Hibernian vs Aberdeen Prediction

Hibernian
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Aberdeen
Easter Road, Edinburgh 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.83
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+10.2%
Hibernian Rest
3 days
Aberdeen Rest
3 days

Hibernian vs Aberdeen: result, form and history

Hibernian and Aberdeen drew 1-1 in the Premiership on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 4 of them. Aberdeen tend to win more corners, 7.0 a game to 4.3 for Hibernian.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.75
X
25%3.75
2
22%4.33
Double Chance
1X
78%1.19
X2
47%2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.65
No
47%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 1.01 = 2.68
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
52%1.70
Over 3.5
32%2.70
Under 1.5
21%4.20
Under 2.5
48%2.10
Under 3.5
68%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 4.1 = 10.6
Over 8.5
68%1.24
Over 9.5
56%1.49
Over 10.5
44%1.80
Under 8.5
32%3.25
Under 9.5
44%2.40
Under 10.5
56%1.95
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%1.44
Over 4.5
39%2.10
Under 3.5
41%2.67
Under 4.5
61%1.67

Match Events

17'Kevin NisbetAssist: Gavin Molloy
34'Kevin NisbetFoul
59'Connor Patrick Ronan INStuart Armstrong out
59'Jack MilneFoul
62'Martin Boyle(Penalty)
70'A. MajorFoul
72'Owen Elding INNathan Lowe out
72'Martin Boyle INAnte Suto out
74'Toyosi Olusanya INAyoub Mouloua out
79'Callum·Wright INJoe Newell out
80'Findlay Marshall INAlexander Briedl out
80'Jack Milne INDaniel Happe out
84'Miguel Changa ChaiwaFoul

Lineups

Hibernian
3-4-1-2Coach: David Gray
Aberdeen
3-5-2Coach: S. Robinson
Avg rating6.53
Avg rating6.62
R. Sallinger6.91R. Sallinger
J. Kerr6.46J. Kerr
G. Hanley7.24G. Hanley
J. Iredale7.115J. Iredale
F. Passlack5.925F. Passlack
J. Mulligan6.38J. Mulligan
M. Chaiwa6.014M. Chaiwa
A. Mayor6.33A. Mayor
C. Wright6.523C. Wright
M. Boyle6.910M. Boyle
O. Elding6.67O. Elding
M. Müller6.327M. Müller
C. Cadden6.028C. Cadden
J. Milne6.422J. Milne
M. Knoester7.25M. Knoester
G. Molloy7.121G. Molloy
N. Guinness-Walker6.024N. Guinness-Walker
C. Ronan6.725C. Ronan
A. Aremu6.732A. Aremu
F. Marshall6.340F. Marshall
T. Olusanya6.220T. Olusanya
K. Nisbet8.115K. Nisbet

Hibernian Substitutes

19N. Cadden
24J. Devaney
18T. Klidje
9N. Lowe72'for Owen Elding6.7
11J. Newell79'for Callum·Wright6.3
22A. Šuto72'for Martin Boyle6.5
12Alex Williams
35F. Owens
47A. Abdulai

Aberdeen Substitutes

26D. Happe80'for Jack Milne6.6
30D. Klein
14H. Mahou
9A. Mouloua74'for Toyosi Olusanya6.5
11Lewis Smith
7Tony Yogane
2N. Devlin
10A. Briedl80'for Findlay Marshall6.5
17S. Armstrong59'for Connor Patrick Ronan6.8

Match Stats

HibernianAberdeen
52%Ball Possession48%
6Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots9
2Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box3
4Shots Outside Box6
7Blocked Shots1
12Fouls11
2Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves2
451Total Passes421
378Passes Accurate333
11Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

HibernianHibernian
AberdeenAberdeen
1545Elo Rating 1544
0.83Attack 1.18
1.58Defense 1.54
0%Hit Rate 19%
12.6Shots per Game 16.9
2.3Shots on Target 4.5
4.3Corners per Game 7.0
2.0Cards per Game 1.5

Game State Tendencies

HibernianHibernian
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AberdeenAberdeen
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

HibernianHibernian5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
AberdeenAberdeen3Wins · 30%
3.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Premiership11/04/2026
AberdeenHibernian
20
Premiership30/12/2025
HibernianAberdeen
20
Premiership26/10/2025
AberdeenHibernian
12
Premiership26/04/2025
AberdeenHibernian
10
Premiership01/02/2025
HibernianAberdeen
20
Premiership21/12/2024
AberdeenHibernian
13
Premiership26/11/2024
HibernianAberdeen
33
Premiership12/05/2024
HibernianAberdeen
04
Premiership17/02/2024
AberdeenHibernian
22
Premiership03/12/2023
HibernianAberdeen
20

Recent Form

AberdeenAberdeen
6W1D3L
15/09/2026
MotherwellAberdeen
04
W
12/09/2026
KilmarnockAberdeen
1131
W
05/09/2026
AberdeenKilmarnock
00
D
02/09/2026
CelticAberdeen
30
L
30/08/2026
AberdeenRangers
01
L
15/08/2026
AberdeenDundee
30
W
08/08/2026
DundeeAberdeen
20
L
01/08/2026
AberdeenHeart Of Midlothian
21
W
25/07/2026
AberdeenKelty Hearts
30
W
22/07/2026
Queen of the SouthAberdeen
14
W

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic1191127:8+1928DWWWL
2RangersRangers1173119:9+1024DWDWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1162324:17+720DWLWD
4DundeeDundee1152417:13+417WLDWW
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1144316:16016DWDWW
6FalkirkFalkirk1143413:12+115WWWLD
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1235415:19-414DDLDW
8ST MirrenST Mirren1242612:20-814LDWLL
9MotherwellMotherwell1233614:20-612WDLLL
10AberdeenAberdeen1132612:14-211LLWLD
11KilmarnockKilmarnock1223713:28-159DLLWL
12HibernianHibernian1122711:17-68DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1127:828
2RangersRangers1119:924
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1124:1720
4DundeeDundee1117:1317
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1116:1616
6FalkirkFalkirk1113:1215
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1215:1914
8ST MirrenST Mirren1212:2014
9MotherwellMotherwell1214:2012
10AberdeenAberdeen1112:1411
11KilmarnockKilmarnock1213:289
12HibernianHibernian1111:178
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About the Hibernian vs Aberdeen forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Hibernian and Aberdeen in the Premiership table

Aberdeen and Hibernian are close in the Premiership table, 10th and 12th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Hibernian 11-17, Aberdeen 12-14. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.