Dundee Utd vs Falkirk Prediction

Dundee Utd
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Falkirk
Tannadice Park, Dundee·D. McFarlane 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.87
SignalNEUTRALModel41%SurpriseHighGap+8.2%
Dundee Utd Rest
2 days
Falkirk Rest
2 days

Dundee Utd vs Falkirk: result, form and history

Dundee Utd and Falkirk drew 1-1 in the Premiership on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 7 previous meetings averaged 3.4 goals, and both sides scored in 4 of them. Referee D. McFarlane averages 4.94 cards a game, 0.90 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.94
X
26%3.63
2
30%3.62
Double Chance
1X
69%1.29
X2
56%1.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.60
No
45%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 1.31 = 2.83
Over 1.5
83%1.20
Over 2.5
59%1.71
Over 3.5
34%2.75
Under 1.5
17%4.10
Under 2.5
41%2.10
Under 3.5
66%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.2 = 9.1
Over 8.5
53%1.36
Over 9.5
40%1.71
Over 10.5
31%2.06
Under 8.5
47%2.74
Under 9.5
60%2.08
Under 10.5
69%1.68
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.8 = 3.6
Over 3.5
48%-
Over 4.5
29%1.80
Under 3.5
52%-
Under 4.5
71%1.91

Match Events

4'Jacob MurrellAssist: Ryan Strain
19'Mehdi Merghem INJesse Randall out
42'Dylan TaitFoul
56'Zachary SapsfordFoul
57'Daniel Bennie INLachlan Rose out
57'Panutche Camara INZidane Iqbal out
57'Liam Henderson INDeniss Meļņiks out
58'Ethan Ross INAodhan Doherty out
64'Lachlan RoseFoul
65'Jacob Murrell INBen Parkinson out
65'Ben krauhaus INJoseph Charles Gardner out
68'Zachary Sapsford INNeil Farrugia out
69'Lyall Cameron INabdoulaye yoro out
77'Owen Eames INCalvin Fodrey out
84'Brad SpencerTime wasting
88'Ben ParkinsonTime wasting
90+3'Michael ForbesAssist: abdoulaye yoro

Lineups

Dundee Utd
4-3-3Coach: Jim Goodwin
Falkirk
4-2-3-1Coach: John McGlynn
Avg rating6.64
Avg rating6.56
J. Walton6.71J. Walton
J. Rawlins6.423J. Rawlins
B. Esselink6.13B. Esselink
M. Forbes8.118M. Forbes
K. Ciubotaru6.619K. Ciubotaru
P. Camara7.28P. Camara
D. Tait7.210D. Tait
L. Cameron5.916L. Cameron
M. Merghem6.57M. Merghem
Z. Sapsford6.29Z. Sapsford
D. Bennie6.477D. Bennie
S. Bain7.619S. Bain
R. Strain6.122R. Strain
L. Neilson6.415L. Neilson
L. Henderson6.95L. Henderson
L. McCann6.73L. McCann
B. Spencer6.48B. Spencer
F. Barbrook5.716F. Barbrook
E. Ross6.223E. Ross
B. Krauhaus28B. Krauhaus
O. Eames6.642O. Eames
J. Murrell8.024J. Murrell

Dundee Utd Substitutes

30J. Amissah
4I. Iovu
22D. Naamo
14Z. Iqbal57'for Panutche Camara6.8
26A. Yoro69'for Lyall Cameron6.5
20N. Farrugia68'for Zachary Sapsford6.7
21J. Randall19'for Mehdi Merghem6.9
15L. Rose57'for Daniel Bennie64'6.3
93I. Metsoko

Falkirk Substitutes

1N. Hogarth
4J. McMillan
17S. Tanser
21D. Melniks57'for Liam Henderson6.7
9R. MacIver
99C. Fodrey77'for Owen Eames6.5
7B. Parkinson65'for Jacob Murrell88'6.3
18J. Gardner65'replaced by Ben krauhaus6.4
47A. Doherty58'for Ethan Ross6.5

Match Stats

Dundee UtdFalkirk
62%Ball Possession38%
14Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards2
27Total Shots12
9Shots on Goal4
10Shots off Goal3
21Shots Inside Box8
6Shots Outside Box4
8Blocked Shots5
16Fouls14
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves8
457Total Passes287
344Passes Accurate182
14Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

Dundee UtdDundee Utd
FalkirkFalkirk
1577Elo Rating 1555
1.87Attack 1.91
2.09Defense 2.07
63%Hit Rate 64%
16.2Shots per Game 14.4
7.5Shots on Target 5.5
7.1Corners per Game 5.4
2.4Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend57% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Dundee UtdDundee Utd
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
FalkirkFalkirk
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Dundee UtdDundee Utd2Wins · 29%
Draws114%
FalkirkFalkirk4Wins · 57%
3.4Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
71%3+ goals5 of 7

Previous meetings

FA Cup06/03/2026
FalkirkDundee Utd
21
Premiership14/02/2026
FalkirkDundee Utd
23
Premiership22/11/2025
Dundee UtdFalkirk
03
Premiership03/08/2025
FalkirkDundee Utd
22
League Cup13/07/2024
FalkirkDundee Utd
20
Challenge Cup17/11/2023
FalkirkDundee Utd
42
League Cup25/07/2023
FalkirkDundee Utd
01

Recent Form

Dundee UtdDundee Utd
3W1D6L
02/09/2026
MotherwellDundee Utd
30
L
29/08/2026
KilmarnockDundee Utd
04
W
22/08/2026
Dundee UtdDundee
02
L
15/08/2026
Dundee UtdCeltic
04
L
09/08/2026
Heart Of MidlothianDundee Utd
40
L
31/07/2026
Dundee UtdRangers
11
D
25/07/2026
Salford CityDundee Utd
32
L
21/07/2026
Dundee UtdSpartans
40
W
18/07/2026
Dundee UtdArbroath
30
W
14/07/2026
MontroseDundee Utd
10
L
FalkirkFalkirk
4W1D5L
02/09/2026
FalkirkRangers
12
L
29/08/2026
CelticFalkirk
21
L
09/08/2026
MotherwellFalkirk
00
D
01/08/2026
FalkirkST Mirren
02
L
25/07/2026
FalkirkStranraer
30
W
21/07/2026
Alloa AthleticFalkirk
4121
L
18/07/2026
FalkirkGenk
10
W
14/07/2026
FalkirkAyr Utd
01
L
11/07/2026
Edinburgh CityFalkirk
05
W
07/07/2026
Airdrie UnitedFalkirk
12
W

Referee Profile

D. McFarlane138 matches

4.94Cards per match
4.63Yellow cards per match
0.31Red cards per match
27.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

D. McFarlane4.94
Other referees4.04

4.94 cards a match, 0.90 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.04).

Cards come from 16 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic1191127:8+1928DWWWL
2RangersRangers1173119:9+1024DWDWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1162324:17+720DWLWD
4DundeeDundee1152417:13+417WLDWW
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1144316:16016DWDWW
6FalkirkFalkirk1143413:12+115WWWLD
7ST MirrenST Mirren1142512:19-714DWLLL
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1134413:17-413DLDWD
9AberdeenAberdeen1132612:14-211LLWLD
10MotherwellMotherwell1123613:20-79DLLLL
11HibernianHibernian1122711:17-68DLLLD
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1122711:26-158LLWLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1127:828
2RangersRangers1119:924
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1124:1720
4DundeeDundee1117:1317
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1116:1616
6FalkirkFalkirk1113:1215
7ST MirrenST Mirren1112:1914
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1113:1713
9AberdeenAberdeen1112:1411
10MotherwellMotherwell1113:209
11HibernianHibernian1111:178
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1111:268
PromotionRelegation

About the Dundee Utd vs Falkirk forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Dundee Utd and Falkirk in the Premiership table

Dundee Utd and Falkirk are close in the Premiership table, 5th and 6th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Dundee Utd 16-16, Falkirk 13-12. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Dundee Utd have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Falkirk have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.