ST Mirren vs Motherwell Prediction

ST Mirren
3-3
Finished
HT 3-2
Motherwell
The SMISA Stadium, Paisley·K. Clancy 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel36%SurpriseHighGap+9.5%
ST Mirren Rest
13 days
Motherwell Rest
2 days

ST Mirren vs Motherwell: result, form and history

ST Mirren and Motherwell drew 3-3 in the Premiership on 30 Aug 2026. ST Mirren had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Motherwell.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%2.59
X
24%3.25
2
44%2.69
Double Chance
1X
56%1.44
X2
68%1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.69
No
44%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 1.4 = 2.70
Over 1.5
79%1.29
Over 2.5
52%1.95
Over 3.5
28%3.33
Under 1.5
21%3.42
Under 2.5
48%1.86
Under 3.5
72%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 3.8 = 9.1
Over 8.5
56%1.68
Over 9.5
42%2.04
Over 10.5
35%2.60
Under 8.5
44%2.10
Under 9.5
58%1.69
Under 10.5
65%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.9 = 3.8
Over 3.5
51%1.62
Over 4.5
28%2.17
Under 3.5
49%2.20
Under 4.5
72%1.60

Match Events

2'T. MaswanhiseAssist: A. Lowry
13'Penalty confirmedEmmanuel Longelo
15'Tawanda Maswanhise(Penalty missed)
24'R. Charles-Cook
39'P. NsioAssist: S. Ramos
44'D. JohnAssist: S. Ramos
45'S. RamosAssist: A. Gogic
46'T. Sparrow INS. O'Donnell out
47'Stephen O'DonnellFoul
52'Martin MoormannFoul
58'T. Maswanhise INJ. Kanga out
58'R. Charles-Cook INS. Palmer-Houlden out
61'C. Ramsay INJ. Richardson out
61'C. R. Mochrie INF. Taylor out
61'N. Agrafiotis INE. Sule out
71'S. Ramos INL. Thomas out
71'J. Hodge IND. Williams out
73'I. Said INE. Bjorgolfsson out
75'I. Kabia INJ. Young out
85'Ryan CarrFoul
89'Jake YoungFoul
90'J. Kanga

Lineups

ST Mirren
4-2-3-1Coach: Craig McLeish
Motherwell
4-2-3-1Coach: Alfred Johansson
Avg rating6.99
Avg rating6.84
J. Chapman6.91J. Chapman
C. Ramsay7.047C. Ramsay
A. GogicC6.613A. Gogic
H. Fieldson7.353H. Fieldson
D. John7.03D. John
R. Carr7.28R. Carr
P. Nsio7.348P. Nsio
S. Ramos8.610S. Ramos
C. R. Mochrie6.723C. R. Mochrie
I. Kabia6.619I. Kabia
N. Agrafiotis6.925N. Agrafiotis
A. Paulsen7.21A. Paulsen
T. SparrowC6.27T. Sparrow
J. Knight-Lebel7.24J. Knight-Lebel
M. Moormann6.25M. Moormann
E. Longelo6.645E. Longelo
J. Hodge6.971J. Hodge
L. Fadinger6.28L. Fadinger
T. Maswanhise7.018T. Maswanhise
A. Lowry7.211A. Lowry
I. Said6.319I. Said
R. Charles-Cook7.517R. Charles-Cook

ST Mirren Substitutes

31R. Mullen
2J. Richardson61'for C. Ramsay6.0
5R. King
6L. Jackson
30F. Taylor61'for C. R. Mochrie6.9
37C. McEvoy
20J. Young75'for I. Kabia89'7.2
9E. Sule61'for N. Agrafiotis6.7
16L. Thomas71'for S. Ramos7.0

Motherwell Substitutes

21Matty Connelly
20D. Williams71'for J. Hodge7.0
2S. O'Donnell46'for T. Sparrow47'7.6
25O. Whyte
13J. Kanga58'for T. Maswanhise90'8.0
24L. Ross
77W. Vogt
15E. Bjorgolfsson73'for I. Said6.3
47S. Palmer-Houlden58'for R. Charles-Cook6.0

Match Stats

ST MirrenMotherwell
45%Ball Possession55%
7Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards2
23Total Shots22
9Shots on Goal7
6Shots off Goal9
17Shots Inside Box16
6Shots Outside Box6
8Blocked Shots6
14Fouls12
1Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves6
422Total Passes514
353Passes Accurate465
84%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

ST MirrenST Mirren
MotherwellMotherwell
1508Elo Rating 1556
0.77Attack 0.73
0.43Defense 0.54
27%Hit Rate 0%
10.0Shots per Game 12.5
3.4Shots on Target 4.4
3.0Corners per Game 4.6
2.3Cards per Game 0.8

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

ST MirrenST Mirren
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MotherwellMotherwell
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ST MirrenST Mirren2Wins · 20%
Draws440%
MotherwellMotherwell4Wins · 40%
2.3Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Premiership21/02/2026
ST MirrenMotherwell
05
Premiership03/01/2026
MotherwellST Mirren
20
League Cup01/11/2025
MotherwellST Mirren
14
Premiership09/08/2025
ST MirrenMotherwell
00
Premiership15/03/2025
MotherwellST Mirren
22
Premiership07/12/2024
ST MirrenMotherwell
01
Premiership28/09/2024
MotherwellST Mirren
21
Premiership30/03/2024
MotherwellST Mirren
11
Premiership16/12/2023
ST MirrenMotherwell
00
Premiership16/09/2023
MotherwellST Mirren
01

Recent Form

ST MirrenST Mirren
7W1D2L
16/08/2026
RangersST Mirren
51
L
08/08/2026
ST MirrenST Johnstone
10
W
01/08/2026
FalkirkST Mirren
02
W
26/07/2026
ST MirrenDunfermline
01
L
21/07/2026
ST MirrenEast Kilbride
43
W
18/07/2026
Cove RangersST Mirren
04
W
11/07/2026
DumbartonST Mirren
04
W
27/06/2026
ArbroathST Mirren
24
W
25/05/2026
ST MirrenPartick
10
W
21/05/2026
PartickST Mirren
11
D

Referee Profile

K. Clancy173 matches

4.13Cards per match
3.97Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
23.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

K. Clancy4.13
Other referees3.97

4.13 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.97).

Cards come from 114 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic1191127:8+1928DWWWL
2RangersRangers1173119:9+1024DWDWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1162324:17+720DWLWD
4DundeeDundee1152417:13+417WLDWW
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1144316:16016DWDWW
6FalkirkFalkirk1143413:12+115WWWLD
7ST MirrenST Mirren1142512:19-714DWLLL
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1134413:17-413DLDWD
9AberdeenAberdeen1132612:14-211LLWLD
10MotherwellMotherwell1123613:20-79DLLLL
11HibernianHibernian1122711:17-68DLLLD
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1122711:26-158LLWLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1127:828
2RangersRangers1119:924
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1124:1720
4DundeeDundee1117:1317
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1116:1616
6FalkirkFalkirk1113:1215
7ST MirrenST Mirren1112:1914
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1113:1713
9AberdeenAberdeen1112:1411
10MotherwellMotherwell1113:209
11HibernianHibernian1111:178
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1111:268
PromotionRelegation

About the ST Mirren vs Motherwell forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

ST Mirren and Motherwell in the Premiership table

In the Premiership table, ST Mirren are 7th and Motherwell 10th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: ST Mirren 12-19, Motherwell 13-20. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.