Houston Dynamo vs DC United Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 18
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel59%SurpriseMediumGap-2.1%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.67
SignalGOODModel56%SurpriseMediumGap+12.6%
Houston Dynamo Rest
7 days
DC United Rest
60 days
Houston Dynamo vs DC United: the result in context
Houston Dynamo and DC United drew 1-1 in the Major League Soccer on 23 Jul 2026. Houston Dynamo had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for DC United.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
155%1.76
X26%3.80
219%4.37
Double Chance
1X81%1.20
X245%2.01
Both Teams to Score
Yes60%1.68
No40%2.08
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.75 + 1.09 = 2.84
Over 1.584%1.23
Over 2.560%1.76
Over 3.535%2.85
Under 1.516%4.00
Under 2.540%2.08
Under 3.565%1.41
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.1 = 10
Over 8.561%1.46
Over 9.550%1.74
Over 10.536%2.15
Under 8.539%2.50
Under 9.550%1.95
Under 10.564%1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.8 = 5
Over 3.572%1.30
Over 4.555%1.74
Under 3.528%3.23
Under 4.545%2.02
Match Events
40'H. Herrera
53'J. Hopkins INM. Peltola out
59'D. McGuire INE. Ponce out
61'Lucas Halter INE. Sviatchenko out
67'S. Hefti
68'B. Servania INJ. Stroud out
68'L. Munteanu INN. Ordaz out
68'Peglow INH. Kijima out
70'Artur
71'T. Baribo
72'A. Dozzell
77'L. Ennali INF. Negri out
78'H. Herrera IND. Samassekou out
78'T. BariboAssist: N. Ordaz
88'M. Bogusz INO. Lingr out
88'Felipe Andrade IND. Holmes out
88'A. Dozzell INN. Markovic out
90+5'J. Stroud
90+7'E. Sviatchenko
Lineups
Houston DynamoDC United
4-4-2Coach: Rene WeilerAvg ratingAvg rating
31J. Bond
36F. Andrade
5L. Halter
34A. Resch
11L. Ennali
C6Artur
19M. Bogusz
8J. McGlynn
16H. Herrera
20Guilherme
23D. McGuire
1S. Johnson
5S. Hefti
C3L. Bartlett
13S. Nealis
6K. Kurokawa
25J. Hopkins
21A. Dozzell
23B. Servania
7J. Peglow
9T. Baribo
11L. MunteanuHouston Dynamo Substitutes
10Ezequiel Ponce59'for D. McGuire
28Erik Sviatchenko61'for Lucas Halter90+7'
21Franco Negri77'for L. Ennali
18Diadié Samassékou78'for H. Herrera
14Duane Holmes88'for Felipe Andrade
9Ondrej Lingr88'for M. Bogusz
26Blake Gillingham
30Agustín Bouzat
24Ibrahim Aliyu
DC United Substitutes
4Matti Peltola53'for J. Hopkins
77Hosei Kijima68'for Peglow
8Jared Stroud68'for B. Servania90+5'
22Nathan Ordaz68'for L. Munteanu
27Nikola Markovic88'for A. Dozzell
26Alex Bono
20Grant Leveille
32Oscar Avilez
17Jacob Murrell
Match Stats
Houston DynamoDC United 64%Ball Possession36%
3Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards4
20Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal3
13Shots Inside Box3
7Shots Outside Box4
7Blocked Shots3
8Fouls15
2Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves4
537Total Passes306
486Passes Accurate259
91%Pass Accuracy85%
Team Comparison
Houston DynamoDC United1611Elo Rating 1487
1.90Attack 1.31
0.77Defense 0.26
0%Hit Rate 19%
12.6Shots per Game 13.3
3.4Shots on Target 3.8
4.8Corners per Game 6.6
2.4Cards per Game 2.0
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+124 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Houston Dynamo- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
DC United- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Houston Dynamo1Wins · 50%Draws00%
DC United1Wins · 50%
1Wins · 50%3.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2
Previous meetings
23/06/2024DC UnitedHouston Dynamo14
08/05/2022DC UnitedHouston Dynamo20
Recent Form
Houston Dynamo6W1D3L
16/07/2026Houston Dynamo
America de Cali
Houston DynamoAmerica de Cali21
W12/07/2026Houston Dynamo
CD Olimpia
Houston DynamoCD Olimpia30
W24/05/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyHouston Dynamo
Los Angeles GalaxyHouston Dynamo11
D20/05/2026
St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo
St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo4222
L17/05/2026Houston Dynamo
Vancouver Whitecaps
Houston DynamoVancouver Whitecaps10
W14/05/2026
Real Salt LakeHouston Dynamo
Real Salt LakeHouston Dynamo30
L11/05/2026
Los Angeles FCHouston Dynamo
Los Angeles FCHouston Dynamo14
W03/05/2026Houston Dynamo
Colorado Rapids
Houston DynamoColorado Rapids10
W30/04/2026Houston Dynamo
Louisville City
Houston DynamoLouisville City2111
W26/04/2026
AustinHouston Dynamo
AustinHouston Dynamo20
LDC United2W5D3L
24/05/2026DC United
CF Montreal
DC UnitedCF Montreal44
D17/05/2026DC UnitedSt. Louis City
DC UnitedSt. Louis City11
D14/05/2026DC United
Chicago Fire
DC UnitedChicago Fire13
L10/05/2026
Nashville SCDC United
Nashville SCDC United22
D03/05/2026
New York City FCDC United
New York City FCDC United02
W26/04/2026DC United
Orlando City SC
DC UnitedOrlando City SC32
W23/04/2026
New York Red BullsDC United
New York Red BullsDC United44
D19/04/2026
Philadelphia UnionDC United
Philadelphia UnionDC United00
D16/04/2026DC United
One Knoxville
DC UnitedOne Knoxville5262
L12/04/2026
New England RevolutionDC United
New England RevolutionDC United10
LReferee Profile
4.77Cards per match
4.56Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.77 cards a match, 0.46 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.31).
Cards come from 137 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 67:33 | +34 | 58 | WLWDD |
| 2 |  FC Dallas | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 58:49 | +9 | 54 | LWDWL |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 58:47 | +11 | 51 | LLLDW |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 42:39 | +3 | 51 | WDDDD |
| 5 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 54:47 | +7 | 49 | DLDDD |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50:35 | +15 | 47 | DDWDL |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | +1 | 43 | DWDDD |
| 8 |  Seattle Sounders | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 41:40 | +1 | 43 | LDDLW |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:49 | +1 | 42 | WWWDL |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 45:54 | -9 | 41 | DDWLW |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 57:60 | -3 | 40 | WWDLD |
| 12 |  Minnesota United FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 50:56 | -6 | 38 | WDWDD |
| 13 |  San Diego | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 56:62 | -6 | 35 | LDDDL |
| 14 | Austin | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 41:59 | -18 | 34 | LWLLL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 38:80 | -42 | 22 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 67:33 | 58 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 32 | 58:49 | 54 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 32 | 58:47 | 51 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 32 | 42:39 | 51 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 54:47 | 49 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 50:35 | 47 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 32 | 44:43 | 43 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 32 | 41:40 | 43 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 50:49 | 42 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 45:54 | 41 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 57:60 | 40 |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 50:56 | 38 |
| 13 | San Diego | 32 | 56:62 | 35 |
| 14 | Austin | 32 | 41:59 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 38:80 | 22 |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 66:23 | +43 | 71 | DWDWW |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 54:44 | +10 | 58 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 75:55 | +20 | 56 | DLWWW |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 57:48 | +9 | 52 | DWLLW |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 59:48 | +11 | 50 | WLDLW |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 62:50 | +12 | 47 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 62:74 | -12 | 43 | DDWDW |
| 8 |  FC Cincinnati | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 66:73 | -7 | 43 | DWWLL |
| 9 |  Columbus Crew | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 52:49 | +3 | 41 | WWWWL |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 43:59 | -16 | 39 | LWLLW |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 50:60 | -10 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 12 | New York City FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 47:44 | +3 | 38 | WDDLL |
| 13 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 39:57 | -18 | 33 | LLLLW |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:56 | -16 | 30 | LLLWL |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 36:66 | -30 | 25 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 66:23 | 71 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 32 | 54:44 | 58 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 32 | 75:55 | 56 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 57:48 | 52 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 32 | 59:48 | 50 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 62:50 | 47 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 62:74 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 66:73 | 43 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 52:49 | 41 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 43:59 | 39 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 32 | 50:60 | 39 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 32 | 47:44 | 38 |
| 13 | DC United | 32 | 39:57 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 32 | 40:56 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 36:66 | 25 |
Promotion
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This match
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- Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls 23/07/26
- New England Revolution vs Toronto FC 23/07/26
- Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC 23/07/26
- Nashville SC vs CF Montreal 23/07/26
- Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC 23/07/26
- Austin vs Seattle Sounders 23/07/26
- Colorado Rapids vs San Diego 23/07/26
About the Houston Dynamo vs DC United forecast
The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Major League Soccer
More Major League Soccer fixtures and forecasts are on the Major League Soccer Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Houston Dynamo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Houston Dynamo and DC United have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.