Motherwell vs Dundee Utd Prediction

Motherwell
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Dundee Utd
Fir Park, Motherwell·C. Scott 02/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
52%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 5.5
2.00
SignalNEUTRALModel41%SurpriseHighGap+5.5%
Motherwell Rest
3 days
Dundee Utd Rest
4 days

Motherwell vs Dundee Utd: result, form and history

Motherwell beat Dundee Utd 3-0 in the Premiership on 2 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Motherwell have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game. Dundee Utd tend to win more corners, 7.1 a game to 4.6 for Motherwell.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.02
X
28%3.60
2
25%3.48
Double Chance
1X
75%1.28
X2
53%1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.60
No
44%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.85 + 1.13 = 2.98
Over 1.5
83%1.22
Over 2.5
59%1.70
Over 3.5
33%2.75
Under 1.5
17%4.15
Under 2.5
41%2.11
Under 3.5
67%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.9 = 9.7
Over 8.5
61%1.60
Over 9.5
49%1.97
Over 10.5
41%2.53
Under 8.5
39%2.19
Under 9.5
51%1.73
Under 10.5
59%1.46
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.1 + 1.8 = 2.9
Over 3.5
34%1.54
Over 4.5
18%2.12
Under 3.5
66%2.32
Under 4.5
82%1.62

Match Events

14'Emmanuel AgyeiSerious foul
19'Sebastian Palmer-HouldenAssist: Tom Sparrow
20'abdoulaye yoro INDylan Tait out
35'Sebastian Palmer-HouldenArgument
45'Mehdi Merghem INJesse Randall out
45'Jamie·Knight Lebel INJake Max Girdwood-Reich out
57'Daniel Bennie INNeil Farrugia out
58'Zachary Sapsford INLachlan Rose out
59'Sebastian Palmer-Houlden INEythor Bjørgolfsson out
59'Lukas Fadinger INDylan Levitt out
64'Will Ferry INKevin Ciubotaru out
65'Alex·LowryAssist: Tawanda Maswanhise
67'Dylan LevittAssist: Tawanda Maswanhise
68'Tom Sparrow INStephen O'Donnell out
68'Alex·Lowry INWilly Gabriel Vogt out

Lineups

Motherwell
4-2-3-1Coach: Alfred Johansson
Dundee Utd
4-3-3Coach: J. Goodwin
Avg rating7.24
Avg rating6.13
A. Paulsen7.51A. Paulsen
T. Sparrow7.37T. Sparrow
Jamie Knight-Lebel7.14J. Knight-Lebel
M. Moormann6.95M. Moormann
M. Emmanuel7.445M. Emmanuel
J. Hodge7.271J. Hodge
L. Fadinger7.28L. Fadinger
J. Kanga6.413J. Kanga
A. Lowry8.211A. Lowry
S. Palmer-Houlden8.247S. Palmer-Houlden
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise7.818T. Jethro Maswanhise
J. Walton6.51J. Walton
J. Rawlins5.423J. Rawlins
B. Esselink6.23B. Esselink
M. Forbes6.218M. Forbes
W. Ferry6.011W. Ferry
Panutche Camará6.38P. Camará
E. Agyei5.112E. Agyei
Abdoulaye Yoro5.826A. Yoro
M. Merghem6.77M. Merghem
Z. Sapsford6.19Z. Sapsford
D. Bennie6.377D. Bennie

Motherwell Substitutes

15E. Björgólfs­son59'for Sebastian Palmer-Houlden6.5
17R. Charles-Cook
3J. Girdwood-Reich45'for Jamie·Knight Lebel7.0
63D. Levitt59'for Lukas Fadinger67'7.9
21M. Connelly
2S. O'Donnell68'for Tom Sparrow6.8
19I. Said
77W. Vogt68'for Alex·Lowry6.6
20Dylan Williams

Dundee Utd Substitutes

20N. Farrugia57'for Daniel Bennie6.5
4I. Iovu
22D. Naamo
21J. Randall45'for Mehdi Merghem6.4
15L. Rose58'for Zachary Sapsford6.8
10D. Tait20'for abdoulaye yoro5.9
16L. Cameron
19K. Ciubotaru64'for Will Ferry6.0
30J. Amissah

Match Stats

MotherwellDundee Utd
71%Ball Possession29%
9Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards1
25Total Shots5
8Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal2
16Shots Inside Box2
9Shots Outside Box3
9Blocked Shots2
8Fouls6
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves5
754Total Passes295
701Passes Accurate237
93%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

MotherwellMotherwell
Dundee UtdDundee Utd
1556Elo Rating 1577
0.73Attack 1.87
0.54Defense 2.09
0%Hit Rate 63%
12.5Shots per Game 16.2
4.4Shots on Target 7.5
4.6Corners per Game 7.1
0.8Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.98 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk90%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

MotherwellMotherwell
  • No tendency data available
Dundee UtdDundee Utd
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MotherwellMotherwell7Wins · 70%
Draws110%
Dundee UtdDundee Utd2Wins · 20%
2.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Premiership28/02/2026
MotherwellDundee Utd
20
Premiership13/12/2025
Dundee UtdMotherwell
00
Premiership29/10/2025
MotherwellDundee Utd
20
Premiership22/02/2025
Dundee UtdMotherwell
10
Premiership14/12/2024
MotherwellDundee Utd
43
Premiership30/10/2024
Dundee UtdMotherwell
12
League Cup20/09/2024
MotherwellDundee Utd
21
Premiership28/05/2023
MotherwellDundee Utd
32
Premiership15/04/2023
MotherwellDundee Utd
12
Premiership29/10/2022
Dundee UtdMotherwell
01

Recent Form

Dundee UtdDundee Utd
4W1D5L
29/08/2026
KilmarnockDundee Utd
04
W
22/08/2026
Dundee UtdDundee
02
L
15/08/2026
Dundee UtdCeltic
04
L
09/08/2026
Heart Of MidlothianDundee Utd
40
L
31/07/2026
Dundee UtdRangers
11
D
25/07/2026
Salford CityDundee Utd
32
L
21/07/2026
Dundee UtdSpartans
40
W
18/07/2026
Dundee UtdArbroath
30
W
14/07/2026
MontroseDundee Utd
10
L
11/07/2026
Stirling AlbionDundee Utd
01
W

Referee Profile

C. Scott177 matches

3.58Cards per match
3.36Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
21.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

C. Scott3.58
Other referees4.06

3.58 cards a match, 0.48 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.06).

Cards come from 33 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic1191127:8+1928DWWWL
2RangersRangers1173119:9+1024DWDWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1162324:17+720DWLWD
4DundeeDundee1152417:13+417WLDWW
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1144316:16016DWDWW
6FalkirkFalkirk1143413:12+115WWWLD
7ST MirrenST Mirren1142512:19-714DWLLL
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1134413:17-413DLDWD
9AberdeenAberdeen1132612:14-211LLWLD
10MotherwellMotherwell1123613:20-79DLLLL
11HibernianHibernian1122711:17-68DLLLD
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1122711:26-158LLWLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1127:828
2RangersRangers1119:924
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1124:1720
4DundeeDundee1117:1317
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1116:1616
6FalkirkFalkirk1113:1215
7ST MirrenST Mirren1112:1914
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1113:1713
9AberdeenAberdeen1112:1411
10MotherwellMotherwell1113:209
11HibernianHibernian1111:178
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1111:268
PromotionRelegation

About the Motherwell vs Dundee Utd forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Motherwell and Dundee Utd in the Premiership table

In the Premiership table, Dundee Utd are 5th and Motherwell 10th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Motherwell 13-20, Dundee Utd 16-16. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Dundee Utd have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.