Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul Prediction

Alfonso Lastras Ramirez, San Luis de Potosi·Adonai Escobedo Gonzalez, Mexico 18/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.56
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+8.8%
Atletico San Luis Rest
7 days
Cruz Azul Rest
13 days

Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul: the result in context

Cruz Azul beat Atletico San Luis 3-2 in the Liga MX on 18 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Atletico San Luis had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Cruz Azul.

Cruz Azul have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.1 goals a game. Cruz Azul tend to win more corners, 5.4 a game to 3.4 for Atletico San Luis.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%3.90
X
29%3.60
2
46%1.86
Double Chance
1X
54%1.91
X2
75%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.67
No
37%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 1.34 = 2.71
Over 1.5
79%1.22
Over 2.5
60%1.79
Over 3.5
34%2.83
Under 1.5
21%3.90
Under 2.5
40%2.02
Under 3.5
66%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 4.8 = 9.1
Over 8.5
52%1.69
Over 9.5
39%2.12
Over 10.5
28%2.90
Under 8.5
48%2.02
Under 9.5
61%1.61
Under 10.5
72%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 1.9 = 4.5
Over 3.5
64%1.31
Over 4.5
42%1.72
Under 3.5
36%2.82
Under 4.5
58%2.00

Match Events

14'R. LlorenteFoul
33'C. RodriguezDiving
46'S. Salles-Lamonge
50'R. LlorenteAssist: L. Flores
56'C. Ebere ING. Fernandez out
56'O. Campos INL. Romero out
56'A. Palavecino INN. Ibanez out
63'G. Fernandez(Penalty)
71'L. Flores INR. Najera out
75'Robson BambuFoul
76'D. Rodriguez INM. Garcia out
77'Lucas Esteves INA. Duarte out
77'E. Lira INA. Montano out
81'J. MarquezAssist: L. Romero
87'J. Paradela INA. Garcia out
88'R. Llorente INS. Munoz out
90+3'J. MarquezAssist: C. Rodriguez

Lineups

Atletico San Luis
3-4-2-1Coach: Raul Chabrand
Cruz Azul
4-2-3-1Coach: Joel Huiqui
Avg rating6.64
Avg rating6.79
Andrés Sánchez6.91A. Sánchez
Robson Bambu5.93R. Bambu
Eduardo Águila5.931E. Águila
Aldo Cruz6.318A. Cruz
Román Torres7.02R. Torres
Oscar Macías6.921O. Macías
Sébastien Salles-LamongeC7.310S. Salles-Lamonge
Lucas Esteves6.216L. Esteves
David Rodriguez7.211D. Rodriguez
Sergio7.922Sergio
Leonardo Flores6.920L. Flores
Kevin Mier6.023K. Mier
Jeremy Márquez8.916J. Márquez
Willer Ditta6.94W. Ditta
Gonzalo Piovi6.733G. Piovi
Omar Campos5.93O. Campos
Erik LiraC6.96E. Lira
Agustín Palavecino6.28A. Palavecino
José Paradela6.320J. Paradela
Carlos Rodríguez7.519C. Rodríguez
Carlos Rotondi6.929C. Rotondi
Osinachi Ebere6.311O. Ebere

Atletico San Luis Substitutes

8Ronaldo Nájera71'for L. Flores6.3
14Miguel Alonso García76'for D. Rodriguez6.3
17Anderson Duarte77'for Lucas Esteves6.3
19Santiago Muñoz88'replaced by R. Llorente6.3
25Gibran Lajud
30Benjamín Galindo
188Luis Carillo
26Sebastián Pérez Bouquet
5Roberto Meraz
242Ángel Reyes

Cruz Azul Substitutes

7Nicolás Ibáñez56'for A. Palavecino6.5
21Gabriel Fernández56'for C. Ebere63'7.2
18Luka Romero56'for O. Campos7.2
10Andres Montaño77'for E. Lira6.3
17Amaury Garcia87'for J. Paradela6.9
1Andrés Gudiño
22Jorge Rodarte Barragan
12Alan Montes
5Jesús Orozco
55Rogelio González

Match Stats

Atletico San LuisCruz Azul
46%Ball Possession54%
4Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots20
5Shots on Goal10
5Shots off Goal7
7Shots Inside Box13
5Shots Outside Box7
2Blocked Shots3
9Fouls10
3Offsides1
6Goalkeeper Saves4
404Total Passes482
334Passes Accurate405
83%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
1605Elo Rating 1781
1.51Attack 3.16
1.96Defense 1.58
64%Hit Rate 69%
11.8Shots per Game 16.3
4.5Shots on Target 6.8
3.4Corners per Game 5.4
0.6Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2.1 vs 1.1 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis2Wins · 20%
Draws220%
Cruz AzulCruz Azul6Wins · 60%
2.1Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX08/03/2026
Cruz AzulAtletico San Luis
30
Liga MX12/08/2025
Atletico San LuisCruz Azul
12
Liga MX16/03/2025
Cruz AzulAtletico San Luis
30
Liga MX18/09/2024
Atletico San LuisCruz Azul
31
Liga MX11/02/2024
Cruz AzulAtletico San Luis
30
Liga MX30/09/2023
Atletico San LuisCruz Azul
12
Liga MX19/03/2023
Cruz AzulAtletico San Luis
10
Liga MX27/07/2022
Atletico San LuisCruz Azul
00
Liga MX25/04/2022
Cruz AzulAtletico San Luis
01
Liga MX22/08/2021
Atletico San LuisCruz Azul
00

Recent Form

Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
5W2D3L
10/07/2026
Atletico San LuisMineros de Zacatecas
40
W
07/07/2026
Atletico San LuisSporting San Jose
40
W
01/07/2026
AtlasAtletico San Luis
01
W
26/04/2026
FC JuarezAtletico San Luis
21
L
23/04/2026
Atletico San LuisSantos Laguna
20
W
18/04/2026
Atletico San LuisU.N.A.M. - Pumas
02
L
13/04/2026
TolucaAtletico San Luis
11
D
05/04/2026
MonterreyAtletico San Luis
12
W
22/03/2026
Atletico San LuisLeon
12
L
15/03/2026
Atletico San LuisCF Pachuca
11
D
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
5W5D0L
05/07/2026
MonarcasCruz Azul
33
D
25/05/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasCruz Azul
12
W
22/05/2026
Cruz AzulU.N.A.M. - Pumas
00
D
17/05/2026
Guadalajara ChivasCruz Azul
12
W
14/05/2026
Cruz AzulGuadalajara Chivas
22
D
10/05/2026
Cruz AzulAtlas
10
W
03/05/2026
AtlasCruz Azul
23
W
27/04/2026
Cruz AzulNecaxa
41
W
22/04/2026
Club QueretaroCruz Azul
11
D
19/04/2026
Cruz AzulClub Tijuana
11
D

Referee Profile

Adonai Escobedo Gonzalez170 matches

4.82Cards per match
4.40Yellow cards per match
0.42Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Adonai Escobedo Gonzalez4.82
Other referees4.56

4.82 cards a match, 0.26 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.56).

Cards come from 158 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1585236:21+1529DDLWW
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1585225:14+1129WWWDD
3Cruz AzulCruz Azul1592434:24+1029WWWWD
4AtlasAtlas1583426:26027WWLWD
5TolucaToluca1566331:21+1024DDDDL
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1557325:21+422DDWDD
7LeonLeon1564522:20+222LDWLD
8Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1571721:20+122WLWWW
9MonterreyMonterrey1463526:21+521DLWWD
10U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1555522:24-220WDLWD
11Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1462618:21-320LLLLW
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca1554625:19+619WWLLD
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1554619:23-419LWWDL
14PueblaPuebla1544717:23-616LLLDD
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1536615:22-715LDLDW
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1535716:24-814LLWLL
17NecaxaNecaxa1524916:28-1210LDLLD
18FC JuarezFC Juarez15221112:34-228WDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1536:2129
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1525:1429
3Cruz AzulCruz Azul1534:2429
4AtlasAtlas1526:2627
5TolucaToluca1531:2124
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1525:2122
7LeonLeon1522:2022
8Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1521:2022
9MonterreyMonterrey1426:2121
10U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1522:2420
11Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1418:2120
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca1525:1919
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1519:2319
14PueblaPuebla1517:2316
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1515:2215
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1516:2414
17NecaxaNecaxa1516:2810
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1512:348
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About the Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul forecast

The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atletico San Luis and Cruz Azul in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, Cruz Azul are 3rd and Atletico San Luis 13th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico San Luis 19-23, Cruz Azul 34-24. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cruz Azul have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.