Hibernian vs Kilmarnock Prediction

Hibernian
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Kilmarnock
Easter Road, Edinburgh 15/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.43
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-3.1%
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 1.5
2.00
SignalNEUTRALModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+6.8%
Hibernian Rest
3 days
Kilmarnock Rest
3 days

Hibernian vs Kilmarnock: the result in context

Kilmarnock beat Hibernian 1-0 in the Premiership on 15 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
69%1.43
X
20%4.62
2
11%6.50
Double Chance
1X
89%1.11
X2
31%2.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.66
No
50%2.09
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.62 + 0.85 = 2.47
Over 1.5
73%1.15
Over 2.5
49%1.50
Over 3.5
26%2.29
Under 1.5
27%5.20
Under 2.5
51%2.50
Under 3.5
74%1.63
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 4.4 = 10.8
Over 8.5
71%1.28
Over 9.5
60%1.52
Over 10.5
53%1.87
Under 8.5
29%3.10
Under 9.5
40%2.39
Under 10.5
47%1.88
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.1 = 3.6
Over 3.5
48%1.67
Over 4.5
29%2.20
Under 3.5
52%2.10
Under 4.5
71%1.62

Match Events

8'Kanayo Megwa INGrant Hanley out
31'Tyreece John-JulesFoul
40'George Stanger
53'Thibault Klidjé INNathan Lowe out
53'Callum·Wright INMartin Boyle out
53'Ante Suto INOwen Elding out
56'Goal cancelledJoe Hugill
67'Michael-John Kamson-Kamara INJamie Brandon out
67'Bailey Rice INMark O'Hara out
67'Jacob Devaney INMiguel Changa Chaiwa out
73'Tyreece John-Jules INDjenairo Daniels out
78'Djenairo DanielsFoul
90+1'Erik Ring INRory McKenzie out
90+2'Djenairo Daniels

Lineups

Hibernian
3-1-4-2Coach: David Gray
Kilmarnock
3-4-2-1Coach: N. McCann
Avg rating6.75
Avg rating6.72
R. Sallinger8.11R. Sallinger
J. Kerr7.66J. Kerr
J. Iredale6.815J. Iredale
K. Megwa6.427K. Megwa
J. Devaney6.624J. Devaney
F. Passlack6.925F. Passlack
J. Mulligan6.78J. Mulligan
C. Wright6.423C. Wright
A. Mayor6.53A. Mayor
A. Šuto6.522A. Šuto
T. Klidje6.318T. Klidje
M. Stryjek8.61M. Stryjek
Michael-John Kamson-Kamara6.63M. Kamson-Kamara
C. McCarthy6.94C. McCarthy
G. Stanger7.714G. Stanger
E. Ring6.08E. Ring
T. Lowery7.018T. Lowery
B. Rice6.349B. Rice
M. Schjønning-Larsen6.521M. Schjønning-Larsen
T. John-Jules6.810T. John-Jules
G. Kiltie6.711G. Kiltie
J. Hugill6.59J. Hugill

Hibernian Substitutes

11J. Newell
9N. Lowe53'for Thibault Klidjé6.1
4G. Hanley8'for Kanayo Megwa7.6
7O. Elding53'for Ante Suto6.9
14M. Chaiwa67'for Jacob Devaney6.2
19N. Cadden
10M. Boyle53'for Callum·Wright6.7
47A. Abdulai
35F. Owens

Kilmarnock Substitutes

5M. O'Hara67'for Bailey Rice6.6
19J. Meier
7R. McKenzie90+1'for Erik Ring
20N. Cleșcenco
37C. Burke
2J. Brandon67'for Michael-John Kamson-Kamara6.1
27I. Owen
12C. Ferrie
29D. Daniels73'for Tyreece John-Jules78'90+2'5.8

Match Stats

HibernianKilmarnock
60%Ball Possession40%
15Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
23Total Shots13
7Shots on Goal7
6Shots off Goal4
18Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box3
10Blocked Shots2
8Fouls10
5Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves7
494Total Passes329
411Passes Accurate242
10Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

HibernianHibernian
KilmarnockKilmarnock
1545Elo Rating 1486
0.83Attack 1.16
1.58Defense 0.48
0%Hit Rate 19%
12.6Shots per Game 12.2
2.3Shots on Target 2.8
4.3Corners per Game 4.7
2.0Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

HibernianHibernian
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
KilmarnockKilmarnock
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

HibernianHibernian5Wins · 50%
Draws550%
KilmarnockKilmarnock0Wins · 0%
2.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Premiership04/04/2026
HibernianKilmarnock
30
Premiership03/01/2026
KilmarnockHibernian
13
Premiership10/08/2025
HibernianKilmarnock
22
Premiership15/03/2025
KilmarnockHibernian
11
Premiership29/12/2024
HibernianKilmarnock
10
Premiership01/09/2024
KilmarnockHibernian
11
Premiership27/01/2024
KilmarnockHibernian
22
Premiership11/11/2023
HibernianKilmarnock
10
Premiership16/09/2023
KilmarnockHibernian
22
Premiership18/02/2023
HibernianKilmarnock
20

Recent Form

KilmarnockKilmarnock
3W1D6L
12/09/2026
KilmarnockAberdeen
1131
L
05/09/2026
AberdeenKilmarnock
00
D
02/09/2026
KilmarnockST Mirren
01
L
29/08/2026
KilmarnockDundee Utd
04
L
14/08/2026
KilmarnockAyr Utd
32
W
09/08/2026
KilmarnockCeltic
15
L
02/08/2026
ST JohnstoneKilmarnock
43
L
25/07/2026
PeterheadKilmarnock
5040
L
21/07/2026
KilmarnockHamilton Academical
10
W
18/07/2026
Elgin CityKilmarnock
01
W

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic1191127:8+1928DWWWL
2RangersRangers1173119:9+1024DWDWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1162324:17+720DWLWD
4DundeeDundee1152417:13+417WLDWW
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1144316:16016DWDWW
6FalkirkFalkirk1143413:12+115WWWLD
7ST MirrenST Mirren1142512:19-714DWLLL
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1134413:17-413DLDWD
9AberdeenAberdeen1132612:14-211LLWLD
10MotherwellMotherwell1123613:20-79DLLLL
11HibernianHibernian1122711:17-68DLLLD
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1122711:26-158LLWLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1127:828
2RangersRangers1119:924
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1124:1720
4DundeeDundee1117:1317
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1116:1616
6FalkirkFalkirk1113:1215
7ST MirrenST Mirren1112:1914
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1113:1713
9AberdeenAberdeen1112:1411
10MotherwellMotherwell1113:209
11HibernianHibernian1111:178
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1111:268
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About the Hibernian vs Kilmarnock forecast

The forecasts for this Premiership match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Hibernian and Kilmarnock in the Premiership table

In the Premiership table, Hibernian (11th) and Kilmarnock (12th) are level on 8 points. League goal record so far: Hibernian 11-17, Kilmarnock 11-26. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.