Imperatriz vs Ferroviario Prediction

Imperatriz
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Ferroviario
04/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.48
SignalSOLIDModel40%SurpriseHighGap+0.2%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.48
SignalGOODModel29%SurpriseHighGap+7.8%
Imperatriz Rest
7 days
Ferroviario Rest
5 days

Imperatriz vs Ferroviario: the result in context

Imperatriz and Ferroviario drew 1-1 in the Serie D on 4 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%3.17
X
33%2.79
2
32%2.33
Double Chance
1X
68%1.48
X2
65%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%2.01
No
55%1.68
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.07 + 1.01 = 2.08
Over 1.5
61%1.45
Over 2.5
31%2.46
Over 3.5
14%4.50
Under 1.5
39%2.46
Under 2.5
69%1.47
Under 3.5
86%1.15
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'Wilson(Penalty)
73'Lucas Black

Team Comparison

ImperatrizImperatriz
FerroviarioFerroviario
1520Elo Rating 1566
0.96Attack 1.30
1.80Defense 1.61
14%Hit Rate 34%

Game State Tendencies

ImperatrizImperatriz
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FerroviarioFerroviario
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

ImperatrizImperatriz
4W3D3L
27/06/2026
MaracanãImperatriz
6070
W
20/06/2026
ImperatrizMaracanã
11
D
06/06/2026
ImperatrizTuna Luso
40
W
31/05/2026
OratórioImperatriz
01
W
24/05/2026
ImperatrizÁguia de Marabá
03
L
16/05/2026
TocantinópolisImperatriz
20
L
10/05/2026
ImperatrizTrem
40
W
05/05/2026
TremImperatriz
21
L
26/04/2026
ImperatrizTocantinópolis
11
D
19/04/2026
Águia de MarabáImperatriz
11
D
FerroviarioFerroviario
6W3D1L
28/06/2026
FerroviarioCentral SC
20
W
21/06/2026
Central SCFerroviario
11
D
13/06/2026
FerroviarioFluminense PI
10
W
01/06/2026
Tirol/CEFATFerroviario
00
D
23/05/2026
FerroviarioAltos
31
W
17/05/2026
FerroviarioUniclinic Atletico Clube
20
W
12/05/2026
PiauíFerroviario
11
D
03/05/2026
FerroviarioPiauí
21
W
26/04/2026
Uniclinic Atletico ClubeFerroviario
02
W
18/04/2026
AltosFerroviario
10
L

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded

League Table

Serie D 2026

Group 5

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1TremTrem1062219:13+620WLWWL
2Águia de MarabáÁguia de Marabá1053220:11+918LWWLW
3ImperatrizImperatriz1043315:10+515WWLLW
4Tuna LusoTuna Luso1034314:17-313LWDWL
5TocantinópolisTocantinópolis1033418:18012WLLWW
6OratórioOratório1011812:29-174LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1TremTrem1019:1320
2Águia de MarabáÁguia de Marabá1020:1118
3ImperatrizImperatriz1015:1015
4Tuna LusoTuna Luso1014:1713
5TocantinópolisTocantinópolis1018:1812
6OratórioOratório1012:294

Group 7

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FerroviarioFerroviario1063115:7+821WDWWD
2PiauíPiauí1052314:11+317WWLWD
3Fluminense PIFluminense PI1035212:9+314LDWDL
4AltosAltos103259:15-611WDLLL
5Tirol/CEFATTirol/CEFAT1024410:10010LDWDW
6Uniclinic Atletico ClubeUniclinic Atletico Clube101456:14-87LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1FerroviarioFerroviario1015:721
2PiauíPiauí1014:1117
3Fluminense PIFluminense PI1012:914
4AltosAltos109:1511
5Tirol/CEFATTirol/CEFAT1010:1010
6Uniclinic Atletico ClubeUniclinic Atletico Clube106:147
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About the Imperatriz vs Ferroviario forecast

As a knockout tie in the Serie D, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie D

More Serie D fixtures and forecasts are on the Serie D Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Imperatriz have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Imperatriz and Ferroviario have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.