Ilves vs FC Differdange 03 Prediction

Ilves
3-1
Finished
HT 0-1
FC Differdange 03
Tammela Stadium, Tampere·Jacob A. Sundberg, Denmark 16/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
59%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.57
SignalNEUTRALModel63%SurpriseMediumGap-5.0%
Value Analysis
53%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
2.00
SignalNEUTRALModel55%SurpriseMediumGap+7.0%
Ilves Rest
7 days
FC Differdange 03 Rest
7 days

Ilves vs FC Differdange 03: result, form and history

Ilves beat FC Differdange 03 3-1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 16 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: FC Differdange 03 had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Ilves.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.57
X
17%4.00
2
24%5.00
Double Chance
1X
76%1.14
X2
41%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%1.73
No
53%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.91 + 1.05 = 2.96
Over 1.5
79%1.22
Over 2.5
58%1.70
Over 3.5
38%2.69
Under 1.5
21%3.95
Under 2.5
42%2.06
Under 3.5
62%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'G. Bamba
45'S. ThillAssist: E. Rivas
46'G. Bamba INO. Pettersson out
57'Y. RaapAssist: J. Kanga
60'J. Veteli INJ. Kilo out
60'T. Miettunen INR. Riski out
68'J. Kanga(Penalty)
68'Y. Raap
69'Gustavo Vintecinco
69'J. Bedouret
69'Bruninho
75'R. RiskiAssist: J. Kanga
75'Bruninho INB. Mfoumou out
75'E. Rivas INS. Melhor out
78'S. Thill INR. Pinto out
78'G. Franzoni INM. Mabuza out
78'T. Hytonen INO. Multala out
81'V. Kumpu
85'J. Kanga INS. Vaisanen out
86'P. Resende
90+5'J. Kanga

Lineups

Ilves
3-4-2-1Coach: Joni Lehtonen
FC Differdange 03
3-5-1-1Coach: Pedro Resende
Faris Krkalić12F. Krkalić
Ville Kumpu24V. Kumpu
Tatu Miettunen16T. Miettunen
Matias Rale3M. Rale
Bamba Abdoul Goudouss19B. Abdoul Goudouss
Yiandro Raap6Y. Raap
Anton Popovitch14A. Popovitch
Kalle Wallius13K. Wallius
Jardell Kanga30J. Kanga
Joona Veteli7J. Veteli
Teemu Hytönen9T. Hytönen
Felipe1Felipe
Kevin D'Anzico4K. D'Anzico
Leandro77Leandro
Juan Bedouret14J. Bedouret
Geoffrey Franzoni25G. Franzoni
Bruno Reis8B. Reis
Marco Grilo16M. Grilo
Ludovic Rauch21L. Rauch
Elison Rivas24E. Rivas
Sebastien Thill31S. Thill
Gustavo Vintecinco95G. Vintecinco

Ilves Substitutes

4Oliver Pettersson
28Jesse Kilo60'for J. Veteli
10Roope Riski60'for T. Miettunen75'
22Oskari Multala78'for T. Hytonen
5Sauli Väisänen85'for J. Kanga
1Otso Virtanen
31Rasmus Leislahti
25Sebastian Suvanne
15Lauri Ala-Myllymäki
20Otto Tiitinen
17Stanislav Baranov

FC Differdange 03 Substitutes

88Simão75'replaced by E. Rivas
7Boris Mfoumou75'for Bruninho
42Mhleli Mabuza78'for G. Franzoni
20Rafa Pinto78'for S. Thill
99Hugo Wolf
30Raphaël Da Silva Correia
26Fonseca Mendes
17Marceu Delgado
13Ivo Nabais

Team Comparison

IlvesIlves
FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 03
1657Elo Rating 1708
2.13Attack 4.10
2.61Defense 1.88
77%Hit Rate 100%
12.1Shots per Game -
4.6Shots on Target -
2.0Corners per Game -
1.6Cards per Game -

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

IlvesIlves
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 03
  • Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 1.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

IlvesIlves0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 030Wins · 0%
0.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Recent Form

IlvesIlves
4W2D4L
FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 03
7W2D1L
08/07/2026
FC Differdange 03Ilves
00
D
04/07/2026
MetzFC Differdange 03
12
W
29/05/2026
FC Differdange 03Victoria Rosport
41
W
23/05/2026
Atert BissenFC Differdange 03
10
L
17/05/2026
FC Differdange 03UN Kaerjeng 97
20
W
13/05/2026
FC Differdange 03Rodange 91
7161
W
08/05/2026
Progres NiederkornFC Differdange 03
23
W
03/05/2026
FC Differdange 03UNA Strassen
00
D
26/04/2026
Union Titus PetangeFC Differdange 03
01
W
22/04/2026
FC Differdange 03Racing FC Union Luxembourg
20
W

Referee Profile

Jacob A. Sundberg31 matches

4.33Cards per match
4.21Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
22.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jacob A. Sundberg4.33
Other referees3.98

4.33 cards a match, 0.35 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.98).

Cards come from 24 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
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PAOK
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Vikingur Reykjavik
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Gornik Zabrze
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Monaco
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Hradec Králové
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SC Freiburg
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Maccabi Tel Aviv
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Atalanta
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Heart Of Midlothian
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Rangers
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Shamrock Rovers
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KuPS
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Pafos
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Getafe
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Tromso
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HNK Hajduk Split
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Sheriff Tiraspol
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FC ST. Gallen
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Dynamo Kyiv
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Qarabag
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Inter Club d'Escaldes
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Hammarby FF
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Twente
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FC Midtjylland
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Tre Fiori
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IFK Goteborg
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Floriana
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Drita
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Atert Bissen
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Gyori ETO FC
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Neftchi Baku
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Başakşehir
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Vardar Skopje
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Riga
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Spartak Trnava
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CSKA 1948
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Železničar Pančevo
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SC Braga
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Hibernian
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Austria Vienna
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CFR 1907 Cluj
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Panevėžys
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FK Tobol Kostanay
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HJK Helsinki
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Coleraine FC
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Flora Tallinn
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The New Saints
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Debreceni VSC
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Apollon Limassol
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AEK Larnaca
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Beitar Jerusalem
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Raków Częstochowa
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Valletta FC
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Dunajska Streda
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Vestri
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Gais
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FC Nordsjaelland
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FC Sion
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Rapid Vienna
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Zimbru
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FC Noah
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ML Vitebsk
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Sutjeska
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Universitatea Cluj
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Brann
Seeded
FC Vaduz
Seeded
FCSB
Seeded
Auda
Seeded
NK Varazdin
Seeded
FK Jablonec
Seeded
Aluminij
Seeded
Vojvodina
Seeded
Ajax
Seeded
Polessya
Seeded
FC Copenhagen
Seeded
Paks
Seeded
Panathinaikos
Seeded
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Seeded
Ludogorets
Seeded
Borac Banja Luka
Seeded
Petrocub
Seeded
LNZ Cherkasy
Seeded
Gent
Seeded
FC Lugano
Seeded
Dukagjini
Seeded
Žilina
Seeded
GKS Katowice
Seeded
Motherwell
Seeded
HB Torshavn
Seeded
Bravo
Seeded
Koper
Seeded
HNK Rijeka
Seeded
Derry City
Seeded
Shelbourne
Seeded
FK Partizan
Seeded
Valur Reykjavik
Seeded
Zrinjski
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
IFK Goteborg
Seeded
Floriana
Seeded
Drita
Seeded
Atert Bissen
Seeded
Gyori ETO FC
Seeded
Neftchi Baku
Seeded
Başakşehir
Seeded
Vardar Skopje
Seeded
Riga
Seeded
Spartak Trnava
Seeded
CSKA 1948
Seeded
Železničar Pančevo
Seeded
SC Braga
Seeded
Hibernian
Seeded
Austria Vienna
Seeded
CFR 1907 Cluj
Seeded
Panevėžys
Seeded
FK Tobol Kostanay
Seeded
HJK Helsinki
Seeded
Coleraine FC
Seeded
Flora Tallinn
Seeded
The New Saints
Seeded
Debreceni VSC
Seeded
Apollon Limassol
Seeded
AEK Larnaca
Seeded
Beitar Jerusalem
Seeded
Raków Częstochowa
Seeded
Valletta FC
Seeded
Dunajska Streda
Seeded
Vestri
Seeded
Gais
Seeded
FC Nordsjaelland
Seeded
FC Sion
Seeded
Rapid Vienna
Seeded
Zimbru
Seeded
FC Noah
Seeded
ML Vitebsk
Seeded
Sutjeska
Seeded
Universitatea Cluj
Seeded
Brann
Seeded
FC Vaduz
Seeded
FCSB
Seeded
Auda
Seeded
NK Varazdin
Seeded
FK Jablonec
Seeded
Aluminij
Seeded
Vojvodina
Seeded
Ajax
Seeded
Polessya
Seeded
FC Copenhagen
Seeded
Paks
Seeded
Panathinaikos
Seeded
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Seeded
Ludogorets
Seeded
Borac Banja Luka
Seeded
Petrocub
Seeded
LNZ Cherkasy
Seeded
Gent
Seeded
FC Lugano
Seeded
Dukagjini
Seeded
Žilina
Seeded
GKS Katowice
Seeded
Motherwell
Seeded
HB Torshavn
Seeded
Bravo
Seeded
Koper
Seeded
HNK Rijeka
Seeded
Derry City
Seeded
Shelbourne
Seeded
FK Partizan
Seeded
Valur Reykjavik
Seeded
Zrinjski
Seeded

About the Ilves vs FC Differdange 03 forecast

This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa Conference League

More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ilves have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. FC Differdange 03 have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. Ilves and FC Differdange 03 have met only 1 time recently, with 0.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.