Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis Prediction

Estadio Universitario (UANL), Monterrey·Luis Alfredo Garcia Rodriguez, Mexico 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.62
SignalGOODModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+8.7%
Tigres UANL Rest
8 days
Atletico San Luis Rest
8 days

Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis: result, form and history

Tigres UANL and Atletico San Luis drew 2-2 in the Liga MX on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Tigres UANL have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game. Referee Luis Alfredo Garcia Rodriguez averages 3.36 cards a game, 1.40 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
64%1.40
X
24%4.70
2
12%6.83
Double Chance
1X
88%1.09
X2
36%2.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.80
No
46%1.92
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 0.84 = 2.44
Over 1.5
75%1.18
Over 2.5
57%1.62
Over 3.5
32%2.50
Under 1.5
25%4.50
Under 2.5
43%2.25
Under 3.5
68%1.49
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.8 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.50
Over 9.5
55%1.83
Over 10.5
39%2.27
Under 8.5
36%2.38
Under 9.5
45%1.88
Under 10.5
61%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.5 = 4.4
Over 3.5
60%1.73
Over 4.5
39%2.40
Under 3.5
40%2.00
Under 4.5
61%1.45

Match Events

11'F. GorriaranAssist: Joaquim
13'C. AraujoFoul
39'R. Llorente
45+4'Robson BambuFoul
53'D. A. Sanchez GuevaraAssist: J. Brunetta
69'L. Flores INR. Meraz out
74'C. Araujo INA. Franco out
82'D. A. Sanchez Guevara INJ. Vigon out
82'M. Garcia INR. Najera out
82'R. Llorente INS. Munoz out
82'O. Macias INS. Perez out
86'A. FrancoFoul
87'Lucas Esteves INA. Duarte out
89'D. RodriguezAssist: R. Torres
90+1'V. Lorona INA. de Maria Campos out

Lineups

Tigres UANL
4-2-3-1Coach: Guido Pizarro
Atletico San Luis
3-4-2-1Coach: Raul Chabrand
Avg rating6.78
Avg rating6.66
Nahuel Guzmán6.31N. Guzmán
Jesus Garza6.314J. Garza
Joaquim7.028Joaquim
Rômulo Zwarg6.223R. Zwarg
Vladimir Loroña6.332V. Loroña
César Araújo7.05C. Araújo
Fernando GorriaránC7.38F. Gorriarán
Diego Lainez7.016D. Lainez
Juan Brunetta7.211J. Brunetta
Diego Sánchez8.330D. Sánchez
Ozziel Herrera6.377O. Herrera
Andrés Sánchez5.91A. Sánchez
Robson Bambu6.33R. Bambu
Miguel Alonso García6.214M. Alonso García
Eduardo Águila6.331E. Águila
Román Torres6.22R. Torres
Oscar Macías6.321O. Macías
Sébastien Salles-LamongeC7.010S. Salles-Lamonge
Lucas Esteves6.316L. Esteves
David Rodriguez8.311D. Rodriguez
Sergio7.922Sergio
Leonardo Flores6.320L. Flores

Tigres UANL Substitutes

15Alan Javier Franco74'for C. Araujo86'6.2
6Juan Vigón82'for D. A. Sanchez Guevara6.7
205Antonio de María y Campos90+1'for V. Lorona
25Carlos Rodríguez
193Marcelo Salinas
26Fernando Ordoñez
33Rafael Guerrero
19Mauro Laínez
198Isac Galván
197Ángel Ramírez

Atletico San Luis Substitutes

5Roberto Meraz69'for L. Flores6.9
26Sebastián Pérez Bouquet82'for O. Macias6.7
8Ronaldo Nájera82'for M. Garcia6.5
19Santiago Muñoz82'replaced by R. Llorente6.5
17Anderson Duarte87'for Lucas Esteves6.9
25Gibran Lajud
18Aldo Cruz
30Benjamín Galindo
13Johan Caicedo
242Ángel Reyes

Match Stats

Tigres UANLAtletico San Luis
44%Ball Possession56%
9Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots13
2Shots on Goal4
12Shots off Goal6
11Shots Inside Box4
6Shots Outside Box9
3Blocked Shots3
15Fouls14
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves1
375Total Passes507
316Passes Accurate441
84%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Tigres UANLTigres UANL
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
1634Elo Rating 1605
0.98Attack 1.51
1.56Defense 1.96
36%Hit Rate 64%
14.7Shots per Game 11.8
5.9Shots on Target 4.5
8.8Corners per Game 3.4
0.6Cards per Game 0.6

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Tigres UANLTigres UANL
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Tigres UANLTigres UANL6Wins · 60%
Draws330%
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1Wins · 10%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX12/01/2026
Atletico San LuisTigres UANL
12
Liga MX09/11/2025
Tigres UANLAtletico San Luis
31
Liga MX12/01/2025
Atletico San LuisTigres UANL
13
Liga MX02/12/2024
Tigres UANLAtletico San Luis
00
Liga MX29/11/2024
Atletico San LuisTigres UANL
30
Liga MX14/09/2024
Tigres UANLAtletico San Luis
10
Liga MX25/01/2024
Atletico San LuisTigres UANL
12
Liga MX04/11/2023
Tigres UANLAtletico San Luis
22
Liga MX29/01/2023
Tigres UANLAtletico San Luis
00
Liga MX02/10/2022
Atletico San LuisTigres UANL
03

Recent Form

Tigres UANLTigres UANL
4W2D4L
17/07/2026
Club TijuanaTigres UANL
31
L
31/05/2026
TolucaTigres UANL
6050
L
10/05/2026
Guadalajara ChivasTigres UANL
20
L
06/05/2026
Tigres UANLNashville SC
10
W
03/05/2026
Tigres UANLGuadalajara Chivas
31
W
29/04/2026
Nashville SCTigres UANL
01
W
26/04/2026
Tigres UANLMazatlán
51
W
23/04/2026
AtlasTigres UANL
00
D
19/04/2026
NecaxaTigres UANL
11
D
16/04/2026
Seattle SoundersTigres UANL
31
L
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
5W1D4L
18/07/2026
Atletico San LuisCruz Azul
23
L
10/07/2026
Atletico San LuisMineros de Zacatecas
40
W
07/07/2026
Atletico San LuisSporting San Jose
40
W
01/07/2026
AtlasAtletico San Luis
01
W
26/04/2026
FC JuarezAtletico San Luis
21
L
23/04/2026
Atletico San LuisSantos Laguna
20
W
18/04/2026
Atletico San LuisU.N.A.M. - Pumas
02
L
13/04/2026
TolucaAtletico San Luis
11
D
05/04/2026
MonterreyAtletico San Luis
12
W
22/03/2026
Atletico San LuisLeon
12
L

Referee Profile

Luis Alfredo Garcia Rodriguez11 matches

3.36Cards per match
3.18Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Luis Alfredo Garcia Rodriguez3.36
Other referees4.76

3.36 cards a match, 1.40 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.76).

Cards come from 11 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1484234:19+1528DLWWD
2Cruz AzulCruz Azul1482432:23+926WWWDD
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1475221:12+926WWDDL
4AtlasAtlas1473425:26-124WLWDW
5TolucaToluca1465329:19+1023DDDLD
6Club LeonClub Leon1464421:18+322WDLWD
7Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1456322:18+421DWDDD
8MonterreyMonterrey1362523:18+520LWWDL
9Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1362517:18-120LLLWW
10Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1461720:20019LWWWW
11Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1454519:22-319WWDLW
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1445520:23-317DLWDL
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca1444622:19+316WLLDL
14PueblaPuebla1444616:21-516LLDDL
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1436515:19-415DLDWW
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1435614:20-614LWLLW
17NecaxaNecaxa1424816:27-1110DLLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1412119:33-245DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1434:1928
2Cruz AzulCruz Azul1432:2326
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1421:1226
4AtlasAtlas1425:2624
5TolucaToluca1429:1923
6Club LeonClub Leon1421:1822
7Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1422:1821
8MonterreyMonterrey1323:1820
9Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1317:1820
10Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1420:2019
11Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1419:2219
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1420:2317
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca1422:1916
14PueblaPuebla1416:2116
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1415:1915
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1414:2014
17NecaxaNecaxa1416:2710
18FC JuarezFC Juarez149:335
Promotion

About the Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tigres UANL and Atletico San Luis in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, Atletico San Luis are 11th and Tigres UANL 15th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Tigres UANL 15-19, Atletico San Luis 19-22. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.