Aberdeen vs Rangers Prediction

Aberdeen
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Rangers
Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen·M. MacDermid 30/08/2026
AberdeenAberdeen
0-1
Finished
RangersRangers

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.1 / 10
AI Best Pick
84%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+0.6%
Aberdeen Rest
14 days
Rangers Rest
2 days

Aberdeen vs Rangers: the result in context

Rangers beat Aberdeen 1-0 in the Premiership on 30 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Aberdeen had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Rangers.

Rangers have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%4.00
X
27%3.75
2
38%1.83
Double Chance
1X
62%1.94
X2
65%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.57
No
44%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 1.46 = 2.80
Over 1.5
83%1.20
Over 2.5
59%1.64
Over 3.5
33%2.56
Under 1.5
17%4.47
Under 2.5
41%2.23
Under 3.5
67%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.7 = 9.8
Over 8.5
64%1.37
Over 9.5
53%1.61
Over 10.5
41%2.03
Under 8.5
36%2.80
Under 9.5
47%2.17
Under 10.5
59%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.5 = 4.6
Over 3.5
65%1.48
Over 4.5
45%2.07
Under 3.5
35%2.35
Under 4.5
55%1.67

Match Events

4'D. HappeHandling
36'C. CaddenFoul
37'F. CurtisFoul
43'C. RonanFoul
44'A. AremuFoul
46'T. Yogane INS. Armstrong out
49'C. DevlinFoul
55'T. OlusanyaFoul
63'M. Ntelo INL. Smith out
65'D. SterlingFoul
69'L. Shankland(Penalty)
72'J. Penrice INK. Nedeljkovic out
72'M. Kim IND. Yokota out
75'C. Ronan INA. Mouloua out
77'L. MayoFoul
83'Goal Disallowed - FoulK. Nisbet
86'L. Shankland INR. Naderi out
86'F. Curtis INB. Godfrey out

Lineups

Aberdeen
4-2-3-1Coach: Stephen Robinson
Rangers
4-2-3-1Coach: Derek McInnes
Avg rating6.74
Avg rating6.94
Marius Müller7.527M. Müller
Chris Cadden6.228C. Cadden
Lewis Mayo6.923L. Mayo
Daniel Happe6.026D. Happe
Nesta Guinness-Walker7.224N. Guinness-Walker
Connor Ronan7.225C. Ronan
Aremu Afeez7.332A. Afeez
Mitchy Ntelo6.731M. Ntelo
Toyosi Olusanya6.020T. Olusanya
Tony Yogane6.97T. Yogane
Kevin NisbetC6.915K. Nisbet
Ivor Pandur7.31I. Pandur
Dujon Sterling7.021D. Sterling
Emmanuel Fernandez7.337E. Fernandez
Olwethu Makhanya6.924O. Makhanya
James Penrice7.029J. Penrice
Cameron Devlin7.514C. Devlin
Dan Neil6.66D. Neil
Findlay Curtis6.952F. Curtis
Min-su Kim7.310M. Kim
Djeidi Gassama7.623D. Gassama
Lawrence ShanklandC6.37L. Shankland

Aberdeen Substitutes

17Stuart Armstrong46'for T. Yogane6.6
11Lewis Smith63'for M. Ntelo6.2
9Ayoub Mouloua75'for C. Ronan6.7
13Nick Suman
5Mats Knoester
22Jack Milne
21Gavin Molloy
10Alexander Briedl
53Andrew Fasanya

Rangers Substitutes

18Kosta Nedeljković72'for J. Penrice6.9
17Daisuke Yokota72'for M. Kim6.3
4Ben Godfrey86'for F. Curtis6.7
20Ryan Don Naderi86'for L. Shankland6.5
31Liam Kelly
22Vanja Dragojević
8Connor Barron
11Thelo Aasgaard
42Tochi Chukwuani

Match Stats

AberdeenRangers
44%Ball Possession56%
6Corner Kicks6
6Yellow Cards3
10Total Shots18
2Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal8
5Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box10
4Blocked Shots5
21Fouls15
4Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves2
288Total Passes377
215Passes Accurate309
75%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

AberdeenAberdeen
RangersRangers
1562Elo Rating 1748
1.96Attack 2.71
1.60Defense 2.35
37%Hit Rate 77%
16.8Shots per Game 19.5
4.3Shots on Target 7.7
6.9Corners per Game 7.5
1.6Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AberdeenAberdeen
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
RangersRangers
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AberdeenAberdeen1Wins · 10%
Draws220%
RangersRangers7Wins · 70%
2.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Premiership21/03/2026
RangersAberdeen
41
Premiership11/01/2026
AberdeenRangers
02
Premiership06/01/2026
RangersAberdeen
20
Premiership11/05/2025
RangersAberdeen
40
Premiership13/04/2025
AberdeenRangers
22
Premiership15/01/2025
RangersAberdeen
30
Premiership30/10/2024
AberdeenRangers
21
Premiership06/02/2024
RangersAberdeen
21
League Cup17/12/2023
RangersAberdeen
10
Premiership26/11/2023
AberdeenRangers
11

Recent Form

AberdeenAberdeen
8W0D2L
15/08/2026
AberdeenDundee
30
W
08/08/2026
DundeeAberdeen
20
L
01/08/2026
AberdeenHeart Of Midlothian
21
W
25/07/2026
AberdeenKelty Hearts
30
W
22/07/2026
Queen of the SouthAberdeen
14
W
18/07/2026
AberdeenQueen's Park
21
W
14/07/2026
Brora RangersAberdeen
02
W
11/07/2026
LinfieldAberdeen
02
W
04/07/2026
TwenteAberdeen
10
L
27/06/2026
Cove RangersAberdeen
01
W
RangersRangers
4W3D3L
27/08/2026
FK JablonecRangers
4130
L
20/08/2026
RangersFK Jablonec
10
W
16/08/2026
RangersST Mirren
51
W
13/08/2026
RangersJagiellonia
11
D
09/08/2026
RangersHibernian
12
L
06/08/2026
JagielloniaRangers
21
L
31/07/2026
Dundee UtdRangers
11
D
26/07/2026
RangersWest Ham
00
D
22/07/2026
RangersSaint Etienne
21
W
16/05/2026
FalkirkRangers
25
W

Referee Profile

M. MacDermid41 matches

4.09Cards per match
4.00Yellow cards per match
0.09Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

M. MacDermid4.09
Other referees4.26

4.09 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.26).

Cards come from 33 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic1191127:8+1928DWWWL
2RangersRangers1173119:9+1024DWDWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1162324:17+720DWLWD
4DundeeDundee1152417:13+417WLDWW
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1144316:16016DWDWW
6FalkirkFalkirk1143413:12+115WWWLD
7ST MirrenST Mirren1142512:19-714DWLLL
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1134413:17-413DLDWD
9AberdeenAberdeen1132612:14-211LLWLD
10MotherwellMotherwell1123613:20-79DLLLL
11HibernianHibernian1122711:17-68DLLLD
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1122711:26-158LLWLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1127:828
2RangersRangers1119:924
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1124:1720
4DundeeDundee1117:1317
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1116:1616
6FalkirkFalkirk1113:1215
7ST MirrenST Mirren1112:1914
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1113:1713
9AberdeenAberdeen1112:1411
10MotherwellMotherwell1113:209
11HibernianHibernian1111:178
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1111:268
PromotionRelegation

About the Aberdeen vs Rangers forecast

As a derby, this Premiership meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Aberdeen and Rangers in the Premiership table

The table shows a wide gap: Rangers are 2nd in the Premiership, while Aberdeen sit 9th, 13 points behind. League goal record so far: Aberdeen 12-14, Rangers 19-9. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rangers have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.