CambuurCambuur1019:2212
11UtrechtUtrecht1017:2712
12ExcelsiorExcelsior1016:1911
13NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1117:1911
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1017:249
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1011:238
16TelstarTelstar1012:216
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013:236
18Willem IIWillem II1110:392
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About the Twente vs PEC Zwolle forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Twente and PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie table

The table shows a wide gap: Twente are 4th in the Eredivisie, while PEC Zwolle sit 15th, 12 points behind. League goal record so far: Twente 19-10, PEC Zwolle 11-23. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.