Necaxa vs Atlante FC Prediction

Necaxa
2-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Atlante FC
Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes·Y. Peinaldo Aguirre 17/07/2026
NecaxaNecaxa
2-1
Finished
Atlante FCAtlante FC

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+6.1%
Necaxa Rest
12 days
Atlante FC Rest
6 days

Necaxa vs Atlante FC: the result in context

Necaxa beat Atlante FC 2-1 in the Liga MX on 17 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Necaxa had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Atlante FC.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.87
X
23%3.60
2
23%3.85
Double Chance
1X
77%1.24
X2
46%1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.62
No
36%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 1.27 = 2.82
Over 1.5
84%1.20
Over 2.5
61%1.70
Over 3.5
35%2.62
Under 1.5
16%4.10
Under 2.5
39%2.10
Under 3.5
65%1.43
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

42'R. MartinezFoul
47'E. PizzutoAssist: L. Calzadilla
54'A. Oliveros INF. Mendez out
54'C. Vargas INE. Rodriguez out
64'A. Escobar INW. Clar out
66'J. P. Torres Patino INR. Cortez out
69'J. N. CarreraFoul
72'E. Pizzuto IND. Gonzalez out
72'L. Calzadilla INL. Mejia out
80'J. Carranza(Penalty)
81'L. Faravelli INM. Pedroza out
83'E. Tercero INA. Padilla out
83'L. Puente INJ. Charcopa out
86'W. PortalesFoul
90+3'M. PedrozaAssist: J. Carranza

Lineups

Necaxa
Coach: Martin Varini
Atlante FC
Coach: Ernesto Herrera Aguirre Miguel

Necaxa Starting XI

12L. Jimenez
33R. Martinez42'
4A. Pena
3A. Oliveros54'replaced by F. Mendez
30R. Monreal
6D. Leyva
8L. Faravelli81'replaced by M. Pedroza
88C. Vargas54'replaced by E. Rodriguez
11J. P. Torres Patino66'replaced by R. Cortez
10J. Ruiz
9J. Carranza80'

Atlante FC Starting XI

1O. Jimenez
29W. Portales86'
6J. N. Carrera69'
4E. Tercero83'replaced by A. Padilla
3L. Sanchez
27A. Escobar64'replaced by W. Clar
8E. Pizzuto47'72'replaced by D. Gonzalez
25M. Fernandez
19L. Calzadilla72'replaced by L. Mejia
9L. Puente83'replaced by J. Charcopa
7Jhojan Julio

Necaxa Substitutes

1C. Andrade
17R. Cortez66'for J. P. Torres Patino
16P. Pedraza
2E. Martinez
27M. Pedroza81'for L. Faravelli90+3'
14M. Zaleta
21M. Espindola
90J. Valencia
20F. Mendez54'for A. Oliveros
99E. Rodriguez54'for C. Vargas

Atlante FC Substitutes

22R. Barragan
37W. Clar64'for A. Escobar
15J. Charcopa83'for L. Puente
13M. Garcia Pardo
23A. Padilla83'for E. Tercero
21J. Ibarra
20G. Adame
17L. Mejia72'for L. Calzadilla
16D. Gonzalez72'for E. Pizzuto
184R. Coubert

Team Comparison

NecaxaNecaxa
Atlante FCAtlante FC
1482Elo Rating 1540
1.05Attack 0.99
1.05Defense 1.73
0%Hit Rate 37%
15.5Shots per Game 15.9
5.4Shots on Target 6.6
5.9Corners per Game 7.5
2.0Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

NecaxaNecaxa
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atlante FCAtlante FC
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

NecaxaNecaxa
4W4D2L
04/07/2026
AtlasNecaxa
00
D
01/07/2026
Correcaminos UatNecaxa
36
W
20/06/2026
NecaxaMonarcas
10
W
27/04/2026
Cruz AzulNecaxa
41
L
23/04/2026
NecaxaGuadalajara Chivas
00
D
19/04/2026
NecaxaTigres UANL
11
D
12/04/2026
Club QueretaroNecaxa
31
L
04/04/2026
NecaxaMazatlán
21
W
21/03/2026
NecaxaClub Tijuana
30
W
14/03/2026
PueblaNecaxa
00
D
Atlante FCAtlante FC
2W4D4L
10/07/2026
Atlante FCToluca
33
D
04/07/2026
Atlante FCMonterrey
11
D
02/07/2026
New Mexico UnitedAtlante FC
33
D
28/06/2026
FC JuarezAtlante FC
20
L
27/04/2026
TepatitlánAtlante FC
20
L
24/04/2026
Atlante FCTepatitlán
20
W
18/04/2026
Atlante FCCA La Paz
11
D
12/04/2026
CancúnAtlante FC
21
L
05/04/2026
Atlante FCMineros de Zacatecas
31
W
28/03/2026
Venados FCAtlante FC
41
L

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1585236:21+1529DDLWW
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1585225:14+1129WWWDD
3Cruz AzulCruz Azul1592434:24+1029WWWWD
4AtlasAtlas1583426:26027WWLWD
5TolucaToluca1566331:21+1024DDDDL
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1557325:21+422DDWDD
7LeonLeon1564522:20+222LDWLD
8Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1571721:20+122WLWWW
9MonterreyMonterrey1463526:21+521DLWWD
10U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1555522:24-220WDLWD
11Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1462618:21-320LLLLW
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca1554625:19+619WWLLD
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1554619:23-419LWWDL
14PueblaPuebla1544717:23-616LLLDD
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1536615:22-715LDLDW
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1535716:24-814LLWLL
17NecaxaNecaxa1524916:28-1210LDLLD
18FC JuarezFC Juarez15221112:34-228WDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1536:2129
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1525:1429
3Cruz AzulCruz Azul1534:2429
4AtlasAtlas1526:2627
5TolucaToluca1531:2124
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1525:2122
7LeonLeon1522:2022
8Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1521:2022
9MonterreyMonterrey1426:2121
10U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1522:2420
11Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1418:2120
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca1525:1919
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1519:2319
14PueblaPuebla1517:2316
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1515:2215
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1516:2414
17NecaxaNecaxa1516:2810
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1512:348
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About the Necaxa vs Atlante FC forecast

The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Necaxa and Atlante FC in the Liga MX table

Atlante FC and Necaxa are close in the Liga MX table, 16th and 17th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Necaxa 16-28, Atlante FC 16-24. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Necaxa and Atlante FC have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.