Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez Prediction

Estadio Akron, Zapopan·César Ramos Palazuelos, Mexico 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
52%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
2.11
SignalNEUTRALModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+9.5%
Guadalajara Chivas Rest
6 days
FC Juarez Rest
7 days

Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez: the result in context

Guadalajara Chivas beat FC Juarez 1-0 in the Liga MX on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them. Guadalajara Chivas tend to win more corners, 9.1 a game to 6.8 for FC Juarez.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.42
X
23%4.50
2
14%6.80
Double Chance
1X
85%1.10
X2
37%2.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.70
No
46%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.74 + 0.91 = 2.65
Over 1.5
78%1.16
Over 2.5
58%1.57
Over 3.5
33%2.37
Under 1.5
22%4.75
Under 2.5
42%2.36
Under 3.5
67%1.54
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 3.9 = 9.4
Over 8.5
58%1.48
Over 9.5
44%1.83
Over 10.5
31%2.27
Under 8.5
42%2.38
Under 9.5
56%1.85
Under 10.5
69%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%1.32
Over 4.5
39%1.73
Under 3.5
40%2.80
Under 4.5
61%2.00

Match Events

46'H. OrtegaFoul
61'J. Carrillo INE. Alvarez out
66'J. Aquino INF. J. Nevarez Pulgarin out
66'Ricardinho INJ. M. Torres Ramirez I. out
66'H. Ortega INMonchu out
70'O. Estupinan INL. Dupuy out
74'R. Ledezma INR. Marin out
74'B. Gutierrez INK. Castaneda out
74'J. Castillo IND. Campillo Del Campo out
82'G. Sepulveda INJuarez Ricardo out
87'J. M. Torres Ramirez I.Foul
90'R. MarinFoul
90+3'B. Gonzalez INJ. Perez out
90+6'R. AlvaradoAssist: R. Marin

Lineups

Guadalajara Chivas
3-1-4-2Coach: Gabriel Milito
FC Juarez
5-4-1Coach: Pedro Caixinha
Avg rating7.26
Avg rating6.88
Raúl Rangel6.91R. Rangel
Daniel Aguirre7.923D. Aguirre
Luis RomoC8.27L. Romo
José Castillo7.22J. Castillo
Fernando González8.028F. González
Richard Ledezma7.537R. Ledezma
Brian Gutiérrez7.311B. Gutiérrez
Jordan Carrillo6.233J. Carrillo
Bryan González6.95B. González
Roberto Alvarado8.525R. Alvarado
Armando González6.334A. González
Sebastián JuradoC7.91S. Jurado
Javier Aquino7.220J. Aquino
Gilberto Sepúlveda7.22G. Sepúlveda
Jesús Murillo7.63J. Murillo
Haret Ortega7.323H. Ortega
Alejandro Mayorga6.24A. Mayorga
Ricardinho6.321Ricardinho
Denzell Garcia7.55D. Garcia
Guilherme Castilho6.78G. Castilho
José Luis Rodríguez6.711J. Luis Rodríguez
Óscar Estupiñán6.719Ó. Estupiñán

Guadalajara Chivas Substitutes

10Efrain Alvarez61'for J. Carrillo6.6
3Diego Campillo74'for J. Castillo6.6
19Kevin Castañeda74'for B. Gutierrez7.3
17Ricardo Marín74'for R. Ledezma90'7.5
18Jonathan Perez90+3'for B. Gonzalez
13Óscar Whalley
24Miguel Gómez
56Ángel Chávez
16Luis Gabriel Rey
67Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo

FC Juarez Substitutes

33Francisco Nevarez66'for J. Aquino6.9
6Monchu66'for H. Ortega6.7
10Jairo Torres66'for Ricardinho87'6.3
17Luca Martínez Dupuy70'for O. Estupinan6.3
198Ricardo Juárez82'for G. Sepulveda6.5
27Guillermo Ruiz
7Raymundo Fulgencio
25Said Godínez
201Jan Carmona
29Ettson Ayón

Match Stats

Guadalajara ChivasFC Juarez
78%Ball Possession22%
19Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
22Total Shots6
8Shots on Goal0
5Shots off Goal6
15Shots Inside Box3
7Shots Outside Box3
9Blocked Shots0
11Fouls14
2Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves7
725Total Passes212
643Passes Accurate148
89%Pass Accuracy70%

Team Comparison

Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
FC JuarezFC Juarez
1713Elo Rating 1483
0.98Attack 0.58
1.96Defense 1.08
27%Hit Rate 0%
17.6Shots per Game 12.5
4.8Shots on Target 3.5
9.1Corners per Game 6.8
1.8Cards per Game 3.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+230 Elo
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
FC JuarezFC Juarez
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas5Wins · 50%
Draws440%
FC JuarezFC Juarez1Wins · 10%
2.7Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX14/01/2026
FC JuarezGuadalajara Chivas
01
Liga MX17/08/2025
Guadalajara ChivasFC Juarez
12
Liga MX16/03/2025
FC JuarezGuadalajara Chivas
11
Liga MX01/09/2024
Guadalajara ChivasFC Juarez
50
Liga MX11/02/2024
Guadalajara ChivasFC Juarez
21
Liga MX19/08/2023
FC JuarezGuadalajara Chivas
11
Liga MX29/01/2023
FC JuarezGuadalajara Chivas
12
Liga MX03/07/2022
Guadalajara ChivasFC Juarez
00
Liga MX10/02/2022
FC JuarezGuadalajara Chivas
13
Liga MX08/08/2021
Guadalajara ChivasFC Juarez
22

Recent Form

Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
2W4D4L
19/07/2026
Guadalajara ChivasToluca
02
L
04/07/2026
Correcaminos UatGuadalajara Chivas
00
D
17/05/2026
Guadalajara ChivasCruz Azul
12
L
14/05/2026
Cruz AzulGuadalajara Chivas
22
D
10/05/2026
Guadalajara ChivasTigres UANL
20
W
03/05/2026
Tigres UANLGuadalajara Chivas
31
L
26/04/2026
Guadalajara ChivasClub Tijuana
00
D
23/04/2026
NecaxaGuadalajara Chivas
00
D
19/04/2026
Guadalajara ChivasPuebla
50
W
12/04/2026
Tigres UANLGuadalajara Chivas
41
L
FC JuarezFC Juarez
3W3D4L
18/07/2026
FC JuarezPuebla
01
L
10/07/2026
Colorado RapidsFC Juarez
11
D
04/07/2026
Mineros de ZacatecasFC Juarez
13
W
01/07/2026
FC JuarezCA La Paz
22
D
28/06/2026
FC JuarezAtlante FC
20
W
26/04/2026
FC JuarezAtletico San Luis
21
W
22/04/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasFC Juarez
42
L
19/04/2026
LeonFC Juarez
31
L
11/04/2026
FC JuarezClub Tijuana
12
L
08/04/2026
Club QueretaroFC Juarez
11
D

Referee Profile

César Ramos Palazuelos228 matches

4.61Cards per match
4.22Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

César Ramos Palazuelos4.61
Other referees4.47

4.61 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.47).

Cards come from 218 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1383233:18+1527LWWDW
2Cruz AzulCruz Azul1482432:23+926WWWDD
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1475221:12+926WWDDL
4AtlasAtlas1473425:26-124WLWDW
5TolucaToluca1465329:19+1023DDDLD
6Club LeonClub Leon1464421:18+322WDLWD
7MonterreyMonterrey1362523:18+520LWWDL
8Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1355321:17+420WDDDL
9Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1362517:18-120LLLWW
10Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1461720:20019LWWWW
11Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1454519:22-319WWDLW
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1445520:23-317DLWDL
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca1444622:19+316WLLDL
14PueblaPuebla1444616:21-516LLDDL
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1436515:19-415DLDWW
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1435614:20-614LWLLW
17NecaxaNecaxa1424816:27-1110DLLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1412119:33-245DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1333:1827
2Cruz AzulCruz Azul1432:2326
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1421:1226
4AtlasAtlas1425:2624
5TolucaToluca1429:1923
6Club LeonClub Leon1421:1822
7MonterreyMonterrey1323:1820
8Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1321:1720
9Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1317:1820
10Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1420:2019
11Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1419:2219
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1420:2317
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca1422:1916
14PueblaPuebla1416:2116
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1415:1915
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1414:2014
17NecaxaNecaxa1416:2710
18FC JuarezFC Juarez149:335
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About the Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez forecast

The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Guadalajara Chivas and FC Juarez in the Liga MX table

The table shows a wide gap: Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd in the Liga MX, while FC Juarez sit 18th, 21 points behind. League goal record so far: Guadalajara Chivas 21-12, FC Juarez 9-33. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.