Celtic vs Aberdeen Prediction

Celtic
3-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Aberdeen
Celtic Park, Glasgow·D. Nicolson 02/09/2026
CelticCeltic
3-0
Finished
AberdeenAberdeen

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 3.5
1.83
SignalNEUTRALModel59%SurpriseHighGap+6.8%
Celtic Rest
4 days
Aberdeen Rest
3 days

Celtic vs Aberdeen: the result in context

Celtic beat Aberdeen 3-0 in the Premiership on 2 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Celtic have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.23
X
20%6.25
2
7%10.50
Double Chance
1X
93%1.04
X2
27%3.90
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.81
No
45%1.89
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.39 + 0.8 = 3.19
Over 1.5
83%1.10
Over 2.5
62%1.40
Over 3.5
41%2.00
Under 1.5
17%6.22
Under 2.5
38%2.90
Under 3.5
59%1.78
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.2 + 3.7 = 10.9
Over 8.5
75%1.22
Over 9.5
65%1.38
Over 10.5
57%1.63
Under 8.5
25%3.65
Under 9.5
35%2.75
Under 10.5
43%2.10
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 2.1 = 3.4
Over 3.5
43%1.83
Over 4.5
25%2.60
Under 3.5
57%1.83
Under 4.5
75%1.42

Match Events

14'Camilo DuranAssist: Benjamin Nygren
34'Benjamin Nygren
38'Cameron Carter-VickersFoul
42'Lewis MayoFoul
45'Alexander Briedl INToyosi Olusanya out
45'Ayoub Mouloua INM. Ntelo out
45'Kevin Nisbet INLewis Smith out
45'Afeez Aremu Olalekan INConnor Patrick Ronan out
45+1'Yang Hyun-JunAssist: Camilo Duran
63'Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain INOliver Sorensen out
63'Benjamin Nygren INMika Baur out
74'Yang Hyun-Jun INJames Forrest out
75'Camilo Duran INShumaira Mheuka out
76'Haissem Hassan INSebastian Tounekti out
82'Gavin Molloy INJack Milne out

Lineups

Celtic
4-1-4-1Coach: M. O'Neill
Aberdeen
5-3-2Coach: S. Robinson
Avg rating7.42
Avg rating6.27
V. Sinisalo7.01V. Sinisalo
Colby Donovan7.851C. Donovan
C. Carter-Vickers7.420C. Carter-Vickers
A. Trusty7.36A. Trusty
L. Scales7.65L. Scales
C. McGregor7.242C. McGregor
H. Hassan6.723H. Hassan
B. Nygren9.08B. Nygren
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain7.521A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
Yang Hyun-Jun8.213Y. Hyun-Jun
C. Durán8.511C. Durán
M. Müller6.927M. Müller
C. Cadden5.728C. Cadden
L. Mayo6.623L. Mayo
M. Knoester6.45M. Knoester
G. Molloy6.021G. Molloy
N. Guinness-Walker5.824N. Guinness-Walker
S. Armstrong6.717S. Armstrong
A. Aremu5.832A. Aremu
A. Briedl6.110A. Briedl
K. Nisbet6.315K. Nisbet
A. Mouloua6.39A. Mouloua

Celtic Substitutes

22M. Baur63'for Benjamin Nygren7.2
49J. Forrest74'for Yang Hyun-Jun7.0
14L. McCowan
29Shumaira Mheuka75'for Camilo Duran6.7
47D. Murray
56A. Ralston
18O. Sørensen63'for Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain6.8
17S. Tounekti76'for Haissem Hassan6.9
26S. Johnstone

Aberdeen Substitutes

22J. Milne82'for Gavin Molloy5.9
31M. Ntelo45'for Ayoub Mouloua6.3
20T. Olusanya45'for Alexander Briedl6.3
25C. Ronan45'for Afeez Aremu Olalekan6.5
11L. Smith45'for Kevin Nisbet6.7
13N. Suman
7Tony Yogane
40F. Marshall
2N. Devlin

Match Stats

CelticAberdeen
61%Ball Possession39%
15Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
27Total Shots9
12Shots on Goal2
10Shots off Goal3
13Shots Inside Box5
14Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots4
10Fouls7
0Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves9
750Total Passes378
690Passes Accurate316
6Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

CelticCeltic
AberdeenAberdeen
1739Elo Rating 1544
2.49Attack 1.18
1.11Defense 1.54
39%Hit Rate 19%
17.8Shots per Game 16.9
6.5Shots on Target 4.5
7.1Corners per Game 7.0
2.5Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+196 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.19 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
⚠️Away Rotation Risk90%

Game State Tendencies

CelticCeltic
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.9 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AberdeenAberdeen
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CelticCeltic7Wins · 70%
Draws330%
AberdeenAberdeen0Wins · 0%
3.8Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Premiership04/03/2026
AberdeenCeltic
12
Premiership21/12/2025
CelticAberdeen
31
Premiership10/08/2025
AberdeenCeltic
02
FA Cup24/05/2025
AberdeenCeltic
4131
Premiership14/05/2025
AberdeenCeltic
15
Premiership25/02/2025
CelticAberdeen
51
Premiership04/12/2024
AberdeenCeltic
01
League Cup02/11/2024
CelticAberdeen
60
Premiership19/10/2024
CelticAberdeen
22
FA Cup20/04/2024
AberdeenCeltic
5262

Recent Form

CelticCeltic
5W3D2L
29/08/2026
CelticFalkirk
21
W
25/08/2026
Lask LinzCeltic
5411
L
19/08/2026
CelticLask Linz
30
W
15/08/2026
Dundee UtdCeltic
04
W
09/08/2026
KilmarnockCeltic
15
W
03/08/2026
CelticDundee
10
W
25/07/2026
CelticAC Milan
22
D
18/07/2026
CelticMiddlesbrough
11
D
14/07/2026
Sporting CPCeltic
41
L
07/07/2026
ShelbourneCeltic
11
D
AberdeenAberdeen
7W0D3L
30/08/2026
AberdeenRangers
01
L
15/08/2026
AberdeenDundee
30
W
08/08/2026
DundeeAberdeen
20
L
01/08/2026
AberdeenHeart Of Midlothian
21
W
25/07/2026
AberdeenKelty Hearts
30
W
22/07/2026
Queen of the SouthAberdeen
14
W
18/07/2026
AberdeenQueen's Park
21
W
14/07/2026
Brora RangersAberdeen
02
W
11/07/2026
LinfieldAberdeen
02
W
04/07/2026
TwenteAberdeen
10
L

Referee Profile

D. Nicolson85 matches

4.00Cards per match
3.88Yellow cards per match
0.12Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

D. Nicolson4.00
Other referees4.11

4.00 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.11).

Cards come from 17 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic1191127:8+1928DWWWL
2RangersRangers1173119:9+1024DWDWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1162324:17+720DWLWD
4DundeeDundee1152417:13+417WLDWW
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1144316:16016DWDWW
6FalkirkFalkirk1143413:12+115WWWLD
7ST MirrenST Mirren1142512:19-714DWLLL
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1134413:17-413DLDWD
9AberdeenAberdeen1132612:14-211LLWLD
10MotherwellMotherwell1123613:20-79DLLLL
11HibernianHibernian1122711:17-68DLLLD
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1122711:26-158LLWLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1127:828
2RangersRangers1119:924
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1124:1720
4DundeeDundee1117:1317
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1116:1616
6FalkirkFalkirk1113:1215
7ST MirrenST Mirren1112:1914
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1113:1713
9AberdeenAberdeen1112:1411
10MotherwellMotherwell1113:209
11HibernianHibernian1111:178
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1111:268
PromotionRelegation

About the Celtic vs Aberdeen forecast

The forecasts for this Premiership match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Celtic and Aberdeen in the Premiership table

The table shows a wide gap: Celtic are 1st in the Premiership, while Aberdeen sit 9th, 17 points behind. League goal record so far: Celtic 27-8, Aberdeen 12-14. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.